Brasileirão Série D
· Round of 32
June 20, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Capital Brasilia a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Aparecidense 35%). The final result was Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia. In 1 previous meetings, Aparecidense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Capital Brasilia.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
35.79%
Aparecidense
25.41%
X ←
38.8%
Capital
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
—
—
1.98
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?
The final score was Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia.
What did the model predict before Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Aparecidense win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an Capital Brasilia win.