Champions League · Round of 16 March 17, 2026 21:00

Arsenal

#1 · 24 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Bayer Leverkusen

#16 · 12 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 52% win probability (draw 29%, Bayer Leverkusen 18%). The final result was Arsenal 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen. In 1 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics

12

Shots on target

2

1.70

Actual xG

0.52

42%

Possession

58%

10

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

52.25%

Arsenal ←

29.07%

X

18.68%

Bayer

we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal) 52.25% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Arsenal

1.29

1.70

+0.41

Bayer

0.71

0.52

-0.19

Arsenal dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	24
2	Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool	8	18
4	Tottenham	8	17
5	Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	16
7	Sporting CP	8	16
8	Manchester City	8	16
9	Real Madrid	8	15
10	Inter	8	15
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	14
12	Newcastle	8	14
13	Juventus	8	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta	8	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray	8	10
21	Monaco	8	10
22	Qarabag	8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	9
24	Benfica	8	9
25	Marseille	8	9
26	Pafos	8	9
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	Napoli	8	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	8
32	Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal	8	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	1