✓Model correct — prediction Argentina
L. Messi
(ast. L. Martinez)
29'
L. Martinez
(ast. A. Mac Allister)
92'
D. Borges
111'
(og)
59'
(ast. R. Mendes)
D. Duarte
103'
(ast. Y. Semedo)
S. Lopes Cabral
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 71% win probability (draw 17%, Cape Verde Islands 10%). The final result was Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde Islands.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
10
Shots on target
5
2.16
Actual xG
0.45
3
Saves
8
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
8
22
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Messi
· ast. L. Martinez
29'
59'
ast. R. Mendes ·
D. Duarte⚽
L. Martinez
/ J. Alvarez
63'
T. Almada
/ N. Gonzalez
64'
67'
J. Monteiro
/
L. Duarte
67'
D. Livramento
/
N. Da Costa
68'
K. Lenini
80'
W. Semedo
/
R. Mendes
80'
H. Varela
/
J. Cabral
R. de Paul
/ L. Paredes
84'
F. Medina
/ N. Tagliafico
86'
⚽L. Martinez
· ast. A. Mac Allister
92'
100'
Y. Semedo
/
D. Duarte
100'
Benchimol
/
K. Lenini
103'
ast. Y. Semedo ·
S. Lopes Cabral⚽
N. Molina
/ G. Montiel
104'
⚽D. Borges
(og)
111'
G. Montiel
115'
Pre-match prediction
71.88%
Argentina ←
17.55%
X
10.57%
Cape
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
71.88%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.97
2.16
-0.81
0.93
0.45
-0.48
Argentina dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
25
F. Medina
86'
D
F. Medina
86'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Lisandro Martínez
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
13
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
26
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
16
T. Almada
64'
M
T. Almada
64'
M
24
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
20
A. Mac Allister
1 👟
M
A. Mac Allister
1 👟
M
7
R. De Paul
84'
M
R. De Paul
84'
M
22
Lautaro Martínez
63'
F
Lautaro Martínez
63'
F
10
L. Messi
1 ⚽
F
L. Messi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
G. Montiel
16'
D
G. Montiel
16'
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
17
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
9
J. Álvarez
57'
F
J. Álvarez
57'
F
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
5
L. Paredes
36'
M
L. Paredes
36'
M
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
56'
F
N. González
56'
F
19
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
3
N. Tagliafico
34'
D
N. Tagliafico
34'
D
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
1
Vózinha
G
Vózinha
G
13
Sidny Lopes Cabral
1 ⚽
D
Sidny Lopes Cabral
1 ⚽
D
3
Diney Borges
1 ⚽
D
Diney Borges
1 ⚽
D
4
Pico
D
Pico
D
22
S. Moreira
D
S. Moreira
D
6
Kevin Pina
M
Kevin Pina
M
7
Jovane Cabral
80'
M
Jovane Cabral
80'
M
14
Deroy Duarte
1 ⚽
M
15
L. Duarte
67'
M
L. Duarte
67'
M
20
Ryan Mendes
1 👟
80'
M
Ryan Mendes
1 👟
80'
M
21
Nuno Da Costa
67'
F
Nuno Da Costa
67'
F
Bench
23
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
19
D. Livramento
53'
F
D. Livramento
53'
F
11
Garry Rodrigues
F
9
Gilson Benchimol
20'
F
Gilson Benchimol
20'
F
26
Hélio Varela
40'
F
Hélio Varela
40'
F
10
Jamiro Monteiro
53'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
53'
M
8
João Paulo
M
João Paulo
M
25
Kelvin Pires
D
Kelvin Pires
D
5
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
12
Márcio Rosa
G
Márcio Rosa
G
2
Stopira
D
18
Telmo Arcanjo
M
Telmo Arcanjo
M
24
Wagner Pina
D
Wagner Pina
D
17
Willy Semedo
40'
F
Willy Semedo
40'
F
16
Yannick Semedo
1 👟
20'
M
Yannick Semedo
1 👟
20'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
9.30
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 43 pass
Lisandro Martínez
D · Argentina
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 120 pass
Vózinha
G · Cape
8.50
· 32 pass
R. De Paul
M · Argentina
7.60
· 77 pass
Sidny Lopes Cabral
D · Cape
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.20
1 shots
· 117 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 120 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 120 | 117% | — | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 117 | 112% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 104 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 112 | 103% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 89 | 80% | 4 | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 84 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 120 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 7 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| N. González | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
Cape Verde Islands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vózinha | G | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Sidny Lopes Cabral | D | 120 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Diney Borges | D | 120 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Pico | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pina | M | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jovane Cabral | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Deroy Duarte | M | 100 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Duarte | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Mendes | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Da Costa | F | 67 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Livramento | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilson Benchimol | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hélio Varela | F | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Willy Semedo | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Yannick Semedo | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands?
The final score was Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde Islands.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Argentina win, 17% to a draw, and 10% to an Cape Verde Islands win.