D. Luckassen
10'
(og)
B. Thomas
21'
25'
David Luiz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pafos a 44% win probability (draw 22%, Apollon Limassol 33%). The final result was Apollon Limassol 2–1 Pafos. In 4 previous meetings, Apollon Limassol have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pafos.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
5
0.89
Actual xG
0.93
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
4
Match Events
9'
I. Sunjic
⚽D. Luckassen
(og)
10'
⚽B. Thomas
21'
25'
David Luiz⚽
P. Marques
/ D. Escriche
28'
G. Assuncao
51'
J. Kvida
51'
54'
D. Luckassen
60'
V. Dragomir
61'
Dani Silva
/
Pepe
61'
Bruno
/
O. Mimovic
61'
J. Correia
/
Jaja
G. Assuncao
/ C. Duodu
73'
B. Gaspar
/ A. Shikkis
73'
75'
Z. Adoni
78'
79'
83'
M. Bassouamina
/
V. Dragomir
83'
D. Quina
/
Bruno
88'
David Luiz
D. Escriche
/ L. Markovic
90'+1
G. Rodrigues
/ A. Vrikkis
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
33.07%
Apollon ←
22.67%
X
44.26%
Pafos
we assigned to the actual result (Apollon Limassol)
33.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.89
-0.68
2.01
0.93
-1.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Philipp Kühn
G
14
Giorgos Malekkidis
D
44
J. Kvída
D
J. Kvída
D
4
Zacharias Adoni
D
76
Bruno Gaspar
D
5
M. Brown
M
M. Brown
M
12
Gustavo Assunção
M
23
Brandon Thomas
1 ⚽
M
Brandon Thomas
1 ⚽
M
77
I. Ljubic
M
I. Ljubic
M
10
Garry Rodrigues
M
Garry Rodrigues
M
43
Pedro Marques
F
Pedro Marques
F
Bench
80
Ali Youssef
M
26
Antreas Shikkis
D
30
Dani Escriche
F
50
L. Marković
M
L. Marković
M
89
Robertos Rotis
F
3
Thomas Lam
D
93
G
14
Nikolas Ioannou
D
4
David Luiz
1 ⚽
D
David Luiz
1 ⚽
D
23
D. Luckassen
1 ⚽
D
D. Luckassen
1 ⚽
D
21
Ognjen Mimović
D
Ognjen Mimović
D
26
I. Šunjić
M
I. Šunjić
M
88
Pêpê Rodrigues
M
Pêpê Rodrigues
M
17
M. Oršić
M
M. Oršić
M
30
Vlad Dragomir
M
Vlad Dragomir
M
11
Jajá
M
Jajá
M
33
Anderson Silva
F
Anderson Silva
F
Bench
50
Alexandre Brito
M
19
Axel Guessand
D
7
Bruno
D
80
Dani Silva
M
8
Domingos Quina
M
77
João Correia
M
João Correia
M
12
K. Sema
M
K. Sema
M
18
Lelê
F
Apollon Limassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Kühn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgos Malekkidis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kvída | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zacharias Adoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gaspar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brown | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Assunção | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Thomas | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Ljubic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Garry Rodrigues | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Marques | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Pafos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nikolas Ioannou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Luiz | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Luckassen | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ognjen Mimović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Šunjić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pêpê Rodrigues | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Oršić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vlad Dragomir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jajá | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anderson Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Apollon Limassol vs Pafos?
The final score was Apollon Limassol 2–1 Pafos.
What did the model predict before Apollon Limassol vs Pafos?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Apollon Limassol win, 22% to a draw, and 44% to an Pafos win.