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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 October 18, 2026 13:30 Schüco-Arena, Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
#9 · 11 pts
2 – 1
Final score
VfL Osnabrück
#8 · 11 pts
Maximilian Bauer (ast. Arne Sicker) 26'
Jannik Rochelt (ast. monju thaddaus momuluh) 85'
16' Robin Meißner
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 39% win probability (draw 31%, VfL Osnabrück 29%). The final result was Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
1
1.12
Actual xG
1.48
0
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
0
17
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
Robin Fabinski
16'
Robin Meißner⚽
⚽Maximilian Bauer · ast. Arne Sicker
26'
Benjamin boakye
38'
↕ Isaiah Young / monju thaddaus momuluh
59'
↕ Benjamin boakye / Jannik Rochelt
59'
68'
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh / Ismail Badjie ↕
↕ Felix Hagmann / Henri Koudossou
81'
↕ Leon Jensen / Joel Felix
81'
83'
Luca Raimund / Leon Maximilian Flach ↕
⚽Jannik Rochelt · ast. monju thaddaus momuluh
85'
Maximilian Grosser
86'
↕ Joel Grodowski / Vincent Ocansey
88'
Stefano Russo
89'
89'
Theo Janotta / Jannik Müller ↕
89'
Bernd Riesselmann / Adrian Beck ↕
89'
Leonhard Luis Munst / Jonathan Gómez ↕
Pre-match prediction
39.0%
Arminia ←
31.7%
X
29.3%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Arminia Bielefeld) 39.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arminia
0.96
1.12
+0.16
VfL
0.75
1.48
+0.73
VfL Osnabrück dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-1-4-1
1 J. Kersken J. Kersken G 6.28
17 A. Sicker A. Sicker 1 👟 D 6.92
19 M. Großer M. Großer D 6.21
5 M. Bauer M. Bauer 1 ⚽ D 7.94
2 F. Hagmann F. Hagmann 81' D 5.89
21 S. Russo S. Russo M 6.49
30 I. Young I. Young 59' M 6.21
38 M. Wörl M. Wörl M 7.11
31 L. Jensen L. Jensen 81' M 5.99
27 Benjamin Bediako Boakye Benjamin Bediako Boakye 59' M 6.13
11 J. Grodowski J. Grodowski 88' F 6.59
Bench
7 H. Koudossou H. Koudossou 9' D 6.27
3 J. Felix J. Felix 9' D 6.40
10 J. Rochelt J. Rochelt 1 ⚽ 31' M 8.03
18 L. Oppermann L. Oppermann G 0.00
6 M. Mehlem M. Mehlem M 0.00
14 M. Momuluh M. Momuluh 1 👟 31' F 6.68
8 S. Schreck S. Schreck M 0.00
29 T. Handwerker T. Handwerker D 0.00
39 V. Ocansey V. Ocansey 2' F 6.50
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1
32 J. Krumrey J. Krumrey G 5.70
25 N. Wiemann N. Wiemann D 6.10
24 J. Müller J. Müller 89' D 6.19
27 R. Fabinski R. Fabinski D 5.90
42 J. Gómez J. Gómez 89' M 5.25
15 B. Jacobsen B. Jacobsen M 6.53
18 L. Flach L. Flach 83' M 5.66
31 P. Kammerbauer P. Kammerbauer M 6.39
21 A. Beck A. Beck 89' M 5.93
10 I. Badjie I. Badjie 68' M 5.78
11 R. Meißner R. Meißner 1 ⚽ F 7.42
Bench
22 B. Riesselmann B. Riesselmann 1' F 6.27
7 D. Kyereh D. Kyereh 22' M 6.00
26 F. Wagner F. Wagner M 0.00
4 J. Abu Hanna J. Abu Hanna D 0.00
28 K. Faber K. Faber D 0.00
8 L. Münst L. Münst 1' M 5.99
17 L. Raimund L. Raimund 7' F 6.24
1 N. Sauter N. Sauter G 0.00
20 T. Janotta T. Janotta 1' D 6.10
Best on the pitch
J. Rochelt
J. Rochelt
M · Arminia
8.03
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
M. Bauer
M. Bauer
D · Arminia
7.94
1 ⚽
2 shots · 54 pass
R. Meißner
R. Meißner
F · VfL
7.42
1 ⚽
4 shots · 24 pass
M. Wörl
M. Wörl
M · Arminia
7.11
2 shots · 64 pass
A. Sicker
A. Sicker
D · Arminia
6.92
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
M. Momuluh
M. Momuluh
F · Arminia
6.68
1 👟
1 shots · 7 pass
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Kersken G 90 6.28 — — 0 37 22% 0 — —
A. Sicker D 90 6.92 — 1 1 41 30% 2 — —
M. Großer D 90 6.21 — — 1 69 54% 0 1 —
M. Bauer D 90 7.94 1 — 2 54 48% 5 — —
F. Hagmann D 81 5.89 — — 2 39 32% 1 — —
S. Russo M 90 6.49 — — 0 67 52% 1 1 —
I. Young M 59 6.21 — — 0 17 9% 1 — —
M. Wörl M 90 7.11 — — 2 64 55% 3 — —
L. Jensen M 81 5.99 — — 1 53 43% 2 — —
Benjamin Bediako Boakye M 59 6.13 — — 0 19 13% 0 1 —
J. Grodowski F 88 6.59 — — 4 19 13% 1 — —
H. Koudossou D 9 6.27 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
J. Felix D 9 6.40 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
J. Rochelt M 31 8.03 1 — 1 15 10% 0 — —
M. Momuluh F 31 6.68 — 1 1 7 5% 1 — —
V. Ocansey F 2 6.50 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Krumrey G 90 5.70 — — 0 42 25% 0 — —
N. Wiemann D 90 6.10 — — 1 46 32% 1 — —
J. Müller D 89 6.19 — — 0 54 44% 2 — —
R. Fabinski D 90 5.90 — — 0 60 48% 4 1 —
J. Gómez M 89 5.25 — — 0 33 20% 2 — —
B. Jacobsen M 90 6.53 — — 0 77 64% 5 — —
L. Flach M 83 5.66 — — 0 48 32% 2 — —
P. Kammerbauer M 90 6.39 — — 0 41 37% 2 — —
A. Beck M 89 5.93 — — 1 36 26% 2 — —
I. Badjie M 68 5.78 — — 1 17 13% 0 — —
R. Meißner F 90 7.42 1 — 4 24 13% 0 — —
B. Riesselmann F 1 6.27 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
D. Kyereh M 22 6.00 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
L. Münst M 1 5.99 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
L. Raimund F 7 6.24 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
T. Janotta D 1 6.10 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
The final score was Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück.
What did the model predict before Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Arminia Bielefeld win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an VfL Osnabrück win.