The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arda Kardzhali a 42% win probability (draw 34%, Cherno More Varna 23%). The final result was Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Cherno More Varna. In 4 previous meetings, Arda Kardzhali have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Cherno More Varna.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
2
1.93
Actual xG
0.34
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
1
Match Events
25'
V. Panayotov
56'
D. Martin
59'
G. Lazarov
/
N. Zlatev
68'
R. Stefanov
/
V. Drobarov
68'
A. Calcan
/
D. Teles
W. Samake
/ Patrick Luan
72'
S. Yusein
/ A. Shinyashiki
72'
S. Kovachev
86'
B. Karagaren
/ P. Krachunov
90'+3
90'+4
T. Panov
/
C. Sidney
Pre-match prediction
42.67%
Arda
34.05%
X ←
23.28%
Cherno
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.93
+0.82
0.77
0.34
-0.43
Arda Kardzhali dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
18
C. Hüseynov
D
C. Hüseynov
D
23
D
93
D
35
D. Velkovski
D
80
M
20
Serkan Yusein
M
2
Cascardo
D
Cascardo
D
99
B. Karagaren
M
30
W. Samaké
F
W. Samaké
F
10
S. Kovachev
M
Bench
11
Andre Shinyashiki
M
4
David Akintola Idowu
M
24
M. Paskalev
D
17
Patrick Luan
F
21
V. Velev
D
81
G
26
João Bandaró
D
3
Z. Atanasov
D
28
Vlatko Drobarov
D
15
Dani Martín
D
24
David Teles
M
10
A. Chandarov
M
71
V. Panayotov
M
50
D
77
Celso Sidney
F
39
Nikolay Zlatev
M
Bench
19
G. Lazarov
F
Arda Kardzhali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Hüseynov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Velkovski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Serkan Yusein | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cascardo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Karagaren | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Samaké | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kovachev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cherno More Varna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| João Bandaró | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Atanasov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vlatko Drobarov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Martín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Teles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Chandarov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Panayotov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Celso Sidney | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolay Zlatev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
The final score was Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Cherno More Varna.
What did the model predict before Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Arda Kardzhali win, 34% to a draw, and 23% to an Cherno More Varna win.