Premier League
· Regular Season - 35
May 02, 2026 18:30
V. Gyokeres
(ast. B. Saka)
9'
B. Saka
(ast. V. Gyokeres)
40'
V. Gyokeres
(ast. L. Trossard)
45'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Fulham 20%). The final result was Arsenal 3–0 Fulham. In 1 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fulham.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
1
2.97
Actual xG
0.43
1
Saves
6
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
4
7
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽V. Gyokeres
· ast. B. Saka
9'
23'
S. Lukic
29'
⚽B. Saka
· ast. V. Gyokeres
40'
⚽V. Gyokeres
· ast. L. Trossard
45'+4
B. Saka
/ N. Madueke
46'
63'
T. Cairney
/
H. Reed
64'
J. King
/
S. Chukwueze
64'
O. Bobb
/
H. Wilson
D. Rice
/ M. Zubimendi
64'
V. Gyokeres
/ Gabriel Jesus
64'
73'
Rodrigo Muniz
/
R. Jimenez
E. Eze
/ M. Dowman
78'
78'
J. Kusi Asare
/
E. Smith Rowe
B. White
/ C. Mosquera
83'
Pre-match prediction
53.95%
Arsenal ←
25.91%
X
20.13%
Fulham
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
53.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
2.97
+1.41
1.00
0.43
-0.57
Arsenal dominated by xG (2.97 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
33
Riccardo Calafiori
D
Riccardo Calafiori
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
2
D
4
Ben White
83'
D
Ben White
83'
D
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
M
Myles Lewis-Skelly
M
41
D. Rice
64'
M
D. Rice
64'
M
19
L. Trossard
1 👟
M
L. Trossard
1 👟
M
10
Eberechi Eze
78'
M
Eberechi Eze
78'
M
7
Bukayo Saka
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
Bukayo Saka
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
14
V. Gyökeres
2 ⚽
1 👟
64'
F
V. Gyökeres
2 ⚽
1 👟
64'
F
Bench
16
C. Norgaard
M
3
Cristhian Mosquera
12'
D
Cristhian Mosquera
12'
D
9
Gabriel Jesus
26'
F
11
Gabriel Martinelli
F
Gabriel Martinelli
F
36
Martín Zubimendi
26'
M
Martín Zubimendi
26'
M
20
Noni Madueke
45'
F
Noni Madueke
45'
F
1
G
33
A. Robinson
D
3
D
5
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
21
T. Castagne
D
20
S. Lukić
M
S. Lukić
M
6
H. Reed
63'
M
19
S. Chukwueze
64'
M
32
E. Smith Rowe
78'
M
8
H. Wilson
64'
M
H. Wilson
64'
M
7
R. Jimenez
73'
F
Bench
31
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
24
J. King
26'
M
14
O. Bobb
26'
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
17'
F
10
T. Cairney
27'
M
Best on the pitch
Bukayo Saka
M · Arsenal
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
L. Trossard
M · Arsenal
8.30
1 👟
4 shots
· 38 pass
V. Gyökeres
F · Arsenal
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 8 pass
D · Arsenal
7.60
· 76 pass
Riccardo Calafiori
D · Arsenal
7.50
1 shots
· 26 pass
D. Rice
M · Arsenal
7.30
· 61 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | — | — | — | |
| Ben White | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Trossard | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Bukayo Saka | M | 45 | 9.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 64 | 8.30 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| A. Robinson | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lukić | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Reed | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Chukwueze | M | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Smith Rowe | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Wilson | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Jimenez | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| J. King | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| O. Bobb | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cairney | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Fulham?
The final score was Arsenal 3–0 Fulham.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Fulham?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Arsenal win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Fulham win.