Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Round of 16
May 10, 2026 03:15
✓Model correct — prediction Argentinos JRS
F. Alvarez
(ast. N. Oroz)
28'
A. Lescano
(ast. R. D. Riquelme)
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Argentinos JRS a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Lanus 17%). The final result was Argentinos JRS 2–0 Lanus. In 2 previous meetings, Argentinos JRS have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lanus.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
0.50
Actual xG
0.33
2
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
17
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
R. D. Riquelme
21'
22'
E. Salvio
23'
D. Aquino
⚽F. Alvarez
· ast. N. Oroz
28'
F. Fattori
41'
H. Lopez
/ I. Morales
60'
F. Jainikoski
/ D. Porcel
60'
64'
L. Besozzi
/
D. Aquino
64'
Y. Valois
/
E. Salvio
D. Porcel
70'
74'
T. Guidara
78'
Marcelino Moreno
79'
F. Pena Biafore
/
S. Marcich
79'
M. Sepulveda
/
A. Medina
N. Oroz
/ E. Perez
83'
S. Prieto
/ C. Bravo
83'
85'
W. Bou
/
R. Carrera
T. Molina
/ E. Godoy
89'
⚽A. Lescano
· ast. R. D. Riquelme
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
56.45%
Argentinos ←
25.76%
X
17.78%
Lanus
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Argentinos JRS)
56.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.50
-0.99
0.61
0.33
-0.28
xG dominance was balanced (0.50 – 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
B. Cortés
G
B. Cortés
G
20
S. Prieto
83'
D
S. Prieto
83'
D
6
R. Riquelme
1 👟
D
R. Riquelme
1 👟
D
16
F. Álvarez
1 ⚽
D
F. Álvarez
1 ⚽
D
22
L. Lozano
D
L. Lozano
D
11
N. Oroz
1 👟
83'
M
N. Oroz
1 👟
83'
M
24
F. Fattori
M
F. Fattori
M
10
A. Lescano
1 ⚽
M
A. Lescano
1 ⚽
M
48
F. Jainikoski
60'
F
F. Jainikoski
60'
F
27
T. Molina
89'
F
T. Molina
89'
F
23
H. López
60'
F
H. López
60'
F
Bench
26
C. Bravo
12'
D
C. Bravo
12'
D
47
D. Porcel
35'
F
D. Porcel
35'
F
4
É. Godoy
6'
D
É. Godoy
6'
D
33
E. Pérez
12'
M
E. Pérez
12'
M
17
F. Paredes
D
F. Paredes
D
21
G. Florentín
M
G. Florentín
M
12
G. Siri
G
G. Siri
G
30
I. Morales
35'
F
I. Morales
35'
F
14
K. Coronel
D
K. Coronel
D
7
L. Giaccone
M
L. Giaccone
M
8
L. Gómez
M
L. Gómez
M
34
Ryoga Kida
F
Ryoga Kida
F
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
79'
D
S. Marcich
79'
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
D
C. Izquierdoz
D
33
T. Guidara
D
T. Guidara
D
17
A. Medina
79'
M
A. Medina
79'
M
30
A. Cardozo
M
A. Cardozo
M
25
D. Aquino
64'
M
D. Aquino
64'
M
10
M. Moreno
M
M. Moreno
M
11
E. Salvio
64'
M
E. Salvio
64'
M
23
R. Carrera
85'
F
R. Carrera
85'
F
Bench
20
Bruno Cabrera
F
Bruno Cabrera
F
5
F. Peña
16'
M
F. Peña
16'
M
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
27
F. Sánchez
D
F. Sánchez
D
8
F. Watson
M
F. Watson
M
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
77
L. Besozzi
31'
F
L. Besozzi
31'
F
16
M. Sepúlveda
16'
M
M. Sepúlveda
16'
M
3
N. Morgantini
D
N. Morgantini
D
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
9
W. Bou
10'
F
W. Bou
10'
F
19
Y. Valois
31'
F
Y. Valois
31'
F
Best on the pitch
F. Álvarez
D · Argentinos
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
B. Cortés
G · Argentinos
7.70
· 29 pass
F. Fattori
M · Argentinos
7.70
· 74 pass
N. Losada
G · Lanus
7.70
· 25 pass
S. Prieto
D · Argentinos
7.30
1 shots
· 32 pass
N. Oroz
M · Argentinos
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
Argentinos JRS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Cortés | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Prieto | D | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Riquelme | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 95 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lozano | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| N. Oroz | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| F. Fattori | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Lescano | M | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Jainikoski | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Molina | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. López | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Bravo | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Porcel | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| É. Godoy | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pérez | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Morales | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Medina | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D. Aquino | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Carrera | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Besozzi | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| W. Bou | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Argentinos JRS vs Lanus?
The final score was Argentinos JRS 2–0 Lanus.
What did the model predict before Argentinos JRS vs Lanus?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Argentinos JRS win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Lanus win.