Ararat-Armenia - NEC Nijmegen
Europa League
December 10, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.4%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
25.16%
Draw
30.43%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
1.47
1.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.6%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
25%
2
30%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
70%
X2
56%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ararat-Armenia a 44% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 30% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.2 for NEC Nijmegen (total 2.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.6% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
1.7
Conceded
5.0
1.3
Shots OT
3.0
1.7
Corners
1.0
29%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
1W
0D
1L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
0.0
2.0
Conceded
5.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Ararat-Armenia
NEC Nijmegen →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ararat-Armenia
Attack
38
Defence
72
Form
34
NEC Nijmegen
Attack
29
Defence
38
Form
17
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 44% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 30% for an NEC Nijmegen win.
How many goals are expected in Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen?
Expected goals: Ararat-Armenia 1.5, NEC Nijmegen 1.2 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.