G. Kastanos
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aris a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Apoel Nicosia 25%). The final result was Aris 1–0 Apoel Nicosia. In 3 previous meetings, Aris have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Apoel Nicosia.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.46
Actual xG
1.28
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
6
Match Events
L. Balogun
/ C. Fi Akamba
46'
51'
Dalcio
⚽G. Kastanos
55'
58'
P. Olayinka
/
M. Tomas
59'
S. Drazic
/
N. Koutsakos
R. Effaghe
/ A. Kokorin
65'
V. Nikolic
/ A. Kakoullis
65'
67'
Gabriel Maioli
/
D. Mancini
67'
C. Poursaitidis
/
Nanu
74'
P. Kattirtzis
/
Diego Rosa
D. Gaustad
/ G. Kalulu
76'
Y. Bourhane
84'
84'
Gabriel Maioli
C. Charalampous
/ M. Theodosiou
88'
90'+6
P. Olayinka
90'+6
K. Laifis
90'+7
90'+7
K. Laifis
90'+7
K. Laifis
Pre-match prediction
50.82%
Aris ←
24.03%
X
25.14%
Apoel
we assigned to the actual result (Aris)
50.82%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
1.46
-0.27
1.08
1.28
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
7
Anderson Correia
D
27
Leon Balogun
D
28
Grigoris Kastanos
1 ⚽
M
19
D
76
C. Charalampous
M
C. Charalampous
M
22
Veljko Nikolić
M
66
Jaden Montnor
M
18
Yacine Bourhane
M
Yacine Bourhane
M
29
Dennis Bakke Gaustad
M
99
R. Effaghe
F
R. Effaghe
F
Bench
80
Andronikos Kakoullis
F
45
Ross McCausland
M
1
Gabriel Pereira
G
6
Vitor Meer
D
34
K. Laifis
D
K. Laifis
D
5
D
2
D
14
Nanú
D
20
Dálcio
M
29
Diego Rosa
M
15
Mathías Tomás
M
Mathías Tomás
M
89
N. Koutsakos
F
N. Koutsakos
F
77
D. Mancini
M
D. Mancini
M
Bench
21
Constantinos Poursaitides
D
11
Gabriel Maioli
M
Gabriel Maioli
M
23
Panagiotis Kattirtzis
M
99
Peter Olayinka
M
9
S. Dražić
F
S. Dražić
F
Aris — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anderson Correia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Balogun | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grigoris Kastanos | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Charalampous | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Veljko Nikolić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaden Montnor | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yacine Bourhane | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dennis Bakke Gaustad | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Effaghe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Apoel Nicosia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Pereira | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Meer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Laifis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nanú | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dálcio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathías Tomás | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Koutsakos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mancini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
The final score was Aris 1–0 Apoel Nicosia.
What did the model predict before Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Aris win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Apoel Nicosia win.