P. Cianci
(ast. C. Tavernelli)
60'
C. Tavernelli
(ast. P. Cianci)
74'
21'
(ast. Hernani)
D. Johnsen
55'
(ast. D. Johnsen)
F. Ranocchia
90'+4
T. Augello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Arezzo 33%). The final result was Arezzo 2–3 Palermo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
5
1.46
Actual xG
1.57
3
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
8
Corners
4
14
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
ast. Hernani ·
D. Johnsen⚽
C. Bucchi
30'
44'
G. Strefezza
55'
ast. D. Johnsen ·
F. Ranocchia⚽
59'
E. Gyasi
/
G. Strefezza
60'
D. Vavassori
/
D. Johnsen
⚽P. Cianci
· ast. C. Tavernelli
60'
66'
N. Estevez
/
Hernani
66'
T. Cassandro
/
N. Pierozzi
69'
N. Estevez
A. Arena
/ E. Pattarello
71'
⚽C. Tavernelli
· ast. P. Cianci
74'
P. Cianci
/ S. M. Eklu
76'
M. Sala
/ A. Cerri
77'
82'
A. Gabrielloni
/
J. Pohjanpalo
A. Ionita
85'
G. Iaccarino
/ M. Viviani
87'
C. Tavernelli
/ M. Varela Djamanca
87'
90'+4
T. Augello⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.87%
Arezzo
31.59%
X
34.54%
Palermo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo)
34.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.02
1.46
-0.56
0.52
1.57
+1.06
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
14
A. Nunziante
G
A. Nunziante
G
37
S. Righetti
D
S. Righetti
D
5
J. Illanes
D
J. Illanes
D
13
M. Gilli
D
M. Gilli
D
6
A. Renzi
D
A. Renzi
D
21
C. Tavernelli
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
C. Tavernelli
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
16
Mattia Sala
76'
M
Mattia Sala
76'
M
78
Gennaro Iaccarino
87'
M
Gennaro Iaccarino
87'
M
30
A. Arena
71'
M
A. Arena
71'
M
17
A. Ioniţă
F
A. Ioniţă
F
71
P. Cianci
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
P. Cianci
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
32
A. Cagnano
D
A. Cagnano
D
9
A. Cerri
17'
F
A. Cerri
17'
F
90
A. Seculin
G
A. Seculin
G
10
E. Pattarello
22'
F
E. Pattarello
22'
F
22
F. Serban
G
F. Serban
G
7
Giuseppe Kevin Leone
M
Giuseppe Kevin Leone
M
24
L. Chierico
M
L. Chierico
M
4
M. Coppolaro
D
M. Coppolaro
D
2
M. Mena
D
M. Mena
D
11
Muhamed Varela Djamanca
6'
F
Muhamed Varela Djamanca
6'
F
23
M. Viviani
6'
M
M. Viviani
6'
M
8
S. Mawuli
17'
M
S. Mawuli
17'
M
1
M. Perin
G
M. Perin
G
3
T. Augello
1 ⚽
D
T. Augello
1 ⚽
D
32
P. Ceccaroni
D
P. Ceccaroni
D
13
M. Bani
D
M. Bani
D
27
N. Pierozzi
66'
D
N. Pierozzi
66'
D
8
J. Segre
M
J. Segre
M
10
F. Ranocchia
1 ⚽
M
F. Ranocchia
1 ⚽
M
17
D. Johnsen
1 ⚽
1 👟
60'
M
D. Johnsen
1 ⚽
1 👟
60'
M
23
Hernani
1 👟
66'
M
Hernani
1 👟
66'
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
59'
M
Gabriel Strefezza
59'
M
20
J. Pohjanpalo
82'
F
J. Pohjanpalo
82'
F
Bench
33
A. Bozzolan
D
A. Bozzolan
D
99
A. Gabrielloni
11'
F
A. Gabrielloni
11'
F
6
C. Gomes
M
C. Gomes
M
9
D. Vavassori
33'
F
D. Vavassori
33'
F
11
E. Gyasi
34'
D
E. Gyasi
34'
D
93
F. Barba
D
F. Barba
D
96
G. Magnani
D
G. Magnani
D
14
M. Fortin
G
M. Fortin
G
12
M. Nespola
G
M. Nespola
G
24
N. Estévez
27'
M
N. Estévez
27'
M
29
P. Peda
D
P. Peda
D
84
T. Cassandro
27'
D
T. Cassandro
27'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Tavernelli
M · Arezzo
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 25 pass
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 61 pass
P. Cianci
F · Arezzo
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
D. Johnsen
M · Palermo
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
M. Gilli
D · Arezzo
7.20
1 shots
· 56 pass
Mattia Sala
M · Arezzo
7.20
2 shots
· 26 pass
Arezzo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nunziante | G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Righetti | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Illanes | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gilli | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Renzi | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Tavernelli | M | 87 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Sala | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| Gennaro Iaccarino | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Arena | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ioniţă | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Cianci | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pattarello | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Muhamed Varela Djamanca | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Viviani | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Mawuli | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Palermo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Perin | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Augello | D | 93 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| P. Ceccaroni | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 83 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bani | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pierozzi | D | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Segre | M | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ranocchia | M | 93 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 61 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Johnsen | M | 60 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Hernani | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Gabrielloni | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vavassori | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Gyasi | D | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Estévez | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arezzo vs Palermo?
The final score was Arezzo 2–3 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Arezzo vs Palermo?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Arezzo win, 31% to a draw, and 34% to an Palermo win.