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#2 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#10 · 7 pts
Kai Havertz (ast. Declan Rice) 25'
Martin Odegaard (ast. Christos Tzolis) 50'
2' (ast. Jorrel Hato) Morgan Rogers
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Chelsea 29%). The final result was Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea. In 4 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
13
9
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
8
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
3
10
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
ast. Jorrel Hato · Morgan Rogers⚽
13'
14'
João Pedro
⚽Kai Havertz · ast. Declan Rice
25'
45'
Cole Palmer
⚽Martin Odegaard · ast. Christos Tzolis
50'
Christos Tzolis
58'
58'
Maxence Lacroix
60'
Malo Gusto / Romeo Lavia ↕
60'
Pep Chavarria / Jorrel Hato ↕
↕ Riccardo Calafiori / Piero Hincapié
67'
↕ Myles Lewis-Skelly / Martín Zubimendi
67'
↕ Martin Odegaard / Mikel Merino
77'
↕ Kai Havertz / Viktor Gyökeres
78'
81'
Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves / Pedro Neto ↕
83'
Morgan Rogers
87'
Danny Welbeck / Morgan Rogers ↕
Mikel Merino
90'+5
↕ Bukayo Saka / Noni Madueke
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.79%
Arsenal ←
30.79%
X
29.42%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal) 39.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arsenal
1.81
—
—
Chelsea
0.68
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Arsenal Arsenal 4-2-3-1
1 David Raya David Raya G 7.08
33 R. Calafiori R. Calafiori 67' D 6.11
6 Gabriel Magalhães Gabriel Magalhães D 6.29
15 E. Konsa E. Konsa D 6.81
4 B. White B. White D 6.38
49 M. Lewis-Skelly M. Lewis-Skelly 67' M 6.35
41 D. Rice D. Rice 1 👟 M 7.70
17 C. Tzolis C. Tzolis 1 👟 M 7.70
8 M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
7 B. Saka B. Saka 89' M 6.60
29 K. Havertz K. Havertz 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.20
Bench
39 Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães M 0.00
10 E. Eze E. Eze M 0.00
13 Kepa Kepa G 0.00
36 Martín Zubimendi Martín Zubimendi 23' M 6.17
56 M. Dowman M. Dowman M 0.00
23 Mikel Merino Mikel Merino 13' M 6.02
20 N. Madueke N. Madueke 1' F 0.00
5 P. Hincapié P. Hincapié 23' D 6.36
14 V. Gyökeres V. Gyökeres 12' F 6.46
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-2-1
1 E. Martínez E. Martínez G 6.99
3 W. Fofana W. Fofana D 6.63
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 6.19
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 6.00
21 J. Hato J. Hato 1 👟 60' M 6.58
24 R. James R. James M 6.67
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia 60' M 6.48
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 81' M 6.32
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.01
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 6.28
9 João Pedro João Pedro F 6.44
Bench
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 3' F 5.89
41 Estêvão Estêvão 9' F 6.49
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 0.00
11 J. Bynoe-Gittens J. Bynoe-Gittens F 0.00
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill D 0.00
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto 30' D 6.24
39 M. Penders M. Penders G 0.00
29 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría 30' D 6.06
4 V. Barco V. Barco M 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Ødegaard
M. Ødegaard
M · Arsenal
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 55 pass
K. Havertz
K. Havertz
F · Arsenal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
D. Rice
D. Rice
M · Arsenal
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 68 pass
C. Tzolis
C. Tzolis
M · Arsenal
7.70
1 👟
· 44 pass
David Raya
David Raya
G · Arsenal
7.08
· 34 pass
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
M · Chelsea
7.01
1 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
Arsenal Arsenal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David Raya G 90 7.08 — — 0 34 21% 0 — —
R. Calafiori D 67 6.11 — — 2 24 19% 1 — —
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 6.29 — — 2 38 32% 0 — —
E. Konsa D 90 6.81 — — 0 43 41% 3 — —
B. White D 90 6.38 — — 0 33 25% 2 — —
M. Lewis-Skelly M 67 6.35 — — 1 32 28% 0 — —
D. Rice M 90 7.70 — 1 1 68 63% 0 — —
C. Tzolis M 90 7.70 — 1 0 44 38% 1 1 —
M. Ødegaard M 77 8.20 1 — 2 55 49% 0 — —
B. Saka M 89 6.60 — — 4 28 24% 1 — —
K. Havertz F 78 8.20 1 — 3 26 19% 0 — —
Martín Zubimendi M 23 6.17 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
Mikel Merino M 13 6.02 — — 0 9 8% 0 1 —
N. Madueke F 1 0.00 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
P. Hincapié D 23 6.36 — — 0 11 10% 1 — —
V. Gyökeres F 12 6.46 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Martínez G 90 6.99 — — 0 37 19% 0 — —
W. Fofana D 90 6.63 — — 0 48 44% 3 — —
M. Lacroix D 90 6.19 — — 0 48 43% 2 1 —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 90 6.00 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
J. Hato M 60 6.58 — 1 0 14 11% 2 — —
R. James M 90 6.67 — — 3 46 43% 0 — —
R. Lavia M 60 6.48 — — 0 27 24% 1 — —
Pedro Neto M 81 6.32 — — 1 22 18% 1 — —
M. Rogers M 87 7.01 1 — 3 29 21% 0 1 —
C. Palmer M 90 6.28 — — 3 47 39% 0 1 —
João Pedro F 90 6.44 — — 1 19 13% 0 1 —
D. Welbeck F 3 5.89 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Estêvão F 9 6.49 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
M. Gusto D 30 6.24 — — 1 18 16% 2 — —
Pep Chavarría D 30 6.06 — — 0 10 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Chelsea?
The final score was Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Arsenal win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Chelsea win.