Europa League
· League Stage - 1
September 16, 2026 18:45
B. R. Wilson Valdez
(ast. Sandro Lima)
55'
20'
(ast. A. Karabec)
T. Guddal
22'
T. Guddal
53'
(ast. J. Alcocer)
J. Mercado
71'
(ast. M. Jurasek)
P. Vydra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ararat-Armenia a 44% win probability (draw 22%, Sparta Praha 32%). The final result was Ararat-Armenia 1–4 Sparta Praha. In 2 previous meetings, Ararat-Armenia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sparta Praha.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
8
1.93
Actual xG
2.28
3
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
13
16
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
20'
ast. A. Karabec ·
T. Guddal⚽
22'
T. Guddal⚽
53'
ast. J. Alcocer ·
J. Mercado⚽
⚽B. R. Wilson Valdez
· ast. Sandro Lima
55'
A. Serobyan
57'
Benny
/ Franca Carlos
58'
61'
M. Vojta
/
J. Brunes
61'
P. Vydra
/
H. Sochurek
69'
M. Jurasek
/
J. Mercado
69'
A. Irving
/
A. Karabec
71'
ast. M. Jurasek ·
P. Vydra⚽
H. Oliveira
/ J. A. Balanta
72'
A. Serobyan
/ Z. Shaghoyan
72'
79'
J. Zeleny
/
M. Rynes
Z. Banjaqui
/ A. Ambartsumyan
80'
Sandro Lima
/ A. Eloyan
80'
E. Grigoryan
88'
K. Muradyan
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
44.86%
Ararat-Armenia
22.45%
X
32.69%
Sparta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha)
32.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
1.93
+0.05
1.39
2.28
+0.89
Sparta Praha dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.93).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
98
João Bravim
G
João Bravim
G
16
E. Grigoryan
D
E. Grigoryan
D
47
A. Malis
D
A. Malis
D
43
Bruno Wilson
1 ⚽
D
Bruno Wilson
1 ⚽
D
3
J. Julio
D
J. Julio
D
70
Bernardo Dias
58'
M
Bernardo Dias
58'
M
19
K. Muradyan
M
K. Muradyan
M
2
Hugo Oliveira
72'
M
Hugo Oliveira
72'
M
11
Zidane Banjaqui
80'
F
Zidane Banjaqui
80'
F
91
Sandro Lima
1 👟
80'
F
Sandro Lima
1 👟
80'
F
77
A. Serobyan
72'
F
A. Serobyan
72'
F
Bench
10
A. Ambartsumyan
10'
M
A. Ambartsumyan
10'
M
9
A. Eloyan
10'
M
A. Eloyan
10'
M
25
A. Ndour
F
A. Ndour
F
1
A. Nersesyan
G
A. Nersesyan
G
20
A. Tera
M
A. Tera
M
14
Bruno Pereira
D
Bruno Pereira
D
95
França
32'
F
França
32'
F
8
J. Balanta
18'
M
J. Balanta
18'
M
5
Luís Felipe
D
Luís Felipe
D
17
M. Carlier
M
M. Carlier
M
7
Z. Shaghoyan
18'
F
Z. Shaghoyan
18'
F
44
J. Surovčík
G
J. Surovčík
G
11
Matěj Ryneš
80'
D
Matěj Ryneš
80'
D
6
T. Guddal
2 ⚽
D
T. Guddal
2 ⚽
D
22
L. Mbe Soh
D
L. Mbe Soh
D
2
M. Suchomel
D
M. Suchomel
D
38
H. Sochurek
61'
M
H. Sochurek
61'
M
28
R. Macek
M
R. Macek
M
10
A. Karabec
1 👟
69'
M
A. Karabec
1 👟
69'
M
7
J. Alcócer
1 👟
F
J. Alcócer
1 👟
F
14
J. Braut Brunes
61'
F
J. Braut Brunes
61'
F
17
J. Mercado
1 ⚽
69'
F
J. Mercado
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
18
A. Irving
21'
M
A. Irving
21'
M
27
E. Singhateh
M
E. Singhateh
M
21
J. Grimaldo
F
J. Grimaldo
F
30
J. Zelený
10'
D
J. Zelený
10'
D
47
K. Hegyi
G
K. Hegyi
G
54
L. Franc
G
L. Franc
G
31
M. Jurásek
1 👟
21'
M
M. Jurásek
1 👟
21'
M
29
M. Vojta
29'
F
M. Vojta
29'
F
3
P. Kadeřábek
D
P. Kadeřábek
D
26
P. Vydra
1 ⚽
29'
M
P. Vydra
1 ⚽
29'
M
5
Santiago Eneme
M
Santiago Eneme
M
15
V. Vitályos
D
V. Vitályos
D
Best on the pitch
T. Guddal
D · Sparta
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 71 pass
J. Mercado
F · Sparta
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
A. Serobyan
F · Ararat-Armenia
7.90
1 shots
· 22 pass
Sandro Lima
F · Ararat-Armenia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
M. Jurásek
M · Sparta
7.30
1 👟
· 4 pass
R. Macek
M · Sparta
7.30
· 59 pass
Ararat-Armenia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Bravim | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Grigoryan | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Malis | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Julio | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Bernardo Dias | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Muradyan | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Oliveira | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Zidane Banjaqui | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 80 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Serobyan | F | 72 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Ambartsumyan | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Eloyan | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| França | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Balanta | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Z. Shaghoyan | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Sparta Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Surovčík | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Matěj Ryneš | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 43% | — | — | — |
| T. Guddal | D | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 71 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Mbe Soh | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| M. Suchomel | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Sochurek | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Macek | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Karabec | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Alcócer | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| J. Braut Brunes | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Mercado | F | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Irving | M | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Zelený | D | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Jurásek | M | 21 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Vojta | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Vydra | M | 29 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
The final score was Ararat-Armenia 1–4 Sparta Praha.
What did the model predict before Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Ararat-Armenia win, 22% to a draw, and 32% to an Sparta Praha win.