Jurriën Timber
(ast. Noni Madueke)
64'
Eberechi Eze
(ast. Bukayo Saka)
67'
Bukayo Saka
(ast. Kai Havertz)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 50% win probability (draw 30%, Lille 19%). The final result was Arsenal 3–0 Lille.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
0
1.89
Actual xG
0.40
0
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
0
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Mikel Merino
29'
⚽Jurriën Timber
· ast. Noni Madueke
64'
Viktor Gyökeres
/ Kai Havertz
65'
Mikel Merino
/ Martin Odegaard
65'
Noni Madueke
/ Bukayo Saka
65'
⚽Eberechi Eze
· ast. Bukayo Saka
67'
⚽Bukayo Saka
· ast. Kai Havertz
71'
72'
Maurits Kjaergaard
/
Ngal'ayel Mukau
72'
Osame Sahraoui
/
Nabil Bentaleb
78'
Calvin Verdonk
/
Romain Perraud
78'
Olivier Giroud
/
Ayase Ueda
Jurriën Timber
/ Ben White
78'
81'
Maxima Goffi
82'
Soriba Diaoune
/
Dilane Bakwa
Eberechi Eze
/ Max Dowman
85'
Kai Havertz
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
50.41%
Arsenal ←
30.28%
X
19.31%
Lille
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
50.41%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.89
+0.93
0.52
0.40
-0.12
Arsenal dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
15
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
12
J. Timber
1 ⚽
78'
D
J. Timber
1 ⚽
78'
D
39
Bruno Guimarães
M
Bruno Guimarães
M
41
D. Rice
M
D. Rice
M
10
E. Eze
1 ⚽
85'
M
E. Eze
1 ⚽
85'
M
23
Mikel Merino
65'
M
Mikel Merino
65'
M
20
N. Madueke
1 👟
65'
M
N. Madueke
1 👟
65'
M
14
V. Gyökeres
65'
F
V. Gyökeres
65'
F
Bench
7
B. Saka
1 ⚽
1 👟
25'
F
B. Saka
1 ⚽
1 👟
25'
F
4
B. White
12'
D
B. White
12'
D
53
C. O’Neill
F
C. O’Neill
F
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
30
I. Meslier
G
I. Meslier
G
13
Kepa
G
Kepa
G
29
K. Havertz
1 👟
25'
F
K. Havertz
1 👟
25'
F
56
M. Dowman
5'
F
M. Dowman
5'
F
74
M. Hashi
M
M. Hashi
M
8
M. Ødegaard
25'
M
M. Ødegaard
25'
M
89
M. Salmon
D
M. Salmon
D
33
R. Calafiori
D
R. Calafiori
D
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
78'
D
R. Perraud
78'
D
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
38
M. Goffi
D
M. Goffi
D
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
6
N. Bentaleb
72'
M
N. Bentaleb
72'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
M
H. Haraldsson
M
17
N. Mukau
72'
M
N. Mukau
72'
M
7
D. Bakwa
82'
M
D. Bakwa
82'
M
18
A. Ueda
78'
F
A. Ueda
78'
F
Bench
19
B. Önal
F
B. Önal
F
24
C. Verdonk
12'
D
C. Verdonk
12'
D
28
G. Perrin
F
G. Perrin
F
26
I. Cossier
D
I. Cossier
D
2
L. Srdanovic
D
L. Srdanovic
D
14
M. Kjærgaard
18'
M
M. Kjærgaard
18'
M
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
9
O. Giroud
12'
F
O. Giroud
12'
F
11
O. Sahraoui
18'
F
O. Sahraoui
18'
F
35
S. Diaoune
8'
F
S. Diaoune
8'
F
23
T. Nianzou
D
T. Nianzou
D
Best on the pitch
J. Timber
D · Arsenal
8.54
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 47 pass
E. Eze
M · Arsenal
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 28 pass
B. Saka
F · Arsenal
7.93
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 5 pass
N. Madueke
M · Arsenal
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. Lewis-Skelly
D · Arsenal
7.50
· 32 pass
E. Konsa
D · Arsenal
7.47
· 76 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 90 | 7.47 | — | — | 0 | 76 | 73% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Timber | D | 78 | 8.54 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 5 | 60 | 48% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 65 | 6.53 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Madueke | M | 65 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 65 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Saka | F | 25 | 7.93 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| B. White | D | 12 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Dowman | F | 5 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 78 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Goffi | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| B. André | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 72 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 72 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Bakwa | M | 82 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ueda | F | 78 | 5.95 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Verdonk | D | 12 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kjærgaard | M | 18 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Giroud | F | 12 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Sahraoui | F | 18 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Diaoune | F | 8 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Lille?
The final score was Arsenal 3–0 Lille.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Lille?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Arsenal win, 30% to a draw, and 19% to an Lille win.