✓Model correct — prediction Argentina
A. Mac Allister
(ast. L. Messi)
10'
J. Alvarez
(ast. J. Lopez)
112'
L. Martinez
120'+1
67'
(ast. R. Rodriguez)
D. Ndoye
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentina a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Switzerland 14%). The final result was Argentina 3–1 Switzerland.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
5
1.96
Actual xG
0.53
4
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Mac Allister
· ast. L. Messi
10'
44'
B. Embolo
67'
ast. R. Rodriguez ·
D. Ndoye⚽
72'
B. Embolo
72'
B. Embolo
N. Tagliafico
/ N. Gonzalez
78'
R. de Paul
/ L. Martinez
85'
N. Molina
/ G. Montiel
85'
86'
S. Widmer
/
D. Sow
86'
Z. Amdouni
/
D. Ndoye
86'
M. Muheim
/
F. Rieder
90'+5
E. Comert
/
R. Rodriguez
E. Fernandez
/ T. Almada
91'
96'
A. Jashari
/
D. Zakaria
T. Almada
97'
L. Martinez
98'
C. Romero
/ N. Otamendi
106'
L. Paredes
/ J. Lopez
110'
⚽J. Alvarez
· ast. J. Lopez
112'
J. Lopez
114'
115'
R. Vargas
/
R. Freuler
⚽L. Martinez
120'+1
Pre-match prediction
62.93%
Argentina ←
22.51%
X
14.57%
Switzerland
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentina)
62.93%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.38
1.96
-0.42
0.94
0.53
-0.41
Argentina dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
3
N. Tagliafico
78'
D
N. Tagliafico
78'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
13
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
26
N. Molina
85'
D
N. Molina
85'
D
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
20
A. Mac Allister
1 ⚽
M
A. Mac Allister
1 ⚽
M
24
E. Fernández
M
E. Fernández
M
7
R. De Paul
85'
M
R. De Paul
85'
M
9
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
F
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
F
10
L. Messi
1 👟
F
L. Messi
1 👟
F
Bench
14
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
25
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
11
G. Lo Celso
M
G. Lo Celso
M
4
G. Montiel
39'
D
G. Montiel
39'
D
12
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
17
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
21
J. López
1 👟
14'
F
J. López
1 👟
14'
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
22
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
39'
F
Lautaro Martínez
1 ⚽
39'
F
2
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
15
N. González
46'
F
N. González
46'
F
19
N. Otamendi
19'
D
N. Otamendi
19'
D
18
N. Paz
F
N. Paz
F
16
T. Almada
34'
M
T. Almada
34'
M
8
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
1
Gregor Kobel
G
Gregor Kobel
G
13
Ricardo Rodríguez
1 👟
D
Ricardo Rodríguez
1 👟
D
5
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
4
Nico Elvedi
D
Nico Elvedi
D
6
D. Zakaria
D
D. Zakaria
D
10
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
11
D. Ndoye
1 ⚽
86'
M
D. Ndoye
1 ⚽
86'
M
22
Fabian Rieder
86'
M
Fabian Rieder
86'
M
15
Djibril Sow
86'
M
Djibril Sow
86'
M
7
B. Embolo
72'
F
B. Embolo
72'
F
Bench
14
Ardon Jashari
28'
M
Ardon Jashari
28'
M
24
Aurèle Amenda
D
Aurèle Amenda
D
26
Cédric Itten
F
Cédric Itten
F
16
Christian Fassnacht
M
Christian Fassnacht
M
18
Eray Cömert
29'
D
Eray Cömert
29'
D
25
Luca Jaquez
D
Luca Jaquez
D
20
M. Aebischer
M
M. Aebischer
M
21
Marvin Keller
G
Marvin Keller
G
2
Miro Muheim
38'
D
Miro Muheim
38'
D
19
N. Okafor
F
N. Okafor
F
17
Rubén Vargas
9'
M
Rubén Vargas
9'
M
3
S. Widmer
38'
D
S. Widmer
38'
D
12
Yvon Mvogo
G
Yvon Mvogo
G
23
Z. Amdouni
38'
F
Z. Amdouni
38'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Argentina
8.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 68 pass
A. Mac Allister
M · Argentina
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 53 pass
J. Álvarez
F · Argentina
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Switzerland
7.50
3 shots
· 72 pass
E. Martínez
G · Argentina
7.30
· 42 pass
T. Almada
M · Argentina
7.30
3 shots
· 27 pass
Argentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 124 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 27% | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 124 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 105 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 110 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 119 | 112% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 124 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 53 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | — | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 124 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 124 | 8.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 68 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. López | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 39 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| N. González | F | 46 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 34 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
Switzerland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | G | 124 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 124 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 124 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 124 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 115 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Ndoye | M | 86 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rieder | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| B. Embolo | F | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Eray Cömert | D | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Miro Muheim | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rubén Vargas | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Widmer | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentina vs Switzerland?
The final score was Argentina 3–1 Switzerland.
What did the model predict before Argentina vs Switzerland?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Argentina win, 22% to a draw, and 14% to an Switzerland win.