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Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen

Friendlies Clubs October 03, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.72%
Win
Arminia Bielefeld
23.92%
Draw
24.36%
Win
Rot-Weiß Essen
3.74
Expected xG
1.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.68%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 24%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 48%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arminia Bielefeld a 51% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rot-Weiß Essen. Expected goals are 3.7 for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.2 for Rot-Weiß Essen (total 4.9), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.68% probability.

Season Stats

Arminia Bielefeld
6W 1D 0L
Rot-Weiß Essen
3W 0D 3L
Averages per game
4.3
Goals
3.5
0.7
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
100%
43%
BTTS
33%
57%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Arminia Bielefeld
2W 1D 0L · at home
Rot-Weiß Essen
2W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
3.8
0.7
Conceded
1.5
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
50%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Arminia Bielefeld Rot-Weiß Essen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% —
2 5.2% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.5% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

D MSV Duisburg 1–1
W Bologna 0–4
W Imst 0–10
W FC Gutersloh 0–3
W Peckeloh 3–7
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
L Bayer Leverkusen 3–0
L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2
L Ried 3–0
W SW Essen 5–1
W Bottrop 0–11
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
Attack
78
Defence
81
Form
78
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
Attack
48
Defence
58
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The model gives Arminia Bielefeld a 51% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 24% for an Rot-Weiß Essen win.
How many goals are expected in Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Expected goals: Arminia Bielefeld 3.7, Rot-Weiß Essen 1.2 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.68%.