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Argentinos JRS - Gimnasia L.P.

Liga Profesional September 13, 2026 22:00
#1 · 17 pts
vs
#3 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.68%
Win
Argentinos JRS
21.1%
Draw
20.22%
Win
Gimnasia L.P.
1.98
Expected xG
1.05
Most likely outcome
Argentinos JRS
58.68%
Probability
82.4%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.12%)
1X2 Result ✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1 59%
X 21%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 41%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Argentinos JRS a 58% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Gimnasia L.P.. Expected goals are 2.0 for Argentinos JRS and 1.0 for Gimnasia L.P. (total 3.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.12% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Argentinos JRS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia L.P..

Season Stats

Argentinos JRS
9W 3D 3L
Gimnasia L.P.
10W 0D 5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.2
4.7
Shots OT
3.9
5.8
Corners
3.7
61%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Profesional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Argentinos JRS
9W 1D 0L · at home
Gimnasia L.P.
6W 0D 4L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.1
0.6
Conceded
1.3
90%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Argentinos JRS Gimnasia L.P. →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

D Barracas Central 0–0
W Aldosivi 2–1
D Lanus 1–1
L River Plate 2–0
W Racing Club 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
W Tigre 2–1
W Rosario Central 1–2
L Gimnasia M. 2–3
L Estudiantes L.P. 4–0
W Barracas Central 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
Attack
42
Defence
72
Form
66
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Attack
35
Defence
63
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Argentinos JRS
0
Draw
1
Gimnasia L.P.
3 May 2026 Liga Profesional 0–2

Clausura - Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 8 17
2 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 8 15
3 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 8 15
4 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 8 13
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 8 12
6 Tigre Tigre 8 12
7 Rosario Central Rosario Central 8 12
8 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 8 11
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 8 11
10 River Plate River Plate 8 10
11 Huracan Huracan 8 10
12 Banfield Banfield 8 7
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 8 6
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 8 5
15 Racing Club Racing Club 8 5

What's at stake · Clausura - Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Argentinos JRS Gimnasia L.P.
Current #1 #3
Argentinos JRS #1 #3
Draw #1 #2
Gimnasia L.P. #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The model gives Argentinos JRS a 58% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 20% for an Gimnasia L.P. win.
How many goals are expected in Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Expected goals: Argentinos JRS 2.0, Gimnasia L.P. 1.0 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Argentinos JRS vs Gimnasia L.P.?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.12%.