Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFI — pre-match prediction — Super League — May 10, 2026

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Super League · Conference League Group - 4 May 10, 2026 16:00

Aris Thessalonikis

#2 · 28 pts

3 – 1

Final score

OFI

#3 · 20 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Aris Thessalonikis

B. Garre (ast. C. Kouame) 19'

C. Kouame (ast. Dudu) 42'

C. Kouame (ast. G. Gianniotas) 79'

88' (ast. K. Kostoulas) J. Neira

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aris Thessalonikis a 55% win probability (draw 28%, OFI 15%). The final result was Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFI. In 3 previous meetings, Aris Thessalonikis have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OFI.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.40

Actual xG

1.30

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽B. Garre · ast. C. Kouame

19'

⚽C. Kouame · ast. Dudu

42'

46'

K. Kostoulas / V. Lampropoulos ↕

46'

I. Apostolakis / A. Androutsos ↕

↕ C. Perez / G. Gianniotas

46'

M. Frydek

58'

↕ F. Jensen / M. Hongla

63'

↕ Dudu / O. Boussaid

64'

69'

Z. Karachalios / G. Kanellopoulos ↕

↕ N. Fadiga / A. Tejero

70'

76'

J. Neira / T. Nuss ↕

⚽C. Kouame · ast. G. Gianniotas

79'

80'

T. Romano / T. Fountas ↕

↕ B. Garre / M. Gning

83'

87'

A. Poungouras

88'

ast. K. Kostoulas · J. Neira⚽

Pre-match prediction

55.14%

Aris ←

28.96%

15.9%

OFI

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Aris Thessalonikis) 55.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Aris

1.70

1.40

-0.3

OFI

0.76

1.30

+0.54

xG dominance was balanced (1.40 – 1.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atromitos	34	43
1	Levadiakos	31	31
1	AEK Athens FC	31	71
2	Kifisia	34	37
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	31	65
2	Aris Thessalonikis	31	28
3	Panetolikos	34	35
3	OFI	31	20
3	PAOK	31	63
4	Asteras Tripolis	34	32
4	Panathinaikos	31	51
4	Volos NFC	31	17
5	Panserraikos	34	28
6	Larisa	34	27

Lineups

Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1

Giorgos Athanasiadis 86' G 7.50

Martin Frýdek 86' D 7.20

Lindsay Rose 86' D 7.20

Fabiano 86' D 7.00

Noah Fadiga 70' D 6.50

Uroš Račić 86' M 6.60

Fredrik Jensen 63' M 6.20

Dudu 1 👟 64' M 7.70

Carles Pérez 45' M 7.30

Benjamín Garré 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.90

Christian Kouamé 2 ⚽ 1 👟 86' F 10.00

Bench

Álvaro Tejero 16' D 6.60

Anastasios Donis F

Emiliano Karaj G

Giannis Gianniotas 1 👟 41' F 7.30

Hamza Mendyl D

Kostas Galanopoulos M

Loren Morón F

Lovro Majkić G

Mamadou Gning 3' F

Martin Hongla 23' M 6.50

Noah Sonko Sundberg D

Othmane Boussaid 22' M 6.50

OFI 3-4-3

Klidman Lilo 86' G 6.20

Krešimir Krizmanić 86' D 5.50

Vasilis Lampropoulos 45' D 6.70

Achilleas Poungouras 86' D 6.20

Nikolaos Athanasiou 86' M 6.90

Athanasios Androutsos 45' M 6.50

Georgios Kanellopoulos 69' M 6.90

Levan Shengelia 86' M 6.30

Thiago Nuss 76' F 7.20

Aaron Leya Iseka 86' F 6.20

Taxiarchis Fountas 80' F 6.90

Bench

Eddie Salcedo F

Filip Bainović M

Giannis Apostolakis 41' M 6.30

Giannis Theodosoulakis F

Ilias Chatzitheodoridis D

Juan Angel Neira 1 ⚽ 10' F 6.30

Konstantinos Kostoulas 1 👟 41' D 6.30

Nikolaos Christogeorgos G

Nikolaos Marinakis D

Panagiotis Katsikas G

Thiago Romano 6' M

Zisis Karachalios 17' M 6.20

Best on the pitch

Christian Kouamé

F · Aris

10.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 21 pass

Benjamín Garré

M · Aris

8.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 43 pass

Dudu

M · Aris

7.70

1 👟

· 22 pass

Giorgos Athanasiadis

G · Aris

7.50

· 34 pass

Giannis Gianniotas

F · Aris

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 11 pass

Carles Pérez

M · Aris

7.30

· 18 pass

Aris Thessalonikis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Giorgos Athanasiadis	G	86	7.50	—	—	—	34	26%	—	—	—
Martin Frýdek	D	86	7.20	—	—	1	38	33%	2	1	—
Lindsay Rose	D	86	7.20	—	—	—	29	25%	1	—	—
Fabiano	D	86	7.00	—	—	1	54	47%	2	—	—
Noah Fadiga	D	70	6.50	—	—	—	24	20%	1	—	—
Uroš Račić	M	86	6.60	—	—	2	27	24%	1	—	—
Fredrik Jensen	M	63	6.20	—	—	1	26	19%	2	—	—
Dudu	M	64	7.70	—	1	—	22	15%	2	—	—
Carles Pérez	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	18	17%	2	—	—
Benjamín Garré	M	83	8.90	1	—	2	43	39%	1	—	—
Christian Kouamé	F	86	10.00	2	1	3	21	15%	1	—	—
Álvaro Tejero	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Giannis Gianniotas	F	41	7.30	—	1	1	11	8%	2	—	—
Mamadou Gning	F	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Martin Hongla	M	23	6.50	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Othmane Boussaid	M	22	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

OFI — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Klidman Lilo	G	86	6.20	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
Krešimir Krizmanić	D	86	5.50	—	—	1	48	41%	1	—	—
Vasilis Lampropoulos	D	45	6.70	—	—	1	22	20%	1	—	—
Achilleas Poungouras	D	86	6.20	—	—	—	56	52%	1	—	—
Nikolaos Athanasiou	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	20	13%	1	—	—
Athanasios Androutsos	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
Georgios Kanellopoulos	M	69	6.90	—	—	1	40	38%	2	—	—
Levan Shengelia	M	86	6.30	—	—	—	43	35%	—	—	—
Thiago Nuss	F	76	7.20	—	—	4	14	14%	4	—	—
Aaron Leya Iseka	F	86	6.20	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
Taxiarchis Fountas	F	80	6.90	—	—	1	27	24%	—	—	—
Giannis Apostolakis	M	41	6.30	—	—	—	24	21%	—	—	—
Juan Angel Neira	F	10	6.30	1	—	1	10	10%	—	—	—
Konstantinos Kostoulas	D	41	6.30	—	1	—	29	21%	—	—	—
Thiago Romano	M	6	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Zisis Karachalios	M	17	6.20	—	—	2	14	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI?

The final score was Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFI.

What did the model predict before Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI?

The model assigned 55% probability to a Aris Thessalonikis win, 28% to a draw, and 15% to an OFI win.