Arsenal - Lille
Champions League
October 13, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.31%
Win
Arsenal
33.76%
Draw
30.93%
Win
Lille
0.86
0.71
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.44%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
34%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
65%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arsenal a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Lille. Expected goals are 0.9 for Arsenal and 0.7 for Lille (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.44% probability.
Season Stats
11W
4D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
3.0
5.9
Shots OT
2.0
5.5
Corners
5.0
51%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Arsenal
Lille →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.9% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 18.0% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Arsenal
Attack
46
Defence
67
Form
63
Lille
Attack
49
Defence
60
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Lille?
The model gives Arsenal a 35% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 30% for an Lille win.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Lille?
Expected goals: Arsenal 0.9, Lille 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Arsenal vs Lille?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.44%.