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APS Bomet - Bandari

Premier League November 14, 2026 13:00
#13 · 6 pts
vs
#9 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.74%
Win
APS Bomet
32.32%
Draw
31.94%
Win
Bandari
2.05
Expected xG
0.63

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.62%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives APS Bomet a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Bandari. Expected goals are 2.0 for APS Bomet and 0.6 for Bandari (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.62% probability. In 2 previous meetings, APS Bomet have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bandari.

Season Stats

APS Bomet
8W 5D 2L
Bandari
3W 8D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.6
0.3
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
40%
20%
O 2.5
13%
20%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
APS Bomet
4W 3D 3L · at home
Bandari
1W 6D 3L · away
0.9
gls/g
0.7
0.6
Conceded
1.0
40%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
40%
O 1.5
50%
30%
O 2.5
20%
0%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
30%
40%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ APS Bomet Bandari →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% — —
1 14.0% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 14.4% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 9.8% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% — —
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L KCB 1–0
D Murang'a SEAL 0–0
W 3K 3–0
D Nairobi United 1–1
L GOR Mahia 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
W Tusker 1–0
D Nairobi United 1–1
D Posta Rangers FC 0–0
L GOR Mahia 1–0
D 3K 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

APS Bomet APS Bomet
Attack
23
Defence
74
Form
44
Bandari Bandari
Attack
10
Defence
66
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 6 13
2 KCB KCB 6 13
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 6 10
4 Kenya Police Kenya Police 6 9
5 Shabana Shabana 6 9
6 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 6 9
7 3K 3K 6 9
8 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 6 8
9 Bandari Bandari 6 7
9 Police Police 1 1
10 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 6 7
11 Tusker Tusker 4 6
12 Migori Youth Migori Youth 5 6
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
14 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 6 6
15 Nairobi United Nairobi United 6 5
16 Mathare United Mathare United 6 5
17 Homeboyz Homeboyz 5 5
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win APS Bomet vs Bandari?
The model gives APS Bomet a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Bandari win.
How many goals are expected in APS Bomet vs Bandari?
Expected goals: APS Bomet 2.0, Bandari 0.6 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in APS Bomet vs Bandari?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.62%.