Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFI — pre-match prediction — Super League — May 10, 2026

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Super League · Conference League Group - 4 May 10, 2026 16:00

Aris Thessalonikis

#4 · 16 pts

3 – 1

Final score

OFI

#6 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Aris Thessalonikis

B. Garre (ast. C. Kouame) 19'

C. Kouame (ast. Dudu) 42'

C. Kouame (ast. G. Gianniotas) 79'

88' (ast. K. Kostoulas) J. Neira

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aris Thessalonikis a 55% win probability (draw 28%, OFI 15%). The final result was Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFI. In 4 previous meetings, Aris Thessalonikis have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OFI.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.40

Actual xG

1.30

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽B. Garre · ast. C. Kouame

19'

⚽C. Kouame · ast. Dudu

42'

46'

K. Kostoulas / V. Lampropoulos ↕

46'

I. Apostolakis / A. Androutsos ↕

↕ C. Perez / G. Gianniotas

46'

M. Frydek

58'

↕ F. Jensen / M. Hongla

63'

↕ Dudu / O. Boussaid

64'

69'

Z. Karachalios / G. Kanellopoulos ↕

↕ N. Fadiga / A. Tejero

70'

76'

J. Neira / T. Nuss ↕

⚽C. Kouame · ast. G. Gianniotas

79'

80'

T. Romano / T. Fountas ↕

↕ B. Garre / M. Gning

83'

87'

A. Poungouras

88'

ast. K. Kostoulas · J. Neira⚽

Pre-match prediction

55.14%

Aris ←

28.96%

15.9%

OFI

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Aris Thessalonikis) 55.14% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Aris

1.70

1.40

-0.3

OFI

0.76

1.30

+0.54

xG dominance was balanced (1.40 – 1.30). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	21
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	19
3	AEK Athens FC	7	17
4	Aris Thessalonikis	8	16
5	PAOK	8	15
6	OFI	8	13
7	Kifisia	8	11
8	Kalamata	8	10
9	Iraklis 1908	8	9
10	Panetolikos	8	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	6
12	Levadiakos	8	3
13	Atromitos	7	2
14	Volos NFC	8	0

Lineups

Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1

G. Athanasiadis 86' G 7.50

Martin Frýdek 86' D 7.20

Lindsay Rose 86' D 7.20

Fabiano 86' D 7.00

N. Fadiga 70' D 6.50

U. Račić 86' M 6.60

F. Jensen 63' M 6.20

Dudu 1 👟 64' M 7.70

Carles Pérez 45' M 7.30

B. Garré 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.90

C. Kouamé 2 ⚽ 1 👟 86' F 10.00

Bench

Álvaro Tejero 16' D 6.60

Anastasios Donis F

Emiliano Karaj G

G. Gianniotas 1 👟 41' F 7.30

H. Mendyl D

K. Galanopoulos M

L. Majkić G

Loren Morón F

Mamadou Gning 3' F

M. Hongla 23' M 6.50

Noah Sonko Sundberg D

O. Boussaid 22' M 6.50

OFI 3-4-3

K. Lilo 86' G 6.20

K. Krizmanić 86' D 5.50

V. Lampropoulos 45' D 6.70

A. Poungouras 86' D 6.20

N. Athanasiou 86' M 6.90

T. Androutsos 45' M 6.50

G. Kanellópoulos 69' M 6.90

L. Shengelia 86' M 6.30

T. Nuss 76' F 7.20

A. Leya 86' F 6.20

T. Fountas 80' F 6.90

Bench

E. Salcedo F

Filip Bainović M

G. Apostolakis 41' M 6.30

G. Theodosoulakis F

I. Chatzitheodoridis D

Juan Angel Neira 1 ⚽ 10' F 6.30

K. Kostoulas 1 👟 41' D 6.30

N. Christogeorgos G

Nikolaos Marinakis D

P. Katsikas G

T. Romano 6' M

Z. Karachalios 17' M 6.20

Best on the pitch

C. Kouamé

F · Aris

10.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 21 pass

B. Garré

M · Aris

8.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 43 pass

Dudu

M · Aris

7.70

1 👟

· 22 pass

G. Athanasiadis

G · Aris

7.50

· 34 pass

G. Gianniotas

F · Aris

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 11 pass

Carles Pérez

M · Aris

7.30

· 18 pass

Aris Thessalonikis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Athanasiadis	G	86	7.50	—	—	—	34	26%	—	—	—
Martin Frýdek	D	86	7.20	—	—	1	38	33%	2	1	—
Lindsay Rose	D	86	7.20	—	—	—	29	25%	1	—	—
Fabiano	D	86	7.00	—	—	1	54	47%	2	—	—
N. Fadiga	D	70	6.50	—	—	—	24	20%	1	—	—
U. Račić	M	86	6.60	—	—	2	27	24%	1	—	—
F. Jensen	M	63	6.20	—	—	1	26	19%	2	—	—
Dudu	M	64	7.70	—	1	—	22	15%	2	—	—
Carles Pérez	M	45	7.30	—	—	—	18	17%	2	—	—
B. Garré	M	83	8.90	1	—	2	43	39%	1	—	—
C. Kouamé	F	86	10.00	2	1	3	21	15%	1	—	—
Álvaro Tejero	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
G. Gianniotas	F	41	7.30	—	1	1	11	8%	2	—	—
Mamadou Gning	F	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Hongla	M	23	6.50	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
O. Boussaid	M	22	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

OFI — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Lilo	G	86	6.20	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
K. Krizmanić	D	86	5.50	—	—	1	48	41%	1	—	—
V. Lampropoulos	D	45	6.70	—	—	1	22	20%	1	—	—
A. Poungouras	D	86	6.20	—	—	—	56	52%	1	—	—
N. Athanasiou	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	20	13%	1	—	—
T. Androutsos	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
G. Kanellópoulos	M	69	6.90	—	—	1	40	38%	2	—	—
L. Shengelia	M	86	6.30	—	—	—	43	35%	—	—	—
T. Nuss	F	76	7.20	—	—	4	14	14%	4	—	—
A. Leya	F	86	6.20	—	—	—	13	10%	—	—	—
T. Fountas	F	80	6.90	—	—	1	27	24%	—	—	—
G. Apostolakis	M	41	6.30	—	—	—	24	21%	—	—	—
Juan Angel Neira	F	10	6.30	1	—	1	10	10%	—	—	—
K. Kostoulas	D	41	6.30	—	1	—	29	21%	—	—	—
T. Romano	M	6	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Z. Karachalios	M	17	6.20	—	—	2	14	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI?

The final score was Aris Thessalonikis 3–1 OFI.

What did the model predict before Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI?

The model assigned 55% probability to a Aris Thessalonikis win, 28% to a draw, and 15% to an OFI win.