✓Model correct — prediction Argentina
C. Romero
(ast. L. Messi)
79'
L. Messi
(ast. G. Montiel)
83'
E. Fernandez
(ast. L. Martinez)
90'+2
15'
(ast. M. Attia)
Y. Ibrahim
67'
(ast. H. Hassan)
M. Ziko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 74% win probability (draw 17%, Egypt 8%). The final result was Argentina 3–2 Egypt.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
2.90
Actual xG
0.97
0
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
1
20
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
15'
ast. M. Attia ·
Y. Ibrahim⚽
⚽L. Messi
(missed pen.)
21'
46'
H. Fathy
/
E. Ashour
58'
N. Tagliafico
/ N. Gonzalez
66'
R. de Paul
/ L. Martinez
66'
67'
ast. H. Hassan ·
M. Ziko⚽
N. Molina
/ G. Montiel
73'
73'
Trezeguet
/
H. Hassan
⚽C. Romero
· ast. L. Messi
79'
80'
O. Marmoush
/
M. Ziko
⚽L. Messi
· ast. G. Montiel
83'
⚽E. Fernandez
· ast. L. Martinez
90'+2
90'+3
M. Shobeir
90'+4
H. Fathy
C. Romero
/ N. Otamendi
90'+5
J. Alvarez
/ F. Medina
90'+5
90'+6
Zizo
/
M. Lasheen
90'+8
M. Attia
90'+9
H. Hassan
90'+12
H. Hassan
Pre-match prediction
74.27%
Argentina ←
17.47%
X
8.26%
Egypt
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
74.27%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.60
2.90
+0.3
0.73
0.97
+0.24
Argentina dominated by xG (2.90 vs 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
3
N. Tagliafico
66'
D
N. Tagliafico
66'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
13
C. Romero
1 ⚽
D
C. Romero
1 ⚽
D
26
N. Molina
73'
D
N. Molina
73'
D
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
24
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
20
A. Mac Allister
M
A. Mac Allister
M
7
R. De Paul
66'
M
R. De Paul
66'
M
9
J. Álvarez
F
J. Álvarez
F
10
L. Messi
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
L. Messi
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
25
F. Medina
7'
D
F. Medina
7'
D
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
Gonzalo Montiel
1 👟
29'
D
Gonzalo Montiel
1 👟
29'
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
17
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
21
J. López
F
J. López
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
22
Lautaro Martínez
1 👟
36'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 👟
36'
F
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
36'
F
N. González
36'
F
19
Nicolás Otamendi
7'
D
Nicolás Otamendi
7'
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
16
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
15
Karim Hafez
D
Karim Hafez
D
5
Rami Rabia
D
Rami Rabia
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
1 ⚽
D
Yasser Ibrahim
1 ⚽
D
3
Mohamed Hany
D
Mohamed Hany
D
8
Emam Ashour
45'
M
Emam Ashour
45'
M
19
Marwan Attia
1 👟
M
Marwan Attia
1 👟
M
17
Mohanad Lasheen
M
Mohanad Lasheen
M
12
Haissem Hassan
1 👟
73'
M
Haissem Hassan
1 👟
73'
M
11
Mostafa Zico
1 ⚽
80'
F
Mostafa Zico
1 ⚽
80'
F
10
Mohamed Salah
F
Mohamed Salah
F
Bench
14
Hamdy Fathy
57'
M
Hamdy Fathy
57'
M
9
Hamza Abdelkarim
F
Hamza Abdelkarim
F
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
16
Mahdi Soliman
G
Mahdi Soliman
G
21
Mahmoud Saber
M
Mahmoud Saber
M
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El-Shenawy
G
Mohamed El-Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
22
Omar Marmoush
22'
F
Omar Marmoush
22'
F
24
Tarek Alaa
D
Tarek Alaa
D
7
Trézéguet
29'
F
Trézéguet
29'
F
25
Zizo
6'
F
Zizo
6'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 51 pass
L. Paredes
M · Argentina
8.20
1 shots
· 119 pass
E. Fernández
M · Argentina
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 80 pass
C. Romero
D · Argentina
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 64 pass
Mostafa Zico
F · Egypt
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Yasser Ibrahim
D · Egypt
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 102 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 102 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 119 | 115% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 102 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 80 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 102 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 102 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Montiel | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 36 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| N. González | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Otamendi | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Karim Hafez | D | 102 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 102 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 102 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 102 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mohanad Lasheen | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Haissem Hassan | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | F | 80 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 102 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Hamdy Fathy | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Trézéguet | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Zizo | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Egypt?
The final score was Argentina 3–2 Egypt.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Egypt?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Argentina win, 17% to a draw, and 8% to an Egypt win.