2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 2
August 16, 2026 13:30
J. Grodowski
(ast. H. Koudossou)
26'
J. Grodowski
37'
J. Grodowski
76'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Energie Cottbus 32%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 3–0 Energie Cottbus.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
3.57
Actual xG
0.56
0
Saves
2
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
10
22
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Grodowski
· ast. H. Koudossou
26'
27'
H. Rorig
⚽J. Grodowski
37'
46'
J. Butler
/
J. Guttau
46'
M. Hannemann
/
C. Kinsombi
55'
A. Borgmann
/
F. Doumbia
M. Momuluh
/ B. Boakye
59'
M. Worl
/ S. Schreck
60'
M. Mehlem
/ I. Young
69'
75'
R. Malone
/
H. Rorig
75'
T. Campulka
/
L. Michelbrink
⚽J. Grodowski
(pen.)
76'
78'
J. Butler
B. Boakye
78'
A. Sicker
/ T. Handwerker
82'
J. Rochelt
/ J. Felix
82'
T. Handwerker
85'
Pre-match prediction
37.24%
Arminia ←
30.25%
X
32.51%
Energie
we assigned to the actual result (Arminia Bielefeld)
37.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.31
3.57
+1.26
4.50
0.56
-3.94
Arminia Bielefeld dominated by xG (3.57 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Kersken
G
J. Kersken
G
17
A. Sicker
82'
D
A. Sicker
82'
D
19
M. Großer
D
M. Großer
D
5
M. Bauer
D
M. Bauer
D
7
H. Koudossou
1 👟
D
H. Koudossou
1 👟
D
6
M. Mehlem
69'
M
M. Mehlem
69'
M
10
J. Rochelt
82'
M
J. Rochelt
82'
M
21
S. Russo
M
S. Russo
M
38
M. Wörl
60'
M
M. Wörl
60'
M
14
M. Momuluh
59'
M
M. Momuluh
59'
M
11
J. Grodowski
3 ⚽
F
J. Grodowski
3 ⚽
F
Bench
27
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
31'
F
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
31'
F
30
I. Young
21'
F
I. Young
21'
F
3
J. Felix
8'
D
J. Felix
8'
D
18
L. Oppermann
G
L. Oppermann
G
47
Philip Hildesheim
G
Philip Hildesheim
G
28
R. Uldriķis
F
R. Uldriķis
F
8
S. Schreck
30'
M
S. Schreck
30'
M
29
T. Handwerker
8'
D
T. Handwerker
8'
D
42
T. Wegener
M
T. Wegener
M
1
M. Lotka
G
M. Lotka
G
23
Fousseny Doumbia
55'
D
Fousseny Doumbia
55'
D
5
D. Pelivan
D
D. Pelivan
D
21
Luca Erlein
D
Luca Erlein
D
3
H. Rorig
75'
D
H. Rorig
75'
D
17
Julian Guttau
45'
M
Julian Guttau
45'
M
8
Lukas Michelbrink
75'
M
Lukas Michelbrink
75'
M
32
L. Bittencourt
M
L. Bittencourt
M
10
T. Ciğerci
M
T. Ciğerci
M
9
Lucas Copado
F
Lucas Copado
F
7
C. Kinsombi
45'
F
C. Kinsombi
45'
F
Bench
20
A. Borgmann
35'
D
A. Borgmann
35'
D
42
Jannis Zaydan
D
Jannis Zaydan
D
31
J. Butler
45'
F
J. Butler
45'
F
6
Jonas Hofmann
M
Jonas Hofmann
M
29
K. Kratzsch
G
K. Kratzsch
G
11
M. Hannemann
45'
F
M. Hannemann
45'
F
16
R. Malone
15'
D
R. Malone
15'
D
4
T. Campulka
15'
D
T. Campulka
15'
D
22
Yusuf Wardak
M
Yusuf Wardak
M
Best on the pitch
J. Grodowski
F · Arminia
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
H. Koudossou
D · Arminia
8.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
M. Lotka
G · Energie
7.70
· 43 pass
S. Russo
M · Arminia
7.60
1 shots
· 46 pass
A. Sicker
D · Arminia
7.50
· 31 pass
M. Momuluh
M · Arminia
7.30
1 shots
· 8 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kersken | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Sicker | D | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Großer | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| M. Bauer | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Koudossou | D | 90 | 8.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Mehlem | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rochelt | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Wörl | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Momuluh | M | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Bediako Boakye | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Young | F | 21 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Felix | D | 8 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Schreck | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Handwerker | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
Energie Cottbus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lotka | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Fousseny Doumbia | D | 55 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| D. Pelivan | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 86 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Luca Erlein | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Rorig | D | 75 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Julian Guttau | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Michelbrink | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bittencourt | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Ciğerci | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Copado | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Kinsombi | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Borgmann | D | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Butler | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Hannemann | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Malone | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Campulka | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 3–0 Energie Cottbus.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Energie Cottbus win.