Armenia 2–3 Montenegro — pre-match prediction — UEFA Nations League — September 28, 2026

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UEFA Nations League · League C - 2 September 28, 2026 18:00 Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan

Armenia

#3 · 4 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Montenegro

#1 · 10 pts

Artur Serobyan (ast. Ognjen Čančarević) 34'

Eduard Spertsyan (ast. Georgiy Harutyunyan) 65'

(og) 20' Erik Piloyan

38' (ast. Andrej Djuric) Nikola Krstović

89' Aleksa Latkovic

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Armenia a 41% win probability (draw 33%, Montenegro 25%). The final result was Armenia 2–3 Montenegro. In 1 previous meetings, Armenia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Montenegro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

20'

(og) Erik Piloyan⚽

⚽Artur Serobyan · ast. Ognjen Čančarević

34'

38'

ast. Andrej Djuric · Nikola Krstović⚽

↕ Zhirayr Shaghoyan / narek hovhannisyan

45'

Artur Serobyan

46'

54'

Marko Vešović / Dušan Vuković ↕

↕ Artur Miranyan / Artur Gharibyan

55'

↕ Ugochukwu Iwu / karlen hovhannisyan

55'

59'

Milutin Osmajić

⚽Eduard Spertsyan · ast. Georgiy Harutyunyan

65'

68'

Vasilije Adzic / Stefan Loncar ↕

68'

Risto Radunović / Ognjen Gasevic ↕

69'

Aleksa Latkovic / milan roganovic ↕

↕ Artur Serobyan / Edgar Sevikyan

70'

Edgar Sevikyan

76'

79'

Stevan Jovetić / Milutin Osmajić ↕

82'

Aleksa Latkovic

89'

Aleksa Latkovic⚽

↕ Erik Piloyan / Gor Manvelyan

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

41.41%

Armenia

33.03%

25.56%

Montenegro ←

we assigned to the actual result (Montenegro) 25.56% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Armenia

1.37

—

Montenegro

0.94

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Montenegro	4	10
2	Cyprus	4	7
3	Armenia	4	4
4	Latvia	4	1

Lineups

Armenia 5-4-1

O. Čančarević 1 👟 G 6.63

N. Tiknizyan D 5.67

G. Harutyunyan 1 👟 D 6.96

A. Petrosyan D 6.39

E. Piloyan 1 ⚽ 89' D 4.80

A. Bandikyan D 6.43

Z. Shaghoyan 45' M 5.69

E. Spertsyan 1 ⚽ M 8.20

U. Iwu 55' M 5.75

A. Serobyan 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.03

A. Miranyan 55' F 6.19

Bench

A. Beglaryan G 0.00

A. Gharibyan 35' F 6.49

D. Terteryan D 0.00

E. Sevikyan 20' M 5.56

E. Simonyan D 0.00

G. Manvelyan 1' M 0.00

G. Matinyan G 0.00

K. Ayvazyan D 0.00

K. Hovhannisyan 35' M 6.00

K. Muradyan M 0.00

K. Nalbandyan M 0.00

N. Hovhannisyan 45' F 6.66

Montenegro 4-4-2

B. Popović G 5.96

O. Gašević 68' D 6.24

S. Savić D 6.66

A. Đurić 1 👟 D 6.79

Milan Roganović 69' D 6.16

A. Bulatović M 5.92

M. Janković M 6.97

S. Lončar 68' M 6.36

D. Vuković 54' M 6.01

N. Krstović 1 ⚽ F 7.84

M. Osmajić 79' F 6.68

Bench

A. Latković 1 ⚽ 21' M 6.86

D. Petković G 0.00

I. Nikić G 0.00

I. Vujačić D 0.00

M. Brnović M 0.00

M. Šimun M 0.00

M. Vešović 36' D 6.30

R. Radunović 22' D 6.11

S. Jovetić 11' F 6.53

S. Rubežić D 0.00

Vasilije Adžić 22' M 6.14

V. Đukanović F 0.00

Best on the pitch

E. Spertsyan

M · Armenia

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 64 pass

N. Krstović

F · Montenegro

7.84

1 ⚽

5 shots · 25 pass

A. Serobyan

M · Armenia

7.03

1 ⚽

2 shots · 24 pass

M. Janković

M · Montenegro

6.97

· 40 pass

G. Harutyunyan

D · Armenia

6.96

1 👟

· 84 pass

A. Latković

M · Montenegro

6.86

1 ⚽

1 shots · 9 pass

Armenia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Čančarević	G	90	6.63	—	1	0	40	33%	0	—	—
N. Tiknizyan	D	90	5.67	—	—	0	62	50%	1	—	—
G. Harutyunyan	D	90	6.96	—	1	0	84	78%	2	—	—
A. Petrosyan	D	90	6.39	—	—	0	49	46%	1	—	—
E. Piloyan	D	89	4.80	1	—	0	47	36%	0	—	—
A. Bandikyan	D	90	6.43	—	—	1	20	15%	2	—	—
Z. Shaghoyan	M	45	5.69	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
E. Spertsyan	M	90	8.20	1	—	2	64	57%	3	—	—
U. Iwu	M	55	5.75	—	—	0	38	32%	0	—	—
A. Serobyan	M	70	7.03	1	—	2	24	20%	1	1	—
A. Miranyan	F	55	6.19	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—
A. Gharibyan	F	35	6.49	—	—	2	7	5%	1	—	—
E. Sevikyan	M	20	5.56	—	—	0	1	0%	0	1	—
G. Manvelyan	M	1	0.00	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
K. Hovhannisyan	M	35	6.00	—	—	0	25	20%	2	—	—
N. Hovhannisyan	F	45	6.66	—	—	3	17	12%	1	—	—

Montenegro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Popović	G	90	5.96	—	—	0	27	15%	0	—	—
O. Gašević	D	68	6.24	—	—	0	23	19%	2	—	—
S. Savić	D	90	6.66	—	—	1	63	57%	0	—	—
A. Đurić	D	90	6.79	—	1	0	54	51%	2	—	—
Milan Roganović	D	69	6.16	—	—	0	21	17%	0	—	—
A. Bulatović	M	90	5.92	—	—	1	41	32%	4	—	—
M. Janković	M	90	6.97	—	—	0	40	33%	3	—	—
S. Lončar	M	68	6.36	—	—	0	27	24%	1	—	—
D. Vuković	M	54	6.01	—	—	1	11	7%	0	—	—
N. Krstović	F	90	7.84	1	—	5	25	19%	0	—	—
M. Osmajić	F	79	6.68	—	—	2	16	12%	0	1	—
A. Latković	M	21	6.86	1	—	1	9	8%	1	1	—
M. Vešović	D	36	6.30	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
R. Radunović	D	22	6.11	—	—	0	11	11%	1	—	—
S. Jovetić	F	11	6.53	—	—	1	10	7%	0	—	—
Vasilije Adžić	M	22	6.14	—	—	0	15	13%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Armenia vs Montenegro?

The final score was Armenia 2–3 Montenegro.

What did the model predict before Armenia vs Montenegro?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Armenia win, 33% to a draw, and 25% to an Montenegro win.