Europa League
· League Stage - 3
October 22, 2026 18:45
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
21'
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
27'
(ast. Seiya Maikuma)
Weslley Pinto Batista
76'
(ast. Ro Zangelo Daal)
Weslley Pinto Batista
79'
(ast. Weslley Pinto Batista)
Mexx Meerdink
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ararat-Armenia a 43% win probability (draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 34%). The final result was Ararat-Armenia 0–4 AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
9
0.42
Actual xG
1.70
5
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
6
21
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
21'
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen⚽
Bruno Wilson
23'
27'
ast. Seiya Maikuma ·
Weslley Pinto Batista⚽
Armen Ambartsumyan
44'
45'
Ro Zangelo Daal
/
Ayoub Oufkir
Armen Ambartsumyan
/ Karen Muradyan
57'
65'
Mexx Meerdink
/
Bendegúz Kovács
65'
Denso Kasius
/
Seiya Maikuma
Juan Andres Balanta
/ Bernardo Oliveira
73'
Sandro Lima
/ Arayik Eloyan
73'
Edgar·Grigoryan
/ Bruno Pereira
73'
Zhirayr Shaghoyan
/ Carlos Henrique França Freires
73'
76'
ast. Ro Zangelo Daal ·
Weslley Pinto Batista⚽
79'
ast. Weslley Pinto Batista ·
Mexx Meerdink⚽
80'
Rion Ichihara
/
Wesley Hoedt
80'
Hessel de Wit
/
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
Pre-match prediction
43.32%
Ararat-Armenia
21.76%
X
34.92%
AZ ←
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar)
34.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
0.42
-1.94
1.59
1.70
+0.11
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
98
João Bravim
G
João Bravim
G
16
E. Grigoryan
73'
D
E. Grigoryan
73'
D
47
A. Malis
D
A. Malis
D
43
Bruno Wilson
D
Bruno Wilson
D
2
Hugo Oliveira
D
Hugo Oliveira
D
17
M. Carlier
M
M. Carlier
M
8
J. Balanta
73'
M
J. Balanta
73'
M
7
Z. Shaghoyan
73'
M
Z. Shaghoyan
73'
M
10
A. Ambartsumyan
57'
M
A. Ambartsumyan
57'
M
77
A. Serobyan
M
A. Serobyan
M
91
Sandro Lima
73'
F
Sandro Lima
73'
F
Bench
9
A. Eloyan
17'
M
A. Eloyan
17'
M
25
A. Ndour
F
A. Ndour
F
1
A. Nersesyan
G
A. Nersesyan
G
70
B. Oliveira
17'
M
B. Oliveira
17'
M
14
Bruno Pereira
17'
D
Bruno Pereira
17'
D
95
França
17'
F
França
17'
F
19
K. Muradyan
33'
M
K. Muradyan
33'
M
5
Luís Felipe
D
Luís Felipe
D
28
J. De Busser
G
J. De Busser
G
34
M. de Wit
D
M. de Wit
D
29
W. Hoedt
80'
D
W. Hoedt
80'
D
4
L. Schouten
D
L. Schouten
D
2
S. Maikuma
1 👟
65'
D
S. Maikuma
1 👟
65'
D
21
D. Kwakman
M
D. Kwakman
M
17
V. Byskov
1 ⚽
80'
M
V. Byskov
1 ⚽
80'
M
6
P. Koopmeiners
M
P. Koopmeiners
M
24
A. Oufkir
45'
F
A. Oufkir
45'
F
18
B. Kovacs
65'
F
B. Kovacs
65'
F
7
Weslley Patati
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Weslley Patati
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
14
C. Stengs
M
C. Stengs
M
30
D. Kasius
25'
D
D. Kasius
25'
D
22
E. Dijkstra
D
E. Dijkstra
D
75
H. de Wit
10'
M
H. de Wit
10'
M
12
H. Verhulst
G
H. Verhulst
G
5
M. Chávez
D
M. Chávez
D
9
M. Meerdink
1 ⚽
25'
F
M. Meerdink
1 ⚽
25'
F
11
R. Daal
1 👟
45'
F
R. Daal
1 👟
45'
F
31
R. Ichihara
10'
D
R. Ichihara
10'
D
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
Best on the pitch
Weslley Patati
F · AZ
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 34 pass
V. Byskov
M · AZ
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 47 pass
R. Daal
F · AZ
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
J. De Busser
G · AZ
7.55
· 52 pass
M. de Wit
D · AZ
7.40
· 53 pass
M. Meerdink
F · AZ
7.29
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Ararat-Armenia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Bravim | G | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Grigoryan | D | 73 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Malis | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 90 | 5.72 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Oliveira | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Carlier | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 42% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Balanta | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Z. Shaghoyan | M | 73 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ambartsumyan | M | 57 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Serobyan | M | 90 | 5.47 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 73 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Eloyan | M | 17 | 5.37 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Oliveira | M | 17 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Pereira | D | 17 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| França | F | 17 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Muradyan | M | 33 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De Busser | G | 90 | 7.55 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 80 | 7.21 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 62% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 65 | 6.83 | — | 1 | 0 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kwakman | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Byskov | M | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 47 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 45 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Kovacs | F | 65 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 90 | 9.30 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kasius | D | 25 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| H. de Wit | M | 10 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 25 | 7.29 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Daal | F | 45 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ichihara | D | 10 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Ararat-Armenia 0–4 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Ararat-Armenia win, 21% to a draw, and 34% to an AZ Alkmaar win.