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Armenia - Cyprus

UEFA Nations League November 12, 2026 18:00 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Armenia
#3 · 4 pts
vs
Cyprus
#2 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.21%
Win
Armenia
40.4%
Draw
32.4%
Win
Cyprus
0.71
Expected xG
0.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (23.98%)
1X2 Result
1 27%
X 40%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 73%
12 60%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cyprus a 32% win probability, against 40% for a draw and 27% for Armenia. Expected goals are 0.7 for Armenia and 0.8 for Cyprus (total 1.5), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 23.98% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Armenia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cyprus.

Season Stats

Armenia
3W 2D 7L
Cyprus
4W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.9
1.9
Conceded
1.8
4.5
Shots OT
4.0
7.0
Corners
4.7
54%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
70%
42%
BTTS
40%
17%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
Armenia
2W 0D 4L · at home
Cyprus
1W 1D 3L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.6
1.7
Conceded
1.8
33%
Win %
20%
33%
Win or Draw
40%
83%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
60%
33%
O 3.5
20%
33%
BTTS
40%
17%
Clean Sht
40%
50%
Failed to Score
40%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Armenia Cyprus →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.0% 17.8% 7.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 12.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 5.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Armenia Armenia
D Montenegro 0–0
L Cyprus 2–0
L Montenegro 2–3
W Latvia 2–0
L Georgia 6–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Cyprus Cyprus
W Latvia 2–1
W Armenia 2–0
D Latvia 0–0
L Montenegro 2–1
L Romania 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Armenia Armenia
Attack
32
Defence
65
Form
24
Cyprus Cyprus
Attack
41
Defence
78
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Armenia
0
Draw
1
Cyprus
2 Oct 2026 UEFA Nations League 0–2

League C - Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Montenegro Montenegro 4 10
2 Cyprus Cyprus 4 7
3 Armenia Armenia 4 4
4 Latvia Latvia 4 1

What's at stake · League C - Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Armenia Cyprus
Current #3 #2
→ Armenia #3 #2
→ Draw #3 #2
→ Cyprus #3 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?
The model gives Armenia a 27% win probability, 40% for a draw, and 32% for an Cyprus win.
How many goals are expected in Armenia vs Cyprus?
Expected goals: Armenia 0.7, Cyprus 0.8 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Armenia vs Cyprus?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 23.98%.