World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 22, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Argentina
L. Messi
(ast. F. Medina)
38'
L. Messi
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Austria 14%). The final result was Argentina 2–0 Austria.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
2.65
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
3
21
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Messi
(missed pen.)
9'
⚽L. Messi
· ast. F. Medina
38'
40'
S. Posch
C. Romero
/ N. Otamendi
57'
T. Almada
/ J. Alvarez
64'
L. Martinez
/ N. Gonzalez
65'
67'
M. Friedl
/
D. Alaba
68'
A. Prass
/
S. Posch
68'
M. Arnautovic
/
P. Wanner
F. Medina
76'
76'
K. Laimer
78'
P. Wimmer
/
R. Schmid
R. de Paul
/ L. Paredes
82'
F. Medina
/ N. Tagliafico
82'
85'
C. Chukwuemeka
/
M. Gregoritsch
L. Paredes
90'+2
⚽L. Messi
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
63.29%
Argentina ←
22.42%
X
14.29%
Austria
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
63.29%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
2.65
+0.39
0.92
0.50
-0.42
Argentina dominated by xG (2.65 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
25
F. Medina
1 👟
82'
D
F. Medina
1 👟
82'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
13
C. Romero
57'
D
C. Romero
57'
D
26
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
16
T. Almada
64'
M
T. Almada
64'
M
24
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
7
R. De Paul
82'
M
R. De Paul
82'
M
22
Lautaro Martínez
65'
F
Lautaro Martínez
65'
F
10
L. Messi
2 ⚽
F
L. Messi
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
Gonzalo Montiel
D
Gonzalo Montiel
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
17
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
9
J. Álvarez
34'
F
J. Álvarez
34'
F
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
5
L. Paredes
16'
M
L. Paredes
16'
M
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
33'
F
N. González
33'
F
19
Nicolás Otamendi
41'
D
Nicolás Otamendi
41'
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
3
N. Tagliafico
16'
D
N. Tagliafico
16'
D
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
1
Alexander Schlager
G
Alexander Schlager
G
20
K. Laimer
D
K. Laimer
D
8
David Alaba
67'
D
David Alaba
67'
D
3
Kevin Danso
D
Kevin Danso
D
5
S. Posch
68'
D
S. Posch
68'
D
4
Xaver Schlager
M
Xaver Schlager
M
6
Nicolas Seiwald
M
Nicolas Seiwald
M
9
M. Sabitzer
M
M. Sabitzer
M
24
P. Wanner
68'
M
P. Wanner
68'
M
18
Romano Schmid
78'
M
Romano Schmid
78'
M
11
Michael Gregoritsch
85'
F
Michael Gregoritsch
85'
F
Bench
26
Alessandro Schöpf
M
Alessandro Schöpf
M
22
Alexander Prass
30'
D
Alexander Prass
30'
D
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
13'
M
Carney Chukwuemeka
13'
M
2
David Affengruber
D
David Affengruber
D
19
Dejan Ljubičić
M
Dejan Ljubičić
M
10
Florian Grillitsch
M
Florian Grillitsch
M
12
Florian Wiegele
G
Florian Wiegele
G
23
Marco Friedl
31'
D
Marco Friedl
31'
D
7
Marko Arnautović
30'
F
25
Michael Svoboda
D
Michael Svoboda
D
13
Patrick Pentz
G
Patrick Pentz
G
21
Patrick Wimmer
20'
M
Patrick Wimmer
20'
M
15
Philipp Lienhart
D
Philipp Lienhart
D
16
Phillipp Mwene
D
Phillipp Mwene
D
14
Saša Kalajdžić
F
Saša Kalajdžić
F
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
9.30
2 ⚽
7 shots
· 40 pass
David Alaba
D · Austria
7.90
· 46 pass
Nicolas Seiwald
M · Austria
7.70
· 46 pass
Lisandro Martínez
D · Argentina
7.20
· 72 pass
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.20
· 48 pass
E. Fernández
M · Argentina
7.20
· 70 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 98 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 7 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| N. González | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Otamendi | D | 41 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Austria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schlager | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Alaba | D | 67 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 80 | 70% | — | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 68 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Seiwald | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Romano Schmid | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Michael Gregoritsch | F | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Prass | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Marco Friedl | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Marko Arnautović | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Wimmer | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Austria?
The final score was Argentina 2–0 Austria.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Austria?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Argentina win, 22% to a draw, and 14% to an Austria win.