Brasileirão Série D
· Regular Season - 4
April 26, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Araguaína a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Independência 30%). The final result was Araguaína 1–1 Independência.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
37.8%
Araguaína
31.52%
X ←
30.68%
Independência
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Araguaína
1.72
—
—
Independência
0.92
—
—
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Araguaína vs Independência?
The final score was Araguaína 1–1 Independência.
What did the model predict before Araguaína vs Independência?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Araguaína win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Independência win.