Antwerp 4–4 Genk — pre-match prediction — Pro League — August 22, 2026

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Pro League · Regular Season - 3 August 22, 2026 20:45 Bosuilstadion, Deurne

Antwerp

#11 · 10 pts

4 – 4

Final score

Genk

#6 · 15 pts

A. Valencia (ast. C. Scott) 16'

E. Tuypens (ast. T. Somers) 80'

M. Frey 86' (pen.)

M. Frey (ast. C. Mejia) 88'

31' (ast. I. Bangoura) J. Kongolo

48' (ast. J. Erenbjerg) R. Durosinmi

57' (ast. J. Erenbjerg) A. Yokoyama

70' (ast. J. Afriyie) A. Bibout

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Antwerp 32%). The final result was Antwerp 4–4 Genk. In 4 previous meetings, Antwerp have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Genk.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.73

Actual xG

1.30

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽A. Valencia · ast. C. Scott

16'

31'

ast. I. Bangoura · J. Kongolo⚽

M. Compper

36'

↕ L. Narh / I. Salah

46'

↕ A. Valencia / C. Mejia

46'

48'

ast. J. Erenbjerg · R. Durosinmi⚽

57'

ast. J. Erenbjerg · A. Yokoyama⚽

↕ X. Dierckx / M. Fofana

59'

↕ L. Schelfhout / S. Porozo

65'

69'

A. Bibout / R. Durosinmi ↕

69'

J. Afriyie / A. Yokoyama ↕

70'

ast. J. Afriyie · A. Bibout⚽

75'

D. Heymans / J. Erenbjerg ↕

↕ C. Scott / L. Van Gelder

78'

D. Heymans

⚽E. Tuypens · ast. T. Somers

80'

81'

I. Bangoura

⚽M. Frey (pen.)

86'

⚽M. Frey · ast. C. Mejia

88'

90'

N. Sattlberger / J. Ito ↕

Pre-match prediction

32.4%

Antwerp

33.07%

X ←

34.53%

Genk

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 33.07% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Antwerp

0.75

0.73

-0.02

Genk

0.95

1.30

+0.35

Genk dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gent	9	25
2	Club Brugge KV	9	24
3	Union St. Gilloise	9	23
4	Charleroi	9	21
5	Anderlecht	9	16
6	Genk	9	15
7	KVC Westerlo	9	14
8	Lommel United	9	12
9	Standard Liege	9	11
10	Zulte Waregem	9	11
11	Antwerp	9	10
12	SK Beveren	9	10
13	St. Truiden	9	8
14	RAAL La Louvière	9	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	6
16	OH Leuven	9	6
17	Kortrijk	8	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	3

Lineups

Antwerp 4-4-2

Taishi Brandon Nozawa 79' G 6.60

Thibo Somers 1 👟 79' D 5.60

Rein Van Helden 79' D 6.30

Yuto Tsunashima 79' D 6.20

Luca Schelfhout 65' D 6.30

E. Tuypens 1 ⚽ 79' M 6.90

Christopher Scott 1 👟 78' M 6.90

Xander Dierckx 59' M 6.20

A. Valencia 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.90

Luis Narh 45' F 6.20

M. Frey 2 ⚽ 79' F 6.90

Bench

Carlos Mejia 1 👟 34' F 6.30

Geoffry Hairemans M

Ibrahim Salah 34' F 6.90

Louie Van Gelder 1' M

Maxime Busi D

Modibo Fofana 20' M 6.70

Niels Devalckeneer G

Semm Renders D

Snayder Porozo 14' M 6.20

Genk 4-2-3-1

Lucca Brughmans 79' G 7.00

Joris Kayembe 79' D 7.00

Josue Ndenge Kongolo 1 ⚽ 79' D 7.90

Matte Smets 79' D 7.50

Z. El Ouahdi 79' D 6.70

Bryan Heynen 79' M 7.20

Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 1 👟 79' M 6.90

Ayumu Yokoyama 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.20

J. Erenbjerg 2 👟 75' M 7.70

J. Ito 79' M 6.60

R. Durosinmi 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.30

Bench

A. Bibout 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.20

D. Heymans 4' M

Jerry Afriyie 1 👟 10' F 6.90

Kevin Amaro D

Noah Adedeji-Sternberg F

N. Sattlberger M

Robin Mirisola F

Tobias Lawal G

Yaimar Medina D

Best on the pitch

A. Valencia

M · Antwerp

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 24 pass

Josue Ndenge Kongolo

D · Genk

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 50 pass

J. Erenbjerg

M · Genk

7.70

2 👟

1 shots · 39 pass

Matte Smets

D · Genk

7.50

· 51 pass

R. Durosinmi

F · Genk

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

A. Bibout

F · Genk

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

Antwerp — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Taishi Brandon Nozawa	G	79	6.60	—	—	—	20	13%	—	—	—
Thibo Somers	D	79	5.60	—	1	—	18	15%	2	—	—
Rein Van Helden	D	79	6.30	—	—	1	41	40%	1	—	—
Yuto Tsunashima	D	79	6.20	—	—	—	43	38%	1	—	—
Luca Schelfhout	D	65	6.30	—	—	1	29	23%	6	—	—
E. Tuypens	M	79	6.90	1	—	—	34	30%	1	—	—
Christopher Scott	M	78	6.90	—	1	1	28	24%	1	—	—
Xander Dierckx	M	59	6.20	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
A. Valencia	M	45	7.90	1	—	3	24	21%	—	—	—
Luis Narh	F	45	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
M. Frey	F	79	6.90	2	—	2	18	11%	1	—	—
Carlos Mejia	F	34	6.30	—	1	—	16	12%	—	—	—
Ibrahim Salah	F	34	6.90	—	—	—	12	11%	1	—	—
Louie Van Gelder	M	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Modibo Fofana	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
Snayder Porozo	M	14	6.20	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Genk — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Lucca Brughmans	G	79	7.00	—	—	—	30	19%	—	—	—
Joris Kayembe	D	79	7.00	—	—	—	47	38%	4	—	—
Josue Ndenge Kongolo	D	79	7.90	1	—	1	50	42%	3	—	—
Matte Smets	D	79	7.50	—	—	—	51	37%	2	—	—
Z. El Ouahdi	D	79	6.70	—	—	—	20	18%	—	—	—
Bryan Heynen	M	79	7.20	—	—	1	47	42%	2	—	—
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura	M	79	6.90	—	1	—	27	25%	—	—	—
Ayumu Yokoyama	M	69	7.20	1	—	2	32	25%	1	—	—
J. Erenbjerg	M	75	7.70	—	2	1	39	36%	2	—	—
J. Ito	M	79	6.60	—	—	—	32	24%	2	—	—
R. Durosinmi	F	69	7.30	1	—	1	15	10%	2	—	—
A. Bibout	F	10	7.20	1	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
D. Heymans	M	4	—	—	—	1	1	1%	—	1	—
Jerry Afriyie	F	10	6.90	—	1	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Antwerp vs Genk?

The final score was Antwerp 4–4 Genk.

What did the model predict before Antwerp vs Genk?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Antwerp win, 33% to a draw, and 34% to an Genk win.