The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cremonese a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Arezzo 32%). The final result was Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
1.13
Actual xG
0.14
2
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
1
18
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Alberto Cerri
48'
55'
Tommaso Barbieri
/
Michele Collocolo
55'
Tommaso Berti
/
Marco Nasti
57'
Giuseppe Pezzella
59'
Giuseppe Pezzella
Emiliano Pattarello
/ Alessandro Arena
62'
Alberto Cerri
/ Leonardo Mancuso
62'
Giuseppe Kevin Leone
/ Camillo Tavernelli
62'
68'
Simone Lottici Tessadri
/
Jari Vandeputte
68'
Adin Ličina
/
Alberto Grassi
Luca Chierico
/ Shaka Mawuli Eklu
76'
76'
Manuel De Luca
/
Salvatore Elia
mattia sala
/ Pietro Cianci
78'
81'
Andrea Fulignati
83'
Fabio Pecchia
Alessandro Arena
89'
Pre-match prediction
32.45%
Arezzo
30.52%
X ←
37.03%
Cremonese
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.13
+0.13
1.41
0.14
-1.27
Arezzo dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
14
A. Nunziante
G
A. Nunziante
G
37
S. Righetti
D
S. Righetti
D
4
M. Coppolaro
D
M. Coppolaro
D
13
M. Gilli
D
M. Gilli
D
6
A. Renzi
D
A. Renzi
D
17
A. Ioniţă
M
A. Ioniţă
M
24
L. Chierico
76'
M
L. Chierico
76'
M
7
Giuseppe Kevin Leone
62'
M
Giuseppe Kevin Leone
62'
M
16
Mattia Sala
78'
F
Mattia Sala
78'
F
9
A. Cerri
62'
F
A. Cerri
62'
F
10
E. Pattarello
62'
F
E. Pattarello
62'
F
Bench
30
A. Arena
28'
F
A. Arena
28'
F
32
A. Cagnano
D
A. Cagnano
D
90
A. Seculin
G
A. Seculin
G
21
C. Tavernelli
28'
F
C. Tavernelli
28'
F
5
J. Illanes
D
J. Illanes
D
11
L. Mancuso
28'
F
L. Mancuso
28'
F
2
M. Mena
D
M. Mena
D
23
M. Viviani
M
M. Viviani
M
71
P. Cianci
12'
F
P. Cianci
12'
F
8
S. Mawuli
14'
M
S. Mawuli
14'
M
1
A. Fulignati
G
A. Fulignati
G
3
G. Pezzella
59'
D
G. Pezzella
59'
D
5
S. Luperto
D
S. Luperto
D
15
M. Bianchetti
D
M. Bianchetti
D
6
F. Baschirotto
D
F. Baschirotto
D
33
A. Grassi
68'
M
A. Grassi
68'
M
2
M. Thorsby
M
M. Thorsby
M
27
J. Vandeputte
68'
M
J. Vandeputte
68'
M
71
S. Elia
76'
M
S. Elia
76'
M
18
M. Collocolo
55'
M
M. Collocolo
55'
M
19
M. Nasti
55'
F
M. Nasti
55'
F
Bench
10
Adin Ličina
22'
M
Adin Ličina
22'
M
17
A. Lickūnas
F
A. Lickūnas
F
38
A. Vogliacco
D
A. Vogliacco
D
22
F. Agazzi
G
F. Agazzi
G
13
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
9
M. De Luca
14'
F
M. De Luca
14'
F
12
M. Festa
G
M. Festa
G
8
Simone Lottici Tessadri
22'
M
Simone Lottici Tessadri
22'
M
4
T. Barbieri
35'
D
T. Barbieri
35'
D
14
T. Berti
35'
M
T. Berti
35'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Righetti
D · Arezzo
8.00
3 shots
· 69 pass
M. Gilli
D · Arezzo
7.41
· 86 pass
L. Mancuso
F · Arezzo
7.26
3 shots
· 6 pass
M. Bianchetti
D · Cremonese
7.25
· 56 pass
A. Grassi
M · Cremonese
7.15
· 27 pass
M. Coppolaro
D · Arezzo
7.09
1 shots
· 109 pass
Arezzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nunziante | G | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Righetti | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 3 | 69 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Coppolaro | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 109 | 103% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gilli | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 86 | 82% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Renzi | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ioniţă | M | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Chierico | M | 76 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Giuseppe Kevin Leone | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Mattia Sala | F | 78 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 62 | 6.19 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Pattarello | F | 62 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Arena | F | 28 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Tavernelli | F | 28 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mancuso | F | 28 | 7.26 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Cianci | F | 12 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mawuli | M | 14 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fulignati | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Pezzella | D | 59 | 5.62 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | 1 |
| S. Luperto | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bianchetti | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Baschirotto | D | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Grassi | M | 68 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Thorsby | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Vandeputte | M | 68 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Elia | M | 76 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Collocolo | M | 55 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Nasti | F | 55 | 6.81 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Adin Ličina | M | 22 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 14 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Simone Lottici Tessadri | M | 22 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Barbieri | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 35 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arezzo vs Cremonese?
The final score was Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Arezzo vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Arezzo win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Cremonese win.