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#2 · 21 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#11 · 10 pts
Ezri Konsa (ast. Viktor Gyökeres) 7'
Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães (ast. Ben White) 68'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Everton 24%). The final result was Arsenal 2–0 Everton. In 2 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Everton.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.85
Actual xG
0.54
3
Saves
2
58%
Possession
42%
12
Corners
3
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Ezri Konsa · ast. Viktor Gyökeres
7'
45'+2
Vitaliy Mykolenko
Myles Lewis-Skelly
58'
Mikel Arteta Amatriain
64'
66'
James Garner
↕ Mikel Merino / Bruno Guimarães
68'
↕ Viktor Gyökeres / Kai Havertz
68'
↕ Myles Lewis-Skelly / Riccardo Calafiori
68'
⚽Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães · ast. Ben White
68'
72'
Tyler Dibling / Brennan Johnson ↕
74'
Hayden Hackney / Vitaliy Mykolenko ↕
79'
James Tarkowski
79'
David William Moyes
↕ Declan Rice / Martín Zubimendi
80'
↕ Eberechi Eze / Max Dowman
80'
86'
Charly Alcaraz / Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall ↕
Pre-match prediction
47.98%
Arsenal ←
27.79%
X
24.24%
Everton
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal) 47.98% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arsenal
1.56
1.85
+0.29
Everton
0.87
0.54
-0.33
Arsenal dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Arsenal Arsenal 4-2-3-1
1 David Raya David Raya G 6.79
49 M. Lewis-Skelly M. Lewis-Skelly 68' D 7.21
6 Gabriel Magalhães Gabriel Magalhães 1 ⚽ D 8.48
15 E. Konsa E. Konsa 1 ⚽ D 8.45
4 B. White B. White 1 👟 D 7.89
23 Mikel Merino Mikel Merino 68' M 6.42
41 D. Rice D. Rice 80' M 7.20
10 E. Eze E. Eze 80' M 6.56
8 M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard M 7.10
20 N. Madueke N. Madueke M 6.93
14 V. Gyökeres V. Gyökeres 1 👟 68' F 6.97
Bench
39 Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães 22' M 7.40
3 Cristhian Mosquera Cristhian Mosquera D 0.00
12 J. Timber J. Timber D 0.00
13 Kepa Kepa G 0.00
29 K. Havertz K. Havertz 22' F 6.57
36 Martín Zubimendi Martín Zubimendi 10' M 6.77
56 M. Dowman M. Dowman 10' F 6.51
5 P. Hincapié P. Hincapié D 0.00
33 R. Calafiori R. Calafiori 22' D 7.59
Everton Everton 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford J. Pickford G 6.76
16 V. Mykolenko V. Mykolenko 74' D 6.21
15 J. O'Brien J. O'Brien D 6.36
6 J. Tarkowski J. Tarkowski D 6.36
34 M. Röhl M. Röhl D 6.56
37 J. Garner J. Garner M 6.05
45 H. Armstrong H. Armstrong M 6.57
19 Tyrique George Tyrique George M 6.47
8 K. Dewsbury-Hall K. Dewsbury-Hall 86' M 6.33
22 B. Johnson B. Johnson 72' M 6.03
11 T. Barry T. Barry F 6.31
Bench
2 A. Maitland-Niles A. Maitland-Niles M 0.00
58 B. Graham B. Graham F 0.00
24 C. Alcaraz C. Alcaraz 4' M 5.71
23 C. Nørgaard C. Nørgaard M 0.00
30 H. Hackney H. Hackney 16' M 6.11
5 M. Keane M. Keane D 0.00
12 M. Travers M. Travers G 0.00
20 T. Dibling T. Dibling 18' F 6.73
31 T. King T. King G 0.00
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães
D · Arsenal
8.48
1 ⚽
2 shots · 50 pass
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
D · Arsenal
8.45
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
B. White
B. White
D · Arsenal
7.89
1 👟
· 48 pass
R. Calafiori
R. Calafiori
D · Arsenal
7.59
· 10 pass
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Guimarães
M · Arsenal
7.40
· 27 pass
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Lewis-Skelly
D · Arsenal
7.21
· 36 pass
Arsenal Arsenal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David Raya G 90 6.79 — — 0 22 14% 0 — —
M. Lewis-Skelly D 68 7.21 — — 0 36 32% 3 1 —
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 8.48 1 — 2 50 44% 2 — —
E. Konsa D 90 8.45 1 — 2 40 38% 1 — —
B. White D 90 7.89 — 1 0 48 37% 1 — —
Mikel Merino M 68 6.42 — — 5 24 18% 0 — —
D. Rice M 80 7.20 — — 1 53 50% 1 — —
E. Eze M 80 6.56 — — 2 33 25% 0 — —
M. Ødegaard M 90 7.10 — — 5 98 88% 0 — —
N. Madueke M 90 6.93 — — 3 25 23% 1 — —
V. Gyökeres F 68 6.97 — 1 0 13 10% 0 — —
Bruno Guimarães M 22 7.40 — — 0 27 25% 1 — —
K. Havertz F 22 6.57 — — 0 7 7% 1 — —
Martín Zubimendi M 10 6.77 — — 0 16 16% 0 — —
M. Dowman F 10 6.51 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
R. Calafiori D 22 7.59 — — 0 10 7% 2 — —
Everton Everton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pickford G 90 6.76 — — 0 44 30% 0 — —
V. Mykolenko D 74 6.21 — — 0 27 23% 2 1 —
J. O'Brien D 90 6.36 — — 0 30 29% 0 — —
J. Tarkowski D 90 6.36 — — 0 44 40% 1 1 —
M. Röhl D 90 6.56 — — 0 28 24% 1 — —
J. Garner M 90 6.05 — — 1 43 35% 1 1 —
H. Armstrong M 90 6.57 — — 1 34 30% 5 — —
Tyrique George M 90 6.47 — — 1 29 24% 3 — —
K. Dewsbury-Hall M 86 6.33 — — 1 29 27% 0 — —
B. Johnson M 72 6.03 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
T. Barry F 90 6.31 — — 2 13 9% 1 — —
C. Alcaraz M 4 5.71 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
H. Hackney M 16 6.11 — — 1 18 18% 0 — —
T. Dibling F 18 6.73 — — 0 18 18% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Everton?
The final score was Arsenal 2–0 Everton.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Everton?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Arsenal win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Everton win.