Arkadag - Muharraq
AFC Champions League Two
September 15, 2026 15:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.56%
Win
Arkadag
32.77%
Draw
33.67%
Win
Muharraq
1.11
0.98
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.06%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
33%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
66%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arkadag a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Muharraq. Expected goals are 1.1 for Arkadag and 1.0 for Muharraq (total 2.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.06% probability.
Season Stats
2W
4D
3L
2W
1D
3L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
56%
O 1.5
67%
22%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
2W
2D
1L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.3
0.4
Conceded
1.3
40%
Win %
33%
80%
Win or Draw
67%
40%
O 1.5
67%
20%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
20%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Arkadag
Muharraq →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.4% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Arkadag
Attack
37
Defence
86
Form
60
Muharraq
Attack
37
Defence
81
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Arkadag | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Muharraq | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arkadag vs Muharraq?
The model gives Arkadag a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Muharraq win.
How many goals are expected in Arkadag vs Muharraq?
Expected goals: Arkadag 1.1, Muharraq 1.0 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Arkadag vs Muharraq?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.06%.