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Championship · Regular Season - 7 September 12, 2026 16:00
#11 · 17 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#12 · 16 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ards a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Rathfriland 23%). The final result was Ards 1–0 Rathfriland.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
51.95%
Ards ←
24.86%
X
23.19%
Rathfriland
we assigned to the actual result (Ards) 51.95% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ards
2.84
—
—
Rathfriland
0.75
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Annagh United Annagh United 15 34
2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 14 30
3 Newington Youth Newington Youth 14 29
4 Queen's University Queen's University 15 23
5 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 15 23
6 Institute Institute 14 21
7 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 15 21
8 Loughgall Loughgall 15 20
9 H&W Welders H&W Welders 14 19
10 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 13 18
11 Ards Ards 15 17
12 Rathfriland Rathfriland 14 16
13 Moyola Park Moyola Park 14 15
14 Dundela Dundela 13 11
15 Strabane Athletic Strabane Athletic 15 11
16 Armagh City Armagh City 15 9
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ards vs Rathfriland?
The final score was Ards 1–0 Rathfriland.
What did the model predict before Ards vs Rathfriland?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Ards win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Rathfriland win.