Argentina - Uruguay
Friendlies Internazionali
November 13, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.85%
Win
Argentina
19.16%
Draw
19.99%
Win
Uruguay
4.5
1.94
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–1
(7.06%)
1X2 Result
1
61%
X
19%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
39%
12
81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Argentina a 60% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Uruguay. Expected goals are 4.5 for Argentina and 1.9 for Uruguay (total 6.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.06% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Argentina have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Uruguay.
Season Stats
7W
0D
0L
2W
2D
1L
Averages per game
3.7
Goals
2.4
0.1
Conceded
1.2
6.1
Shots OT
4.0
4.8
Corners
2.8
71%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
86%
O 2.5
60%
14%
BTTS
80%
86%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
52%
O 3.5
47%
BTTS
7W
0D
0L
· at home
2W
2D
1L
· away
3.7
gls/g
2.4
0.1
Conceded
1.2
100%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
80%
86%
O 2.5
60%
43%
O 3.5
60%
14%
BTTS
80%
86%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Argentina
Uruguay →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 5 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Argentina
Attack
71
Defence
97
Form
90
Uruguay
Attack
58
Defence
61
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Unavailable
Uruguay
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Argentina vs Uruguay?
The model gives Argentina a 60% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 19% for an Uruguay win.
How many goals are expected in Argentina vs Uruguay?
Expected goals: Argentina 4.5, Uruguay 1.9 (total 6.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Argentina vs Uruguay?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.06%.