J. Grodowski
27'
(pen.)
79'
(ast. F. Alfa-Ruprecht)
M. Kwarteng
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 46% win probability (draw 20%, VfL Bochum 32%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum. In 1 previous meetings, Arminia Bielefeld have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for VfL Bochum.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
2
3
Shots on target
2
1.16
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
2
18
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
27'
C. Lenz
⚽J. Grodowski
(pen.)
27'
37'
L. Morgalla
/
M. Wittek
46'
C. Marshall
/
C. Lenz
46'
M. Pannewig
/
F. Onyeka
50'
C. Marshall
67'
F. Alfa-Ruprecht
/
K. Miyoshi
J. Grodowski
/ M. Worl
70'
T. Momuluh
/ B. Boakye
70'
79'
M. Kwarteng
/
G. Holtmann
79'
ast. F. Alfa-Ruprecht ·
M. Kwarteng⚽
T. Handwerker
/ C. Lannert
83'
R. Uldrikis
/ N. Sarenren Bazee
83'
S. Russo
/ M. Grosser
87'
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Arminia
20.93%
X ←
32.1%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.16
-0.84
1.69
0.49
-1.2
Arminia Bielefeld dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
T. Handwerker
83'
D
T. Handwerker
83'
D
31
Robin Knoche
D
Robin Knoche
D
5
Maximilian Bauer
D
Maximilian Bauer
D
2
D
22
Jannik Rochelt
M
Jannik Rochelt
M
21
Stefano Russo
87'
M
Stefano Russo
87'
M
6
Mael Corboz
M
Mael Corboz
M
11
J. Grodowski
1 ⚽
71'
F
J. Grodowski
1 ⚽
71'
F
28
Roberts Uldriķis
83'
F
Roberts Uldriķis
83'
F
14
Monju Momuluh
71'
F
Monju Momuluh
71'
F
Bench
27
B. Boakye
23'
F
24
C. Lannert
11'
D
C. Lannert
11'
D
38
Marius Wörl
23'
M
Marius Wörl
23'
M
19
Maximilian Großer
7'
D
Maximilian Großer
7'
D
37
Noah Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
Noah Sarenren Bazee
11'
F
7
Semir Telalović
F
Semir Telalović
F
1
G
32
M. Wittek
37'
D
M. Wittek
37'
D
3
P. Strompf
D
P. Strompf
D
20
Noah Loosli
D
Noah Loosli
D
13
Oliver Olsen
D
Oliver Olsen
D
34
Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
45'
M
Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
45'
M
19
M. Bero
M
M. Bero
M
17
G. Holtmann
78'
M
G. Holtmann
78'
M
21
Francis Onyeka
45'
M
Francis Onyeka
45'
M
23
Koji Miyoshi
67'
M
Koji Miyoshi
67'
M
33
P. Hofmann
F
P. Hofmann
F
Bench
16
Callum Marshall
49'
F
Callum Marshall
49'
F
4
Erhan Mašović
D
Erhan Mašović
D
29
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
1 👟
27'
F
Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
1 👟
27'
F
7
Kevin Vogt
D
Kevin Vogt
D
8
Kjell Wätjen
M
Kjell Wätjen
M
39
Leandro Morgalla
57'
D
Leandro Morgalla
57'
D
24
Mats Pannewig
49'
M
11
Moritz Kwarteng
1 ⚽
16'
M
Moritz Kwarteng
1 ⚽
16'
M
Best on the pitch
Moritz Kwarteng
M · VfL
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
Robin Knoche
D · Arminia
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
Maximilian Bauer
D · Arminia
7.30
· 47 pass
T. Handwerker
D · Arminia
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
Stefano Russo
M · Arminia
7.20
· 28 pass
P. Hofmann
F · VfL
7.00
· 21 pass
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| T. Handwerker | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Robin Knoche | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Bauer | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jannik Rochelt | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Stefano Russo | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mael Corboz | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Roberts Uldriķis | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Monju Momuluh | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Boakye | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marius Wörl | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Großer | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Sarenren Bazee | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
VfL Bochum — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| M. Wittek | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Strompf | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Loosli | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Olsen | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Bero | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Holtmann | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Francis Onyeka | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Koji Miyoshi | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hofmann | F | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Callum Marshall | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Farid Alfa-Ruprecht | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Morgalla | D | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mats Pannewig | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Moritz Kwarteng | M | 16 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Bochum.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 20% to a draw, and 32% to an VfL Bochum win.