Champions League
· Quarter-finals
April 15, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Sporting CP 29%). The final result was Arsenal 0–0 Sporting CP. In 1 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting CP.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
1
0.67
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
3
22
Tackles
25
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
V. Gyokeres
/ K. Havertz
56'
N. Madueke
/ M. Dowman
63'
M. Arteta
70'
71'
G. Quenda
/
G. Catamo
71'
D. Braganca
/
P. Goncalves
77'
J. Simoes
/
H. Morita
E. Eze
/ Gabriel Jesus
79'
G. Martinelli
/ L. Trossard
79'
79'
M. Araujo
85'
G. Vagiannidis
/
E. Quaresma
85'
R. Nel
/
Trincao
90'+4
R. Borges
Pre-match prediction
42.24%
Arsenal
28.61%
X ←
29.14%
Sporting
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
0.67
-0.53
1.06
0.29
-0.77
Arsenal dominated by xG (0.67 vs 0.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
5
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
2
D
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
41
D. Rice
M
D. Rice
M
36
Martín Zubimendi
M
Martín Zubimendi
M
11
Gabriel Martinelli
79'
M
Gabriel Martinelli
79'
M
10
E. Eze
79'
M
E. Eze
79'
M
20
N. Madueke
63'
M
N. Madueke
63'
M
14
V. Gyökeres
56'
F
V. Gyökeres
56'
F
Bench
4
Ben White
D
Ben White
D
16
C. Nørgaard
M
C. Nørgaard
M
9
Gabriel Jesus
16'
F
Gabriel Jesus
16'
F
29
K. Havertz
39'
F
K. Havertz
39'
F
19
L. Trossard
16'
F
L. Trossard
16'
F
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
20
M. Araújo
D
M. Araújo
D
25
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
26
Ousmane Diomande
D
Ousmane Diomande
D
72
Eduardo Quaresma
85'
D
Eduardo Quaresma
85'
D
5
Hidemasa Morita
77'
M
Hidemasa Morita
77'
M
42
M. Hjulmand
M
M. Hjulmand
M
8
Pote
71'
M
Pote
71'
M
17
Francisco Trincão
85'
M
Francisco Trincão
85'
M
10
Geny Catamo
71'
M
Geny Catamo
71'
M
97
L. Suárez
F
L. Suárez
F
Bench
23
Daniel Bragança
24'
M
Daniel Bragança
24'
M
58
Flavio Goncalves
F
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
10'
D
Georgios Vagiannidis
10'
D
7
Geovany Quenda
24'
M
Geovany Quenda
24'
M
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M
52
João Simões
18'
M
90
Rafael Nel
10'
F
Rafael Nel
10'
F
91
Ricardo Mangas
D
Ricardo Mangas
D
70
Salvador Blopa
D
Salvador Blopa
D
6
Zeno Debast
D
Zeno Debast
D
Best on the pitch
Martín Zubimendi
M · Arsenal
7.60
1 shots
· 54 pass
Eduardo Quaresma
D · Sporting
7.50
· 37 pass
Gabriel Magalhães
D · Arsenal
7.30
· 53 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.30
· 69 pass
M. Hjulmand
M · Sporting
7.20
· 63 pass
David Raya
G · Arsenal
7.20
· 22 pass
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 6 | — | — | |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 4 | — | — | |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Trossard | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Hidemasa Morita | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| Pote | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgios Vagiannidis | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Geovany Quenda | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Nel | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Sporting CP?
The final score was Arsenal 0–0 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before Arsenal vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Arsenal win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Sporting CP win.