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Argentina - Burkina Faso

Friendlies Internazionali October 03, 2026 22:00
Argentina
vs
Burkina Faso
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.21%
Win
Argentina
22.42%
Draw
20.37%
Win
Burkina Faso
2.95
Expected xG
0.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.52%)
1X2 Result
1 57%
X 22%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 43%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Argentina a 57% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Burkina Faso. Expected goals are 3.0 for Argentina and 0.8 for Burkina Faso (total 3.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.52% probability.

Season Stats

Argentina
4W 0D 0L
Burkina Faso
1W 2D 1L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
0.2
Conceded
1.5
5.0
Shots OT
3.0
3.0
Corners
5.5
71%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
50%
75%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Argentina
4W 0D 0L · at home
Burkina Faso
0W 1D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
0.2
Conceded
2.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
50%
25%
BTTS
50%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Argentina Burkina Faso →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% — —
1 7.1% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 10.4% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 7.7% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% —
5 4.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Argentina Argentina
W Iceland 3–0
W Honduras 2–0
W Zambia 5–0
W Mauritania 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
D Belarus 2–2
L Russia 3–0
D Guinea-Bissau 1–1
W Guinea-Bissau 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Argentina Argentina
Attack
61
Defence
96
Form
86
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
Attack
41
Defence
63
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Argentina vs Burkina Faso?
The model gives Argentina a 57% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 20% for an Burkina Faso win.
How many goals are expected in Argentina vs Burkina Faso?
Expected goals: Argentina 3.0, Burkina Faso 0.8 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Argentina vs Burkina Faso?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.52%.