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Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv

First League May 16, 2026 18:00
Arda Kardzhali
#7 · 44 pts
vs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
#5 · 46 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 19.0°C 💨 17 km/h 🌧️ 33% · Kardzhali
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.58%
Win
Arda Kardzhali
28.91%
Draw
29.51%
Win
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.1
Expected xG
0.92

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arda Kardzhali a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Expected goals are 1.1 for Arda Kardzhali and 0.9 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv (total 2.0), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.5% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Arda Kardzhali have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Score Matrix
↕ Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Plovdiv →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2% 12.2% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% —
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
W Botev Plovdiv 1–2
L Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0
D Cherno More Varna 0–0
L Botev Plovdiv 0–2
W Ludogorets 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 43%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
L Cherno More Varna 2–0
W Arda Kardzhali 2–0
W Botev Plovdiv 0–2
L Cherno More Varna 0–1
D Beroe 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
Attack
29
Defence
68
Form
53
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Attack
24
Defence
82
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Arda Kardzhali
1
Draw
1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
L 8 May 2026 First League 0–2
W 6 Dec 2025 First League 2–0
D 11 Aug 2025 First League 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 30 70
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 34 77
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 34 64
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 30 60
3 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 30 59
3 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 34 63
4 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 30 56
4 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 34 63
5 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 34 54
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 30 46
6 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 30 44
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34 52
7 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 30 44
7 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 34 48
8 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 34 43
8 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 30 40
9 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 30 39
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 35 47
10 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 35 44
10 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 30 38
11 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 30 37
11 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 35 43
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 30 27
12 Beroe Beroe 35 34
13 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 30 26
13 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 35 32
14 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 30 26
14 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 35 31
15 Beroe Beroe 30 23
15 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 35 30
16 Montana Montana 30 17
16 Montana Montana 35 23
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The model gives Arda Kardzhali a 41% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win.
How many goals are expected in Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Expected goals: Arda Kardzhali 1.1, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.9 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.5%.