T. Fukui
20'
A. Trezza
(ast. Tiago Esgaio)
77'
H. Lee
(ast. D. Nandin)
85'
65'
(ast. M. Aiko)
Rony Lopes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arouca a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Tondela 22%). The final result was Arouca 3–1 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Arouca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tondela.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1.53
Actual xG
0.51
1
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
6
22
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Fukui
20'
O. Fayed
39'
41'
Cicero
B. Kuipers
41'
O. Fayed
/ D. Monteiro
59'
61'
H. Tavares
/
Cicero
I. Barbero
/ D. Nandin
63'
N. Djouahra
/ H. Lee
63'
65'
ast. M. Aiko ·
Rony Lopes⚽
73'
B. Kimpioka
/
M. Aiko
73'
J. Hodge
/
H. Felix
⚽A. Trezza
· ast. Tiago Esgaio
77'
P. Gozalbez
/ Pedro Santos
79'
T. Fukui
/ M. Flores
79'
H. Lee
81'
81'
A. van der Heide
/
R. Conceicao
82'
J. Afonso
/
Pedro Maranhao
⚽H. Lee
· ast. D. Nandin
85'
Pre-match prediction
49.88%
Arouca ←
27.56%
X
22.56%
Tondela
we assigned to the actual result (Arouca)
49.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.53
+0.21
0.62
0.51
-0.11
Arouca dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
G
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
G
25
Bas Kuipers
D
Bas Kuipers
D
15
Javi Sánchez
D
Javi Sánchez
D
66
Omar Fayed
59'
D
Omar Fayed
59'
D
28
Tiago Esgaio
1 👟
D
Tiago Esgaio
1 👟
D
21
Taichi Fukui
1 ⚽
79'
M
Taichi Fukui
1 ⚽
79'
M
22
Espen Van Ee
M
Espen Van Ee
M
7
N. Djouahra
63'
M
N. Djouahra
63'
M
10
Pablo Gozálbez
79'
M
Pablo Gozálbez
79'
M
19
Alfonso Trezza
1 ⚽
M
Alfonso Trezza
1 ⚽
M
17
Barbero
63'
F
Barbero
63'
F
Bench
24
Brian Mansilla
F
Brian Mansilla
F
6
Diogo Monteiro
39'
D
Diogo Monteiro
39'
D
23
Dylan Nandín
1 👟
35'
F
Dylan Nandín
1 👟
35'
F
9
Fally Mayulu
F
Fally Mayulu
F
14
Hyun-ju Lee
1 ⚽
35'
M
Hyun-ju Lee
1 ⚽
35'
M
30
Jakub Vinarčík
G
Jakub Vinarčík
G
2
José Silva
D
José Silva
D
46
Mateo Flores
19'
M
Mateo Flores
19'
M
89
Pedro Santos
19'
M
Pedro Santos
19'
M
31
Bernardo Fontes
G
Bernardo Fontes
G
32
Juan Rodríguez
D
Juan Rodríguez
D
4
Christian Marques
D
Christian Marques
D
44
João Silva
D
João Silva
D
27
Rodrigo Conceição
81'
M
Rodrigo Conceição
81'
M
79
Hugo Félix
73'
M
Hugo Félix
73'
M
97
Cicero
61'
M
Cicero
61'
M
48
Tiago Manso
M
Tiago Manso
M
90
Makan Aïko
1 👟
73'
F
Makan Aïko
1 👟
73'
F
16
Rony Lopes
1 ⚽
F
Rony Lopes
1 ⚽
F
7
Maranhão
82'
F
Maranhão
82'
F
Bench
26
Arjen Van Der Heide
17'
F
Arjen Van Der Heide
17'
F
2
Bebeto
D
Bebeto
D
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
25'
F
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
25'
F
1
Gabriel Souza
G
8
Hélder Tavares
37'
M
Hélder Tavares
37'
M
5
João Afonso
16'
D
João Afonso
16'
D
10
Joe Hodge
25'
M
Joe Hodge
25'
M
29
Jordan Siebatcheu
F
Jordan Siebatcheu
F
15
S. Sithole
M
S. Sithole
M
Best on the pitch
Taichi Fukui
M · Arouca
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Tiago Esgaio
D · Arouca
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
Alfonso Trezza
M · Arouca
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
Rony Lopes
F · Tondela
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Dylan Nandín
F · Arouca
7.30
1 👟
· 11 pass
Omar Fayed
D · Arouca
7.20
· 50 pass
Arouca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena | G | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Bas Kuipers | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Javi Sánchez | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 75 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Omar Fayed | D | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | D | 98 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Taichi Fukui | M | 79 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Espen Van Ee | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Djouahra | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Alfonso Trezza | M | 98 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Barbero | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Monteiro | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Dylan Nandín | F | 35 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Hyun-ju Lee | M | 35 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Flores | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
Tondela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Christian Marques | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| João Silva | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Félix | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Cicero | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tiago Manso | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Makan Aïko | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony Lopes | F | 98 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Maranhão | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Hélder Tavares | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| João Afonso | D | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Joe Hodge | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arouca vs Tondela?
The final score was Arouca 3–1 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Arouca vs Tondela?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Arouca win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Tondela win.