J. Grodowski
27'
(pen.)
79'
(ast. F. Alfa-Ruprecht)
M. Kwarteng
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 46% win probability (draw 20%, VfL Bochum 32%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum. In 1 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Bochum.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
2
1.16
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
2
18
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
27'
C. Lenz
⚽J. Grodowski
(pen.)
27'
37'
L. Morgalla
/
M. Wittek
46'
C. Marshall
/
C. Lenz
46'
M. Pannewig
/
F. Onyeka
50'
C. Marshall
67'
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
/
K. Miyoshi
J. Grodowski
/ M. Worl
70'
T. Momuluh
/ B. Boakye
70'
79'
M. Kwarteng
/
G. Holtmann
79'
ast. F. Alfa-Ruprecht ·
M. Kwarteng⚽
T. Handwerker
/ C. Lannert
83'
R. Uldrikis
/ N. Sarenren Bazee
83'
S. Russo
/ M. Grosser
87'
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Arminia
20.93%
X ←
32.1%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.16
-0.84
1.69
0.49
-1.2
Arminia Bielefeld dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
T. Handwerker
83'
D
T. Handwerker
83'
D
31
Robin Knoche
D
Robin Knoche
D
5
M. Bauer
D
M. Bauer
D
2
D
22
J. Rochelt
M
J. Rochelt
M
21
S. Russo
87'
M
S. Russo
87'
M
6
M. Corboz
M
M. Corboz
M
11
J. Grodowski
1 ⚽
71'
F
J. Grodowski
1 ⚽
71'
F
28
R. Uldriķis
83'
F
R. Uldriķis
83'
F
14
M. Momuluh
71'
F
M. Momuluh
71'
F
Bench
27
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
23'
F
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
23'
F
24
C. Lannert
11'
D
C. Lannert
11'
D
19
M. Großer
7'
D
M. Großer
7'
D
38
M. Wörl
23'
M
M. Wörl
23'
M
37
Noah Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
Noah Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
7
Semir Telalović
F
Semir Telalović
F
1
G
32
M. Wittek
37'
D
M. Wittek
37'
D
3
Philipp Strompf
D
Philipp Strompf
D
20
N. Loosli
D
N. Loosli
D
13
O. Olsen
D
O. Olsen
D
34
Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
45'
M
Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
45'
M
19
M. Bero
M
M. Bero
M
17
G. Holtmann
78'
M
G. Holtmann
78'
M
21
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
45'
M
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
45'
M
23
K. Miyoshi
67'
M
K. Miyoshi
67'
M
33
P. Hofmann
F
P. Hofmann
F
Bench
16
C. Marshall
49'
F
C. Marshall
49'
F
4
E. Mašović
D
E. Mašović
D
29
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
1 👟
27'
F
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
1 👟
27'
F
7
Kevin Vogt
D
Kevin Vogt
D
8
K. Wätjen
M
K. Wätjen
M
39
L. Morgalla
57'
D
L. Morgalla
57'
D
11
M. Kwarteng
1 ⚽
16'
M
M. Kwarteng
1 ⚽
16'
M
24
M. Pannewig
49'
M
M. Pannewig
49'
M
Best on the pitch
Robin Knoche
D · Arminia
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
M. Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 47 pass
M. Kwarteng
M · VfL
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
S. Russo
M · Arminia
7.20
· 28 pass
P. Hofmann
F · VfL
7.00
· 21 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| T. Handwerker | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Robin Knoche | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Bauer | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Rochelt | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Corboz | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Momuluh | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamin Bediako Boakye | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Großer | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wörl | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Noah Sarenren Bazee | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
VfL Bochum — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| M. Wittek | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Philipp Strompf | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Loosli | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| O. Olsen | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Bero | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Holtmann | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Miyoshi | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hofmann | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Marshall | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Farid Alfa-Ruprecht | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Morgalla | D | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Kwarteng | M | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pannewig | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 20% to a draw, and 32% to an VfL Bochum win.