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Argentina - Costa Rica

Friendlies Internazionali November 17, 2026 22:00
Argentina
vs
Costa Rica
⚡ Pre-match analysis
62.05%
Win
Argentina
19.3%
Draw
18.65%
Win
Costa Rica
4.5
Expected xG
0.85

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (8.35%)
1X2 Result
1 62%
X 19%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 38%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Argentina a 62% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Costa Rica. Expected goals are 4.5 for Argentina and 0.9 for Costa Rica (total 5.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.35% probability.

Season Stats

Argentina
7W 0D 0L
Costa Rica
0W 1D 3L
Averages per game
3.7
Goals
0.8
0.1
Conceded
3.2
6.1
Shots OT
1.5
4.8
Corners
1.5
71%
Poss.
26%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
100%
14%
BTTS
50%
86%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
41%
BTTS
Argentina
7W 0D 0L · at home
Costa Rica
0W 1D 2L · away
3.7
gls/g
1.0
0.1
Conceded
2.7
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
100%
43%
O 3.5
67%
14%
BTTS
67%
86%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Argentina Costa Rica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% — — —
1 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% — —
2 4.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 8.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% —
5 7.3% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% —

Recent form

Argentina Argentina
W Benin 3–0
W Burkina Faso 7–0
W Bolivia 4–0
W Iceland 3–0
W Honduras 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Costa Rica Costa Rica
L England 3–0
L Colombia 3–1
L Iran 0–5
D Jordan 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Argentina Argentina
Attack
71
Defence
97
Form
90
Costa Rica Costa Rica
Attack
18
Defence
31
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Argentina vs Costa Rica?
The model gives Argentina a 62% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 18% for an Costa Rica win.
How many goals are expected in Argentina vs Costa Rica?
Expected goals: Argentina 4.5, Costa Rica 0.9 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Argentina vs Costa Rica?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.35%.