K. Havertz
(ast. R. Calafiori)
15'
B. Saka
23'
M. Odegaard
(ast. B. White)
49'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Coventry 27%). The final result was Arsenal 3–0 Coventry.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
1.77
Actual xG
0.20
1
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
2
8
Tackles
4
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Havertz
· ast. R. Calafiori
15'
⚽B. Saka
23'
27'
C. Yirenkyi
Gabriel
34'
⚽M. Odegaard
· ast. B. White
49'
62'
V. Torp
/
C. Yirenkyi
D. Rice
/ M. Zubimendi
68'
B. Saka
/ N. Madueke
68'
70'
T. Awoniyi
/
E. Simms
70'
J. Rudoni
/
B. Thomas-Asante
C. Tzolis
/ E. Eze
76'
M. Odegaard
/ M. Merino
76'
R. Calafiori
/ P. Hincapie
81'
82'
G. Hamer
/
L. Tchaouna
Pre-match prediction
42.72%
Arsenal ←
29.36%
X
27.92%
Coventry
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
42.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.75
1.77
+1.02
1.48
0.20
-1.28
Arsenal dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
33
R. Calafiori
1 👟
81'
D
R. Calafiori
1 👟
81'
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
4
B. White
1 👟
D
B. White
1 👟
D
41
D. Rice
68'
M
D. Rice
68'
M
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
M
M. Lewis-Skelly
M
17
C. Tzolis
76'
M
C. Tzolis
76'
M
8
M. Ødegaard
1 ⚽
76'
M
M. Ødegaard
1 ⚽
76'
M
7
B. Saka
1 ⚽
68'
M
B. Saka
1 ⚽
68'
M
29
K. Havertz
1 ⚽
F
K. Havertz
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
E. Eze
17'
M
E. Eze
17'
M
22
E. Nwaneri
M
E. Nwaneri
M
13
Kepa
G
Kepa
G
36
Martín Zubimendi
25'
M
Martín Zubimendi
25'
M
56
M. Dowman
M
M. Dowman
M
23
Mikel Merino
17'
M
Mikel Merino
17'
M
20
N. Madueke
25'
F
N. Madueke
25'
F
5
P. Hincapié
12'
D
P. Hincapié
12'
D
14
V. Gyökeres
F
V. Gyökeres
F
19
C. Rushworth
G
C. Rushworth
G
3
J. Dasilva
D
J. Dasilva
D
24
A. Amenda
D
A. Amenda
D
4
B. Thomas
D
B. Thomas
D
27
M. van Ewijk
D
M. van Ewijk
D
6
M. Grimes
M
M. Grimes
M
23
B. Thomas-Asante
70'
M
B. Thomas-Asante
70'
M
16
F. Onyeka
M
F. Onyeka
M
8
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
62'
M
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
62'
M
18
L. Tchaouna
82'
M
L. Tchaouna
82'
M
9
E. Simms
70'
F
E. Simms
70'
F
Bench
13
B. Wilson
G
B. Wilson
G
38
G. Hamer
11'
M
G. Hamer
11'
M
22
J. Latibeaudiere
D
J. Latibeaudiere
D
28
Josh Eccles
M
Josh Eccles
M
5
J. Rudoni
23'
M
J. Rudoni
23'
M
15
L. Kitching
D
L. Kitching
D
14
T. Awoniyi
23'
F
T. Awoniyi
23'
F
7
T. Sakamoto
M
T. Sakamoto
M
29
V. Torp
31'
M
V. Torp
31'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Ødegaard
M · Arsenal
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
B. Saka
M · Arsenal
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
C. Tzolis
M · Arsenal
7.70
3 shots
· 37 pass
K. Havertz
F · Arsenal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
B. White
D · Arsenal
7.60
1 👟
· 76 pass
M. Lewis-Skelly
M · Arsenal
7.50
1 shots
· 78 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Calafiori | D | 81 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 62% | — | — | — |
| B. White | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 76 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 69% | — | — | — |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Tzolis | M | 76 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 76 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Saka | M | 68 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 93 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Madueke | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Hincapié | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Coventry — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rushworth | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Amenda | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| B. Thomas | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van Ewijk | D | 93 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Grimes | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| B. Thomas-Asante | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Tchaouna | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| E. Simms | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Rudoni | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Awoniyi | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| V. Torp | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Coventry?
The final score was Arsenal 3–0 Coventry.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Coventry?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Arsenal win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Coventry win.