World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 17, 2026 03:00
L. Messi
(ast. R. de Paul)
17'
L. Messi
60'
L. Messi
(ast. N. Gonzalez)
76'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Algeria 24%). The final result was Argentina 3–0 Algeria.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
1.23
Actual xG
0.31
0
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
2
Corners
2
24
Tackles
16
Match Events
8'
⚽L. Messi
· ast. R. de Paul
17'
G. Montiel
/ N. Molina
46'
L. Martinez
/ J. Alvarez
55'
T. Almada
/ N. Gonzalez
55'
⚽L. Messi
60'
64'
H. Aouar
/
H. Boudaoui
64'
M. Amoura
/
A. Gouiri
64'
R. Mahrez
/
A. Hadj Moussa
⚽L. Messi
· ast. N. Gonzalez
76'
L. Messi
/ N. Paz
80'
C. Romero
/ N. Otamendi
80'
81'
A. Boulbina
/
N. Bentaleb
82'
R. Zerrouki
/
I. Maza
Pre-match prediction
48.31%
Argentina ←
27.14%
X
24.55%
Algeria
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
48.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
1.23
-0.92
1.10
0.31
-0.79
Argentina dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
25
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
13
C. Romero
80'
D
C. Romero
80'
D
4
G. Montiel
45'
D
G. Montiel
45'
D
16
T. Almada
55'
M
T. Almada
55'
M
24
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
7
R. De Paul
1 👟
M
R. De Paul
1 👟
M
22
Lautaro Martínez
55'
F
Lautaro Martínez
55'
F
10
L. Messi
3 ⚽
80'
F
L. Messi
3 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
17
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
9
J. Álvarez
40'
F
J. Álvarez
40'
F
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
1 👟
40'
F
N. González
1 👟
40'
F
26
N. Molina
50'
D
N. Molina
50'
D
19
N. Otamendi
15'
D
N. Otamendi
15'
D
18
N. Paz
15'
F
N. Paz
15'
F
3
N. Tagliafico
D
N. Tagliafico
D
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
23
Luca Zidane
G
Luca Zidane
G
15
R. Aït-Nouri
D
R. Aït-Nouri
D
21
R. Bensebaïni
D
R. Bensebaïni
D
2
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
17
R. Belghali
D
R. Belghali
D
22
I. Maza
82'
M
I. Maza
82'
M
19
N. Bentaleb
81'
M
N. Bentaleb
81'
M
14
Hicham Boudaoui
64'
M
Hicham Boudaoui
64'
M
10
F. Chaïbi
F
F. Chaïbi
F
9
A. Gouiri
64'
F
A. Gouiri
64'
F
11
A. Hadj-Moussa
64'
F
A. Hadj-Moussa
64'
F
Bench
12
A. Benbouali
F
A. Benbouali
F
20
A. Boulbina
14'
F
A. Boulbina
14'
F
3
Achref Abada
D
Achref Abada
D
25
Farès Ghedjemis
F
Farès Ghedjemis
F
8
H. Aouar
31'
M
H. Aouar
31'
M
13
J. Hadjam
D
J. Hadjam
D
18
M. Amoura
31'
F
M. Amoura
31'
F
1
M. Mastil
G
M. Mastil
G
4
M. Tougai
D
M. Tougai
D
16
Oussama Benbot
G
Oussama Benbot
G
7
R. Mahrez
31'
F
R. Mahrez
31'
F
6
R. Zerrouki
13'
M
R. Zerrouki
13'
M
26
S. Chergui
D
S. Chergui
D
24
Y. Titraoui
M
Y. Titraoui
M
5
Z. Belaïd
D
Z. Belaïd
D
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
10.00
3 ⚽
6 shots
· 37 pass
Lisandro Martínez
D · Argentina
7.30
· 67 pass
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.30
· 66 pass
R. De Paul
M · Argentina
7.30
1 👟
· 51 pass
A. Mandi
D · Algeria
7.20
· 102 pass
F. Medina
D · Argentina
7.00
· 32 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 80 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 6 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| N. González | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Paz | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Algeria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Zidane | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Aït-Nouri | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 91 | 85% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 102 | 98% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Belghali | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Maza | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Chaïbi | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Boulbina | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| H. Aouar | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Mahrez | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Algeria?
The final score was Argentina 3–0 Algeria.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Algeria?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Argentina win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Algeria win.