2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 02, 2026 13:00
J. Grodowski
27'
(pen.)
79'
(ast. F. Alfa-Ruprecht)
M. Kwarteng
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 46% win probability (draw 20%, VfL Bochum 32%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum. In 1 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Bochum.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
2
1.16
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
2
18
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
27'
C. Lenz
⚽J. Grodowski
(pen.)
27'
37'
L. Morgalla
/
M. Wittek
46'
C. Marshall
/
C. Lenz
46'
M. Pannewig
/
F. Onyeka
50'
C. Marshall
67'
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
/
K. Miyoshi
J. Grodowski
/ M. Worl
70'
T. Momuluh
/ B. Boakye
70'
79'
M. Kwarteng
/
G. Holtmann
79'
ast. F. Alfa-Ruprecht ·
M. Kwarteng⚽
T. Handwerker
/ C. Lannert
83'
R. Uldrikis
/ N. Sarenren Bazee
83'
S. Russo
/ M. Grosser
87'
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Arminia
20.93%
X ←
32.1%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.16
-0.84
1.69
0.49
-1.2
Arminia Bielefeld dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
T. Handwerker
83'
D
31
R. Knoche
D
5
Maximilian Bauer
D
2
D
22
J. Rochelt
M
21
S. Russo
87'
M
6
Mael Corboz
M
11
J. Grodowski
1 ⚽
71'
F
28
Roberts Uldriķis
83'
F
14
Monju Momuluh
71'
F
Bench
27
B. Boakye
23'
F
24
C. Lannert
11'
D
19
M. Grosser
7'
D
38
M. Worl
23'
M
37
N. Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
7
S. Telalovic
F
1
G
32
Maximilian Wittek
37'
D
3
Philipp Strompf
D
20
N. Loosli
D
13
Oliver Olsen
D
34
Cajetan Lenz
45'
M
19
Matúš Bero
M
17
G. Holtmann
78'
M
21
F. Onyeka
45'
M
23
K. Miyoshi
67'
M
33
Philipp Hofmann
F
Bench
16
Callum Marshall
49'
F
4
E. Masovic
D
29
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
1 👟
27'
F
7
Kevin Vogt
D
8
K. Watjen
M
39
L. Morgalla
57'
D
24
Mats Pannewig
49'
M
11
M. Kwarteng
1 ⚽
16'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Kwarteng
M · VfL
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
R. Knoche
D · Arminia
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
Maximilian Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 47 pass
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
S. Russo
M · Arminia
7.20
· 28 pass
Philipp Hofmann
F · VfL
7.00
· 21 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| T. Handwerker | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Knoche | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Bauer | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Rochelt | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mael Corboz | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Roberts Uldriķis | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Monju Momuluh | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Boakye | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Grosser | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Worl | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Sarenren Bazee | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
VfL Bochum — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Maximilian Wittek | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Philipp Strompf | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Loosli | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Olsen | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Cajetan Lenz | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matúš Bero | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Holtmann | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Miyoshi | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Philipp Hofmann | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Callum Marshall | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Alfa-Ruprecht | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Morgalla | D | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mats Pannewig | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kwarteng | M | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 20% to a draw, and 32% to an VfL Bochum win.