J. Grodowski
(ast. T. Momuluh)
49'
J. Grodowski
(ast. A. Sicker)
59'
T. Momuluh
(ast. M. Corboz)
65'
S. Russo
74'
S. Telalovic
(ast. J. Rochelt)
90'+2
R. Uldrikis
(ast. J. Rochelt)
90'+6
37'
(ast. J. Eitschberger)
L. Gechter
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Hertha BSC 34%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha BSC. In 1 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Hertha BSC.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
12
Shots on target
3
5.07
Actual xG
1.33
2
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
9
Corners
2
21
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
37'
ast. J. Eitschberger ·
L. Gechter⚽
⚽J. Grodowski
· ast. T. Momuluh
49'
⚽J. Grodowski
· ast. A. Sicker
59'
J. Grodowski
60'
62'
K. Sessa
/
J. Berner
62'
D. Demme
/
P. Seguin
⚽T. Momuluh
· ast. M. Corboz
65'
M. Bauer
67'
J. Grodowski
/ S. Telalovic
72'
⚽S. Russo
74'
T. Momuluh
/ N. Sarenren Bazee
79'
M. Worl
/ J. Rochelt
80'
C. Lannert
/ F. Hagmann
80'
83'
S. Gouram
/
K. Eichhorn
83'
N. Hildebrandt
/
F. Reese
S. Russo
/ R. Uldrikis
86'
87'
T. Leistner
/
P. Klemens
⚽S. Telalovic
· ast. J. Rochelt
90'+2
S. Telalovic
90'+3
⚽R. Uldrikis
· ast. J. Rochelt
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
41.94%
Arminia ←
23.54%
X
34.52%
Hertha
we assigned to the actual result (Arminia Bielefeld)
41.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
5.07
+3.57
1.43
1.33
-0.1
Arminia Bielefeld dominated by xG (5.07 vs 1.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Kersken
G
J. Kersken
G
17
A. Sicker
1 👟
D
A. Sicker
1 👟
D
19
M. Großer
D
M. Großer
D
5
M. Bauer
D
M. Bauer
D
24
C. Lannert
80'
D
C. Lannert
80'
D
8
S. Schreck
M
S. Schreck
M
21
S. Russo
1 ⚽
86'
M
S. Russo
1 ⚽
86'
M
6
M. Corboz
1 👟
M
M. Corboz
1 👟
M
38
M. Wörl
80'
M
M. Wörl
80'
M
11
J. Grodowski
2 ⚽
72'
F
J. Grodowski
2 ⚽
72'
F
14
M. Momuluh
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
M. Momuluh
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
2
Felix Hagmann
10'
D
Felix Hagmann
10'
D
3
J. Felix
D
J. Felix
D
22
J. Rochelt
2 👟
10'
M
J. Rochelt
2 👟
10'
M
18
L. Oppermann
G
L. Oppermann
G
37
Noah Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
Noah Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
31
Robin Knoche
D
Robin Knoche
D
28
R. Uldriķis
1 ⚽
11'
F
R. Uldriķis
1 ⚽
11'
F
7
Semir Telalović
1 ⚽
18'
F
Semir Telalović
1 ⚽
18'
F
29
T. Handwerker
D
T. Handwerker
D
1
T. Ernst
G
T. Ernst
G
34
Janne Berner
62'
D
Janne Berner
62'
D
27
N. Kolbe
D
N. Kolbe
D
44
L. Gechter
1 ⚽
D
L. Gechter
1 ⚽
D
2
J. Eitschberger
1 👟
D
J. Eitschberger
1 👟
D
41
P. Klemens
88'
M
P. Klemens
88'
M
23
K. Eichhorn
83'
M
K. Eichhorn
83'
M
11
F. Reese
M
F. Reese
M
30
P. Seguin
62'
M
P. Seguin
62'
M
10
M. Cuisance
M
M. Cuisance
M
17
S. Grønning
83'
F
S. Grønning
83'
F
Bench
6
Diego Demme
28'
M
Diego Demme
28'
M
8
K. Sessa
28'
M
K. Sessa
28'
M
5
L. Jensen
M
L. Jensen
M
35
M. Gersbeck
G
M. Gersbeck
G
14
M. Krattenmacher
M
M. Krattenmacher
M
26
Niklas Hildebrandt
14'
F
Niklas Hildebrandt
14'
F
24
S. Gouram
14'
M
S. Gouram
14'
M
37
T. Leistner
9'
D
T. Leistner
9'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Grodowski
F · Arminia
9.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
A. Sicker
D · Arminia
8.50
1 👟
· 46 pass
J. Rochelt
M · Arminia
8.20
2 👟
· 18 pass
T. Ernst
G · Hertha
8.00
· 45 pass
S. Russo
M · Arminia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
M. Momuluh
F · Arminia
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kersken | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sicker | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Großer | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Bauer | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Schreck | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Corboz | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Wörl | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 72 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Momuluh | F | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Hagmann | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Rochelt | M | 10 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Sarenren Bazee | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 11 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Semir Telalović | F | 18 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Hertha BSC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ernst | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Janne Berner | D | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Kolbe | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Gechter | D | 90 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Eitschberger | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| P. Klemens | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Eichhorn | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Reese | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| P. Seguin | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cuisance | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Grønning | F | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Demme | M | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Sessa | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Niklas Hildebrandt | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Gouram | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Leistner | D | 9 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha BSC.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Hertha BSC win.