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Ararat-Armenia - Celje

Champions League August 04, 2026 18:00
Ararat-Armenia
vs
Celje
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.69%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
24.34%
Draw
28.97%
Win
Celje
1.95
Expected xG
1.37

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.76%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 24%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 53%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ararat-Armenia a 46% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Celje. Expected goals are 1.9 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.4 for Celje (total 3.3), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.76% probability.

Season Stats

Ararat-Armenia
2W 0D 2L
Celje
0W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.0
1.2
Conceded
2.0
3.0
Shots OT
—
2.0
Corners
—
47%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ararat-Armenia
2W 0D 0L · at home
Celje
0W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
3.0
0.0
Conceded
3.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ararat-Armenia Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.1% 9.7% 6.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
L Shamrock Rovers 2–1
W Shamrock Rovers 2–0
L Riga 3–2
W Riga 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Celje Celje
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
39
Defence
72
Form
58
Celje Celje
Attack
41
Defence
62
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 46% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 28% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
Expected goals: Ararat-Armenia 1.9, Celje 1.4 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.76%.