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Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Praha

Europa League September 16, 2026 18:45
Ararat-Armenia
#2 · 0 pts
vs
Sparta Praha
#31 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.9%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
24.21%
Draw
27.89%
Win
Sparta Praha
1.7
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.8%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 24%
2 28%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 72%
X2 52%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ararat-Armenia a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 1.7 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.2 for Sparta Praha (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.8% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ararat-Armenia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sparta Praha.

Score Matrix

↕ Ararat-Armenia Sparta Praha →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.2% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
32
Defence
78
Form
63
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Ararat-Armenia
0
Draw
2
Sparta Praha
14 Aug 2025 Conference League 1–2
7 Aug 2025 Conference League 1–4

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 47% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 27% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Ararat-Armenia 1.7, Sparta Praha 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.8%.