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#5 · 10 pts
4 – 0
Final score
#14 · 4 pts
Maracas 23' (og)
J. Fontan (ast. H. Lee) 30'
I. Barbero (ast. N. Djouahra) 45'+1
D. Nandin (ast. N. Djouahra) 90'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arouca a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Moreirense 31%). The final result was Arouca 4–0 Moreirense. In 2 previous meetings, Arouca have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Moreirense.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
1.50
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
2
8
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
Maracas
J. Sanchez
16'
Maracas (og)
23'
J. Fontan · ast. H. Lee
30'
I. Barbero
41'
44'
Kiko
I. Barbero · ast. N. Djouahra
45'+1
46'
J. Veloso / A. Vieira
46'
D. Pinto / Guilherme Liberato
55'
N. John
I. Barbero / D. Nandin
59'
63'
Kiko Bondoso / Landerson
65'
L. Santos
H. Lee / B. Mansilla
72'
A. Trezza / P. Gozalbez
72'
72'
M. Stjepanovic / Rodri
D. Nandin
75'
T. Fukui / Pedro Santos
79'
E. van Ee / M. Flores
80'
84'
M. Dacosta Gonzalez / L. Santos
D. Nandin · ast. N. Djouahra
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
36.9%
Arouca ←
31.69%
X
31.4%
Moreirense
we assigned to the actual result (Arouca) 36.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arouca
2.41
1.50
-0.91
Moreirense
1.06
0.49
-0.57
Arouca dominated by xG (1.50 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1
12 I. de Arruabarrena I. de Arruabarrena G 6.90
18 O. Lebedenko O. Lebedenko D 7.00
3 José Fontán José Fontán 1 ⚽ D 8.00
15 Javi Sánchez Javi Sánchez D 6.90
28 Tiago Esgaio Tiago Esgaio D 7.00
8 T. Fukui T. Fukui 79' M 7.20
6 E. van Ee E. van Ee 80' M 6.90
7 N. Djouahra N. Djouahra 2 👟 M 7.70
14 Lee Hyun-Ju Lee Hyun-Ju 1 👟 72' M 6.70
19 A. Trezza A. Trezza 72' M 6.60
17 Barbero Barbero 1 ⚽ 59' F 6.90
Bench
24 B. Mansilla B. Mansilla 18' F 6.50
5 B. Popović B. Popović D
23 D. Nandín D. Nandín 1 ⚽ 31' F 5.30
9 F. Mayulu F. Mayulu F
1 J. Vinarčík J. Vinarčík G
37 Mario Climent Mario Climent D
21 Mateo Flores Mateo Flores 10' M 6.50
71 M. Duarte M. Duarte G
10 Pablo Gozálbez Pablo Gozálbez 18' M 7.30
89 Pedro Santos Pedro Santos 11' M 6.60
77 S. Park S. Park F
Moreirense Moreirense 4-2-3-1
13 André Ferreira André Ferreira G 6.20
27 Kiko Kiko D 5.60
26 Maracás Maracás 1 ⚽ D 5.30
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D 7.20
2 Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 85' D 6.20
65 Guilherme Liberato Guilherme Liberato 45' M 6.30
23 N. John N. John M 6.70
11 Landerson Landerson 63' M 6.20
21 Rodri Alonso Rodri Alonso 72' M 6.30
89 Afonso Vieira Afonso Vieira 45' M 6.00
9 A. Duville-Parsemain A. Duville-Parsemain F 6.00
Bench
17 Álvaro Martínez Álvaro Martínez D
1 Aranha Aranha G
76 Dinis Pinto Dinis Pinto 45' D 6.70
20 João Veloso João Veloso 45' M 6.60
4 Kevyn Monteiro Kevyn Monteiro D
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 27' F 6.70
44 Michael Dacosta Gonzalez Michael Dacosta Gonzalez 5' F
8 M. Stjepanović M. Stjepanović 18' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
José Fontán
José Fontán
D · Arouca
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 90 pass
N. Djouahra
N. Djouahra
M · Arouca
7.70
2 👟
1 shots · 35 pass
Pablo Gozálbez
Pablo Gozálbez
M · Arouca
7.30
· 3 pass
T. Fukui
T. Fukui
M · Arouca
7.20
3 shots · 63 pass
Gilberto Batista
Gilberto Batista
D · Moreirense
7.20
· 86 pass
O. Lebedenko
O. Lebedenko
D · Arouca
7.00
· 45 pass
Arouca Arouca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. de Arruabarrena G 90 6.90 43 33%
O. Lebedenko D 90 7.00 45 38% 1
José Fontán D 90 8.00 1 2 90 81% 1
Javi Sánchez D 90 6.90 73 71% 1
Tiago Esgaio D 90 7.00 38 29%
T. Fukui M 79 7.20 3 63 59%
E. van Ee M 80 6.90 35 29% 1
N. Djouahra M 90 7.70 2 1 35 30%
Lee Hyun-Ju M 72 6.70 1 1 21 17% 2
A. Trezza M 72 6.60 1 16 12%
Barbero F 59 6.90 1 2 11 9% 1 1
B. Mansilla F 18 6.50 1 1%
D. Nandín F 31 5.30 1 3 1% 1
Mateo Flores M 10 6.50 6 3%
Pablo Gozálbez M 18 7.30 3 1%
Pedro Santos M 11 6.60 4 4% 2
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
André Ferreira G 90 6.20 28 25%
Kiko D 90 5.60 31 26% 1 1
Maracás D 90 5.30 1 83 72% 1
Gilberto Batista D 90 7.20 86 75%
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos D 85 6.20 30 24% 1
Guilherme Liberato M 45 6.30 32 26% 1
N. John M 90 6.70 1 39 35% 1 1
Landerson M 63 6.20 14 12%
Rodri Alonso M 72 6.30 42 39% 1
Afonso Vieira M 45 6.00 6 5%
A. Duville-Parsemain F 90 6.00 2 8 1%
Dinis Pinto D 45 6.70 20 14%
João Veloso M 45 6.60 1 28 25%
Kiko Bondoso F 27 6.70 15 15%
Michael Dacosta Gonzalez F 5 1 1%
M. Stjepanović M 18 6.70 9 7% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arouca vs Moreirense?
The final score was Arouca 4–0 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Arouca vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Arouca win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Moreirense win.