Champions League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 04, 2026 18:00
A. Serobyan
38'
Franca Carlos
(ast. E. Grigoryan)
70'
(pen.)
21'
S. Seslar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ararat-Armenia a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Celje 28%). The final result was Ararat-Armenia 2–1 Celje. In 1 previous meetings, Ararat-Armenia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Celje.
Match statistics
Match Events
21'
(pen.)
S. Seslar⚽
⚽A. Serobyan
38'
Tulipa
42'
46'
Y. Dukuly
/
V. Tusha
58'
M. Kvesic
M. Carlier
/ A. Tera
59'
A. Serobyan
/ Franca Carlos
59'
65'
R. Pozeg
/
A. Kucys
65'
A. Kotnik
/
S. Seslar
⚽Franca Carlos
· ast. E. Grigoryan
70'
Z. Banjaqui
/ M. Ayvazyan
83'
90'+5
P. Daniel
90'+5
M. Poplatnik
/
P. Daniel
Sandro Lima
/ P. Ayongo
90'
H. Oliveira
/ A. Ndour
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.3%
Ararat-Armenia ←
25.15%
X
28.55%
Celje
we assigned to the actual result (Ararat-Armenia)
46.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
—
—
1.20
—
—
Lineups
98
João Bravim
G
João Bravim
G
16
E. Grigoryan
1 👟
D
E. Grigoryan
1 👟
D
47
A. Malis
D
A. Malis
D
43
Bruno Wilson
D
Bruno Wilson
D
3
J. Julio
D
J. Julio
D
17
M. Carlier
M
M. Carlier
M
19
K. Muradyan
M
K. Muradyan
M
2
Hugo Oliveira
D
Hugo Oliveira
D
11
Zidane Banjaqui
M
Zidane Banjaqui
M
91
Sandro Lima
F
Sandro Lima
F
77
A. Serobyan
1 ⚽
M
A. Serobyan
1 ⚽
M
Bench
9
A. Eloyan
F
A. Eloyan
F
25
A. Ndour
F
A. Ndour
F
1
A. Nersesyan
G
A. Nersesyan
G
20
A. Tera
M
A. Tera
M
70
Bernardo Dias
M
Bernardo Dias
M
14
Bruno Pereira
D
Bruno Pereira
D
95
França
1 ⚽
M
França
1 ⚽
M
8
J. Balanta
M
J. Balanta
M
5
Luís Felipe
D
Luís Felipe
D
6
Michel Ayvazyan
M
90
Paul Ayongo
F
7
Z. Shaghoyan
M
Z. Shaghoyan
M
1
Žan-Luk Leban
G
Žan-Luk Leban
G
6
A. Tutyškinas
D
A. Tutyškinas
D
4
D. Hrka
M
D. Hrka
M
2
P. Širvys
D
P. Širvys
D
8
M. Kvesić
M
M. Kvesić
M
19
M. Zabukovnik
M
M. Zabukovnik
M
13
Papa Mustapha Daniel
M
Papa Mustapha Daniel
M
25
V. Tusha
M
V. Tusha
M
11
M. Avdyli
M
M. Avdyli
M
47
A. Kučys
F
A. Kučys
F
10
S. Sešlar
1 ⚽
M
S. Sešlar
1 ⚽
M
Bench
20
A. Dionkou
D
A. Dionkou
D
17
A. Kotnik
F
A. Kotnik
F
7
B. Verbič
M
B. Verbič
M
3
Damjan Vuklišević
D
Damjan Vuklišević
D
27
Ivan Ćalušić
D
Ivan Ćalušić
D
12
L. Kolar
G
L. Kolar
G
33
L. Koútris
D
L. Koútris
D
99
Matej Poplatnik
F
Matej Poplatnik
F
77
M. Ivanšek
M
M. Ivanšek
M
94
Rudi Požeg Vancaš
M
Rudi Požeg Vancaš
M
91
Y. Dukuly
M
Y. Dukuly
M
23
Ž. Frelih
G
Ž. Frelih
G
Ararat-Armenia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Bravim | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Grigoryan | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Malis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Wilson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Julio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Carlier | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Muradyan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Oliveira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zidane Banjaqui | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Serobyan | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celje — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žan-Luk Leban | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tutyškinas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Hrka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Širvys | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kvesić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zabukovnik | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Papa Mustapha Daniel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Tusha | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Avdyli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kučys | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sešlar | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
The final score was Ararat-Armenia 2–1 Celje.
What did the model predict before Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Ararat-Armenia win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Celje win.