World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 17, 2026 03:00
L. Messi
(ast. R. de Paul)
17'
L. Messi
60'
L. Messi
(ast. N. Gonzalez)
76'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Algeria 24%). The final result was Argentina 3–0 Algeria.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
1.23
Actual xG
0.31
0
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
2
24
Tackles
16
Match Events
8'
⚽L. Messi
· ast. R. de Paul
17'
G. Montiel
/ N. Molina
46'
L. Martinez
/ J. Alvarez
55'
T. Almada
/ N. Gonzalez
55'
⚽L. Messi
60'
64'
H. Aouar
/
H. Boudaoui
64'
M. Amoura
/
A. Gouiri
64'
R. Mahrez
/
A. Hadj Moussa
⚽L. Messi
· ast. N. Gonzalez
76'
L. Messi
/ N. Paz
80'
C. Romero
/ N. Otamendi
80'
81'
A. Boulbina
/
N. Bentaleb
82'
R. Zerrouki
/
I. Maza
Pre-match prediction
48.31%
Argentina ←
27.14%
X
24.55%
Algeria
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
48.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
1.23
-0.92
1.10
0.31
-0.79
Argentina dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Emiliano Martínez
G
Emiliano Martínez
G
25
Facundo Medina
D
Facundo Medina
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
13
Cristian Romero
80'
D
Cristian Romero
80'
D
4
Gonzalo Montiel
45'
D
Gonzalo Montiel
45'
D
16
T. Almada
55'
M
T. Almada
55'
M
24
Enzo Fernández
M
Enzo Fernández
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
1 👟
M
Rodrigo De Paul
1 👟
M
22
Lautaro Martínez
55'
F
Lautaro Martínez
55'
F
10
L. Messi
3 ⚽
80'
F
L. Messi
3 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
14
Exequiel Palacios
M
Exequiel Palacios
M
12
Gerónimo Rulli
G
Gerónimo Rulli
G
11
Giovani Lo Celso
M
Giovani Lo Celso
M
17
Giuliano Simeone
F
Giuliano Simeone
F
9
J. Álvarez
40'
F
J. Álvarez
40'
F
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
Juan Musso
G
Juan Musso
G
5
Leandro Paredes
M
Leandro Paredes
M
2
Marcos Senesi
D
Marcos Senesi
D
15
Nicolás González
1 👟
40'
F
Nicolás González
1 👟
40'
F
19
Nicolás Otamendi
15'
D
Nicolás Otamendi
15'
D
18
Nico Paz
15'
F
Nico Paz
15'
F
26
N. Molina
50'
D
N. Molina
50'
D
3
N. Tagliafico
D
N. Tagliafico
D
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
23
Luca Zidane
G
Luca Zidane
G
15
R. Aït-Nouri
D
R. Aït-Nouri
D
21
Ramy Bensebaini
D
Ramy Bensebaini
D
2
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
17
Rafik Belghali
D
Rafik Belghali
D
22
Ibrahim Maza
82'
M
Ibrahim Maza
82'
M
19
Nabil Bentaleb
81'
M
Nabil Bentaleb
81'
M
14
Hicham Boudaoui
64'
M
Hicham Boudaoui
64'
M
10
F. Chaïbi
F
F. Chaïbi
F
9
Amine Gouiri
64'
F
Amine Gouiri
64'
F
11
Anis Hadj Moussa
64'
F
Anis Hadj Moussa
64'
F
Bench
3
Achref Abada
D
Achref Abada
D
20
Adil Boulbina
14'
F
Adil Boulbina
14'
F
12
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali
F
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali
F
25
Farès Ghedjemis
F
Farès Ghedjemis
F
8
Houssem Aouar
31'
M
Houssem Aouar
31'
M
13
Jaouen Hadjam
D
Jaouen Hadjam
D
18
M. Amoura
31'
F
M. Amoura
31'
F
1
Melvin Mastil
G
Melvin Mastil
G
4
Mohamed Tougai
D
Mohamed Tougai
D
16
Oussama Benbot
G
Oussama Benbot
G
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
13'
M
Ramiz Zerrouki
13'
M
7
R. Mahrez
31'
F
R. Mahrez
31'
F
26
Samir Sophian Chergui
D
Samir Sophian Chergui
D
24
Yassine Titraoui
M
Yassine Titraoui
M
5
Zineddine Belaid
D
Zineddine Belaid
D
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
10.00
3 ⚽
6 shots
· 37 pass
Lisandro Martínez
D · Argentina
7.30
· 67 pass
Cristian Romero
D · Argentina
7.30
· 66 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Argentina
7.30
1 👟
· 51 pass
A. Mandi
D · Algeria
7.20
· 102 pass
Facundo Medina
D · Argentina
7.00
· 32 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Martínez | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Medina | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Romero | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Montiel | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Enzo Fernández | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 80 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 6 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás González | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Otamendi | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nico Paz | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Algeria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Zidane | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Aït-Nouri | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Ramy Bensebaini | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 91 | 85% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 102 | 98% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Maza | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Nabil Bentaleb | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Chaïbi | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Amine Gouiri | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Anis Hadj Moussa | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Adil Boulbina | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Mahrez | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Algeria?
The final score was Argentina 3–0 Algeria.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Algeria?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Argentina win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Algeria win.