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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 September 04, 2026 18:30
Arminia Bielefeld
#9 · 11 pts
2 – 2
Final score
FC St. Pauli
#7 · 12 pts
Jannik Rochelt (ast. Jonas Thomas Kersken) 13'
Joel Grodowski 51'
20' (ast. David Nemeth) Taichi Hara
65' (ast. Arkadiusz Pyrka) Abdoulie Ceesay
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC St. Pauli a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Arminia Bielefeld 32%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 FC St. Pauli.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
0
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Jannik Rochelt · ast. Jonas Thomas Kersken
13'
20'
ast. David Nemeth · Taichi Hara⚽
Marvin Mehlem
35'
45'
Abdoulie Ceesay / Martijn Kaars ↕
45'
Connor Metcalfe / Branimir Hrgota ↕
47'
Tomoya Ando
⚽Joel Grodowski
51'
56'
Eric Smith
65'
ast. Arkadiusz Pyrka · Abdoulie Ceesay⚽
↕ Jannik Rochelt / David Min
66'
↕ monju thaddaus momuluh / Leon Jensen
66'
76'
Youssoupha Niang / Taichi Hara ↕
↕ Marvin Mehlem / Sam Schreck
76'
↕ Henri Koudossou / Benjamin boakye
81'
↕ Marius Worl / Till Wegener
81'
88'
Arkadiusz Pyrka
Maximilian Bauer
88'
89'
Samuel Klein / Mathias Rasmussen ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.34%
Arminia
29.06%
X ←
38.6%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.06% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arminia
1.42
—
—
FC
3.08
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5-4-1
1 J. Kersken J. Kersken 1 👟 G 6.50
17 A. Sicker A. Sicker D 6.35
19 M. Großer M. Großer D 6.73
21 S. Russo S. Russo D 6.17
5 M. Bauer M. Bauer D 6.40
7 H. Koudossou H. Koudossou 81' D 6.63
10 J. Rochelt J. Rochelt 1 ⚽ 66' M 6.75
38 M. Wörl M. Wörl 81' M 6.93
6 M. Mehlem M. Mehlem 76' M 6.43
14 M. Momuluh M. Momuluh 66' M 5.79
11 J. Grodowski J. Grodowski 1 ⚽ F 7.71
Bench
27 Benjamin Bediako Boakye Benjamin Bediako Boakye 9' F 6.73
9 D. Min D. Min 24' F 6.49
30 I. Young I. Young F 0.00
3 J. Felix J. Felix D 0.00
31 L. Jensen L. Jensen 24' M 6.01
18 L. Oppermann L. Oppermann G 0.00
8 S. Schreck S. Schreck 14' M 6.09
29 T. Handwerker T. Handwerker D 0.00
42 T. Wegener T. Wegener 9' M 6.12
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
1 B. Voll B. Voll G 6.08
15 T. Ando T. Ando D 6.23
6 M. Mathisen M. Mathisen D 7.12
4 D. Nemeth D. Nemeth 1 👟 D 6.91
23 L. Oppie L. Oppie M 6.16
8 E. Smith E. Smith M 6.57
20 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 89' M 6.14
11 A. Pyrka A. Pyrka 1 👟 M 6.54
18 T. Hara T. Hara 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.27
10 B. Hrgota B. Hrgota 45' M 5.78
19 M. Kaars M. Kaars 45' F 6.57
Bench
9 Abdoulie Ceesay Abdoulie Ceesay 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.91
25 A. Dźwigała A. Dźwigała D 0.00
24 C. Metcalfe C. Metcalfe 45' M 6.33
33 D. Mitov D. Mitov G 0.00
14 E. Ahlstrand E. Ahlstrand M 0.00
16 J. Fujita J. Fujita M 0.00
21 L. Ritzka L. Ritzka D 0.00
22 Samuel Klein Samuel Klein 1' M 5.99
7 Y. Niang Y. Niang 14' F 6.48
Best on the pitch
Abdoulie Ceesay
Abdoulie Ceesay
F · FC
7.91
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
J. Grodowski
J. Grodowski
F · Arminia
7.71
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
T. Hara
T. Hara
M · FC
7.27
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
M. Mathisen
M. Mathisen
D · FC
7.12
· 94 pass
M. Wörl
M. Wörl
M · Arminia
6.93
· 50 pass
D. Nemeth
D. Nemeth
D · FC
6.91
1 👟
· 78 pass
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Kersken G 90 6.50 — 1 0 46 31% 0 — —
A. Sicker D 90 6.35 — — 0 55 43% 5 — —
M. Großer D 90 6.73 — — 0 60 56% 0 — —
S. Russo D 90 6.17 — — 0 62 52% 0 — —
M. Bauer D 90 6.40 — — 0 57 53% 2 1 —
H. Koudossou D 81 6.63 — — 1 29 23% 1 — —
J. Rochelt M 66 6.75 1 — 1 21 14% 2 — —
M. Wörl M 81 6.93 — — 0 50 48% 3 — —
M. Mehlem M 76 6.43 — — 0 17 15% 2 1 —
M. Momuluh M 66 5.79 — — 2 11 8% 1 — —
J. Grodowski F 90 7.71 1 — 2 15 11% 1 — —
Benjamin Bediako Boakye F 9 6.73 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
D. Min F 24 6.49 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
L. Jensen M 24 6.01 — — 1 16 13% 2 — —
S. Schreck M 14 6.09 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
T. Wegener M 9 6.12 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Voll G 90 6.08 — — 0 38 28% 0 — —
T. Ando D 90 6.23 — — 0 80 73% 3 1 —
M. Mathisen D 90 7.12 — — 0 94 88% 6 — —
D. Nemeth D 90 6.91 — 1 0 78 68% 2 — —
L. Oppie M 90 6.16 — — 0 37 30% 1 — —
E. Smith M 90 6.57 — — 1 84 72% 0 1 —
M. Rasmussen M 89 6.14 — — 1 67 53% 2 — —
A. Pyrka M 90 6.54 — 1 1 56 44% 1 1 —
T. Hara M 76 7.27 1 — 1 10 5% 0 — —
B. Hrgota M 45 5.78 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
M. Kaars F 45 6.57 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
Abdoulie Ceesay F 45 7.91 1 — 2 10 4% 0 — —
C. Metcalfe M 45 6.33 — — 1 16 13% 0 — —
Samuel Klein M 1 5.99 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Y. Niang F 14 6.48 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 FC St. Pauli.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs FC St. Pauli?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an FC St. Pauli win.