Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund
Champions League
November 24, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.24%
Win
Arsenal
33.9%
Draw
33.86%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
0.71
0.83
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.32%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
34%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
68%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Borussia Dortmund a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Arsenal. Expected goals are 0.7 for Arsenal and 0.8 for Borussia Dortmund (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.32% probability.
Season Stats
11W
4D
0L
5W
2D
4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.3
0.5
Conceded
2.1
5.9
Shots OT
4.8
5.5
Corners
4.5
51%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
73%
40%
BTTS
64%
60%
Clean Sht
18%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
62%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
6W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
3L
· away
2.1
gls/g
2.0
0.4
Conceded
3.2
86%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
71%
O 1.5
100%
43%
O 2.5
80%
43%
O 3.5
80%
29%
BTTS
80%
71%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
20%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Arsenal
Borussia Dortmund →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.4% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Arsenal
Attack
51
Defence
73
Form
65
Borussia Dortmund
Attack
57
Defence
73
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model gives Arsenal a 32% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Borussia Dortmund win.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
Expected goals: Arsenal 0.7, Borussia Dortmund 0.8 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.32%.