R. Calafiori
(ast. M. Lewis-Skelly)
1'
K. Havertz
(ast. C. Tzolis)
28'
M. Odegaard
(ast. C. Tzolis)
48'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Arsenal 33%). The final result was Arsenal 3–0 Manchester City. In 3 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Manchester City.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
4
16
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Calafiori
· ast. M. Lewis-Skelly
1'
24'
P. Foden
⚽K. Havertz
· ast. C. Tzolis
28'
R. Calafiori
38'
46'
J. Grealish
/
J. Doku
Bruno Guimaraes
/ D. Rice
46'
⚽M. Odegaard
· ast. C. Tzolis
48'
53'
J. Gvardiol
53'
O. Marmoush
/
E. Haaland
54'
M. Guehi
/
N. O'Reilly
60'
R. Lewis
/
E. Anderson
60'
R. Cherki
/
P. Foden
N. Madueke
/ B. Saka
60'
R. Calafiori
/ P. Hincapie
60'
K. Havertz
/ V. Gyokeres
75'
M. Lewis-Skelly
/ M. Zubimendi
75'
79'
Nico
/
M. Kovacic
M. Odegaard
84'
M. Odegaard
/ E. Eze
84'
Pre-match prediction
33.34%
Arsenal ←
29.84%
X
36.81%
Manchester
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
33.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
—
—
2.03
—
—
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
33
R. Calafiori
1 ⚽
60'
D
R. Calafiori
1 ⚽
60'
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
4
B. White
D
B. White
D
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
1 👟
75'
M
M. Lewis-Skelly
1 👟
75'
M
39
Bruno Guimarães
45'
M
Bruno Guimarães
45'
M
17
C. Tzolis
2 👟
M
C. Tzolis
2 👟
M
8
M. Ødegaard
1 ⚽
84'
M
M. Ødegaard
1 ⚽
84'
M
20
N. Madueke
60'
M
N. Madueke
60'
M
29
K. Havertz
1 ⚽
75'
F
K. Havertz
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
7
B. Saka
31'
F
B. Saka
31'
F
41
D. Rice
46'
M
D. Rice
46'
M
10
E. Eze
7'
M
E. Eze
7'
M
13
Kepa
G
Kepa
G
36
Martín Zubimendi
16'
M
Martín Zubimendi
16'
M
56
M. Dowman
M
M. Dowman
M
23
Mikel Merino
M
Mikel Merino
M
5
P. Hincapié
31'
D
P. Hincapié
31'
D
14
V. Gyökeres
16'
F
V. Gyökeres
16'
F
1
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
33
N. O'Reilly
54'
D
N. O'Reilly
54'
D
24
J. Gvardiol
D
J. Gvardiol
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
D
8
M. Kovačić
79'
M
M. Kovačić
79'
M
5
E. Anderson
60'
M
E. Anderson
60'
M
11
J. Doku
45'
M
J. Doku
45'
M
47
P. Foden
60'
M
P. Foden
60'
M
42
A. Semenyo
M
A. Semenyo
M
9
E. Haaland
53'
F
E. Haaland
53'
F
Bench
28
Gerónimo Rulli
G
Gerónimo Rulli
G
18
J. Grealish
46'
M
J. Grealish
46'
M
6
M. Guéhi
37'
D
M. Guéhi
37'
D
14
Nico González
12'
M
Nico González
12'
M
7
Omar Marmoush
38'
F
Omar Marmoush
38'
F
21
R. Aït-Nouri
D
R. Aït-Nouri
D
10
R. Cherki
31'
M
R. Cherki
31'
M
82
R. Lewis
31'
D
R. Lewis
31'
D
22
Vitor Reis
D
Vitor Reis
D
Best on the pitch
M. Ødegaard
M · Arsenal
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 58 pass
B. White
D · Arsenal
8.00
· 31 pass
C. Tzolis
M · Arsenal
8.00
2 👟
· 26 pass
R. Calafiori
D · Arsenal
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
David Raya
G · Arsenal
7.30
· 40 pass
K. Havertz
F · Arsenal
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Calafiori | D | 60 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| B. White | D | 91 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Tzolis | M | 91 | 8.00 | — | 2 | — | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 84 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Madueke | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Saka | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Hincapié | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Donnarumma | G | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 54 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rúben Dias | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| P. Foden | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Grealish | M | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Nico González | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Lewis | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Manchester City?
The final score was Arsenal 3–0 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Arsenal win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Manchester City win.