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Apollon Limassol - Aris

First Division May 16, 2026 17:00
Apollon Limassol
#3 · 53 pts
vs
Aris
#6 · 51 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 24.8°C 💨 25 km/h · Kolossi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.78%
Win
Apollon Limassol
23.27%
Draw
19.95%
Win
Aris
1.79
Expected xG
0.89
Model prediction
Apollon Limassol
56.78%
Probability
66.7%
1X2 accuracy · 6 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Apollon Limassol a 56% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Aris. Expected goals are 1.8 for Apollon Limassol and 0.9 for Aris (total 2.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.3% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Apollon Limassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Aris.

Score Matrix
↕ Apollon Limassol Aris →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 12.3% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
W Apoel Nicosia 2–0
L AEK Larnaca 1–0
W Pafos 2–1
L Omonia Nicosia 2–3
L Aris 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 27%
Aris Aris
L Pafos 2–0
W Apoel Nicosia 1–0
L Omonia Nicosia 3–0
L AEK Larnaca 2–0
W Apollon Limassol 3–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
Attack
36
Defence
61
Form
53
Aris Aris
Attack
26
Defence
59
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Apollon Limassol
0
Draw
3
Aris
L 18 Apr 2026 First Division 0–3
L 14 Dec 2025 First Division 0–2
L 23 Aug 2025 First Division 1–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 34 81
1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 26 61
2 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 26 53
2 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 34 65
3 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 26 53
3 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 34 64
4 Pafos Pafos 34 58
4 Pafos Pafos 26 51
5 Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 34 52
5 Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 26 45
6 Aris Aris 34 51
6 Aris Aris 26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 26 34
7 Anorthosis Anorthosis 32 45
8 AEL AEL 32 41
8 AEL AEL 26 33
9 Anorthosis Anorthosis 26 32
9 Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 32 39
10 Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 32 39
10 Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 26 28
11 Olympiakos Olympiakos 32 37
11 Olympiakos Olympiakos 26 28
12 Akritas Akritas 32 35
12 Akritas Akritas 26 26
13 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 26 23
13 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 32 33
14 Enosis Enosis 32 4
14 Enosis Enosis 26 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
The model gives Apollon Limassol a 56% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 19% for an Aris win.
How many goals are expected in Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
Expected goals: Apollon Limassol 1.8, Aris 0.9 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Apollon Limassol vs Aris?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.