Armenia - Latvia
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
28.9°C
💨 21 km/h
🌧️ 59%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.11%
Win
Armenia
21.56%
Draw
30.33%
Win
Latvia
2.01
1.56
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.88%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
52%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
82%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Armenia a 48% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Latvia. Expected goals are 2.0 for Armenia and 1.6 for Latvia (total 3.6), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.88% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Armenia have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Latvia.
Season Stats
2W
1D
5L
3W
1D
4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.8
2.2
Conceded
1.4
4.9
Shots OT
2.6
7.4
Corners
4.0
54%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
50%
63%
O 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
38%
0%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
1W
0D
3L
· at home
1W
1D
2L
· away
1.0
gls/g
0.8
1.8
Conceded
1.5
25%
Win %
25%
25%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
25%
25%
O 3.5
25%
25%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
75%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Armenia
Latvia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Armenia
Attack
32
Defence
61
Form
18
Latvia
Attack
27
Defence
72
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Latvia
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Montenegro
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Armenia
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Cyprus
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Armenia | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Latvia | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Armenia vs Latvia?
The model gives Armenia a 48% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 30% for an Latvia win.
How many goals are expected in Armenia vs Latvia?
Expected goals: Armenia 2.0, Latvia 1.6 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Armenia vs Latvia?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.88%.