V. Gyokeres
(ast. B. Saka)
9'
B. Saka
(ast. V. Gyokeres)
40'
V. Gyokeres
(ast. L. Trossard)
45'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Fulham 20%). The final result was Arsenal 3–0 Fulham. In 1 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fulham.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
1
2.97
Actual xG
0.43
1
Saves
6
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
4
7
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽V. Gyokeres
· ast. B. Saka
9'
23'
S. Lukic
29'
⚽B. Saka
· ast. V. Gyokeres
40'
⚽V. Gyokeres
· ast. L. Trossard
45'+4
B. Saka
/ N. Madueke
46'
63'
T. Cairney
/
H. Reed
64'
J. King
/
S. Chukwueze
64'
O. Bobb
/
H. Wilson
D. Rice
/ M. Zubimendi
64'
V. Gyokeres
/ Gabriel Jesus
64'
73'
Rodrigo Muniz
/
R. Jimenez
E. Eze
/ M. Dowman
78'
78'
J. Kusi Asare
/
E. Smith Rowe
B. White
/ C. Mosquera
83'
Pre-match prediction
53.95%
Arsenal ←
25.91%
X
20.13%
Fulham
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
53.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
2.97
+1.41
1.00
0.43
-0.57
Arsenal dominated by xG (2.97 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
33
Riccardo Calafiori
D
Riccardo Calafiori
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
2
D
4
Ben White
83'
D
Ben White
83'
D
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
M
M. Lewis-Skelly
M
41
D. Rice
64'
M
D. Rice
64'
M
19
L. Trossard
1 👟
M
L. Trossard
1 👟
M
10
E. Eze
78'
M
E. Eze
78'
M
7
B. Saka
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
B. Saka
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
14
V. Gyökeres
2 ⚽
1 👟
64'
F
V. Gyökeres
2 ⚽
1 👟
64'
F
Bench
16
C. Nørgaard
M
C. Nørgaard
M
3
Cristhian Mosquera
12'
D
Cristhian Mosquera
12'
D
9
Gabriel Jesus
26'
F
Gabriel Jesus
26'
F
11
Gabriel Martinelli
F
Gabriel Martinelli
F
36
Martín Zubimendi
26'
M
Martín Zubimendi
26'
M
20
N. Madueke
45'
F
N. Madueke
45'
F
1
G
33
Antonee Robinson
D
Antonee Robinson
D
3
D
5
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
21
Timothy Castagne
D
Timothy Castagne
D
20
Saša Lukić
M
Saša Lukić
M
6
Harrison Reed
63'
M
Harrison Reed
63'
M
19
S. Chukwueze
64'
M
S. Chukwueze
64'
M
32
Emile Smith Rowe
78'
M
Emile Smith Rowe
78'
M
8
H. Wilson
64'
M
H. Wilson
64'
M
7
Raúl Jiménez
73'
F
Raúl Jiménez
73'
F
Bench
31
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
24
Joshua King
26'
M
Joshua King
26'
M
14
Oscar Bobb
26'
M
Oscar Bobb
26'
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
17'
F
Rodrigo Muniz
17'
F
10
Tom Cairney
27'
M
Tom Cairney
27'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Saka
M · Arsenal
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
L. Trossard
M · Arsenal
8.30
1 👟
4 shots
· 38 pass
V. Gyökeres
F · Arsenal
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 8 pass
D · Arsenal
7.60
· 76 pass
Riccardo Calafiori
D · Arsenal
7.50
1 shots
· 26 pass
D. Rice
M · Arsenal
7.30
· 61 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | — | — | — | |
| Ben White | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Trossard | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Saka | M | 45 | 9.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 64 | 8.30 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Saša Lukić | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Harrison Reed | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Chukwueze | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Wilson | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Raúl Jiménez | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Cairney | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Fulham?
The final score was Arsenal 3–0 Fulham.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Fulham?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Arsenal win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Fulham win.