World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 22, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Argentina
L. Messi
(ast. F. Medina)
38'
L. Messi
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Austria 14%). The final result was Argentina 2–0 Austria.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
2.65
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
3
21
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Messi
(missed pen.)
9'
⚽L. Messi
· ast. F. Medina
38'
40'
S. Posch
C. Romero
/ N. Otamendi
57'
T. Almada
/ J. Alvarez
64'
L. Martinez
/ N. Gonzalez
65'
67'
M. Friedl
/
D. Alaba
68'
A. Prass
/
S. Posch
68'
M. Arnautovic
/
P. Wanner
F. Medina
76'
76'
K. Laimer
78'
P. Wimmer
/
R. Schmid
R. de Paul
/ L. Paredes
82'
F. Medina
/ N. Tagliafico
82'
85'
C. Chukwuemeka
/
M. Gregoritsch
L. Paredes
90'+2
⚽L. Messi
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
63.29%
Argentina ←
22.42%
X
14.29%
Austria
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
63.29%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
2.65
+0.39
0.92
0.50
-0.42
Argentina dominated by xG (2.65 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
25
F. Medina
1 👟
82'
D
F. Medina
1 👟
82'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
13
C. Romero
57'
D
C. Romero
57'
D
26
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
16
T. Almada
64'
M
T. Almada
64'
M
24
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
7
R. De Paul
82'
M
R. De Paul
82'
M
22
Lautaro Martínez
65'
F
Lautaro Martínez
65'
F
10
L. Messi
2 ⚽
F
L. Messi
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
17
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
9
J. Álvarez
34'
F
J. Álvarez
34'
F
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
5
L. Paredes
16'
M
L. Paredes
16'
M
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
33'
F
N. González
33'
F
19
N. Otamendi
41'
D
N. Otamendi
41'
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
3
N. Tagliafico
16'
D
N. Tagliafico
16'
D
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
1
A. Schlager
G
A. Schlager
G
20
K. Laimer
D
K. Laimer
D
8
David Alaba
67'
D
David Alaba
67'
D
3
K. Danso
D
K. Danso
D
5
S. Posch
68'
D
S. Posch
68'
D
4
X. Schlager
M
X. Schlager
M
6
N. Seiwald
M
N. Seiwald
M
9
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
24
P. Wanner
68'
M
P. Wanner
68'
M
18
Romano Schmid
78'
M
Romano Schmid
78'
M
11
M. Gregoritsch
85'
F
M. Gregoritsch
85'
F
Bench
22
Alexander Prass
30'
D
Alexander Prass
30'
D
26
A. Schöpf
M
A. Schöpf
M
17
C. Chukwuemeka
13'
M
C. Chukwuemeka
13'
M
2
D. Affengruber
D
D. Affengruber
D
19
D. Ljubičić
M
D. Ljubičić
M
10
F. Grillitsch
M
F. Grillitsch
M
12
F. Wiegele
G
F. Wiegele
G
7
M. Arnautović
30'
F
M. Arnautović
30'
F
23
M. Friedl
31'
D
M. Friedl
31'
D
25
Michael Svoboda
D
Michael Svoboda
D
15
P. Lienhart
D
P. Lienhart
D
16
P. Mwene
D
P. Mwene
D
13
P. Pentz
G
P. Pentz
G
21
P. Wimmer
20'
M
P. Wimmer
20'
M
14
S. Kalajdzic
F
S. Kalajdzic
F
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
9.30
2 ⚽
7 shots
· 40 pass
David Alaba
D · Austria
7.90
· 46 pass
N. Seiwald
M · Austria
7.70
· 46 pass
Lisandro Martínez
D · Argentina
7.20
· 72 pass
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.20
· 48 pass
E. Fernández
M · Argentina
7.20
· 70 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 98 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 7 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| N. González | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 41 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Austria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schlager | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Alaba | D | 67 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Danso | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 80 | 70% | — | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| X. Schlager | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Seiwald | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Romano Schmid | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Prass | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Arnautović | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Friedl | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Austria?
The final score was Argentina 2–0 Austria.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Austria?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Argentina win, 22% to a draw, and 14% to an Austria win.