CONCACAF Nations League
· League C - 2
October 05, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction Aruba
Carlito Fermina
7'
A. Mercera
(ast. Gianni Vandepitte)
90'+3
Justin Peterson
90'+3
39'
(ast. Tjivari Francisca Leveret)
Nathaniel Owen
77'
(ast. Tjivari Francisca Leveret)
Antonio Fleming
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aruba a 92% win probability (draw 3%, Anguilla 3%). The final result was Aruba 3–2 Anguilla. In 1 previous meetings, Aruba have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Anguilla.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
0
9
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
0
76%
Possession
24%
9
Corners
4
7
Tackles
0
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Carlito Fermina
7'
31'
Antonio Fleming
/
Tarique Jesse Kyson Jackson
39'
ast. Tjivari Francisca Leveret ·
Nathaniel Owen⚽
Justin Figaroa
/ Jaybrien Dicheiro Nafali Romano
45'
Rainey breinburg
/ Kymani Stephen Yunus Nedd
45'
51'
Antonio Fleming
Bradley Martis
53'
Tyrese Gijsbertha
/ Gladwin curiel
60'
Mishawn Edelsjen Molina
/ A. Mercera
60'
Roviën Ostiana
/ Gianni Vandepitte
60'
65'
Raynel Martin
/
J. Lloyd
66'
Jaheim Warren Thompson
/
Nathaniel Owen
66'
Caidan Carty
/
Jauron Shakoy Wayne Gayle
69'
K. Connor
77'
ast. Tjivari Francisca Leveret ·
Antonio Fleming⚽
78'
Aedon Scipio
/
Sedu bradshaw
88'
Carlton Carty
⚽A. Mercera
· ast. Gianni Vandepitte
90'+3
⚽Justin Peterson
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
92.86%
Aruba ←
3.75%
X
3.39%
Anguilla
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Aruba)
92.86%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.42
—
—
0.35
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Lentink
G
M. Lentink
G
22
31'
D
4
B. Martis
D
B. Martis
D
2
31'
D
13
Tyrese Gijsbertha
60'
D
Tyrese Gijsbertha
60'
D
6
31'
M
20
31'
M
7
G. Robertha
M
G. Robertha
M
12
31'
M
21
31'
M
9
Carlito Fermina
1 ⚽
F
Carlito Fermina
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Gianni Vandepitte
1 👟
30'
M
Gianni Vandepitte
1 👟
30'
M
17
J. Kruydenhof
F
J. Kruydenhof
F
1
31'
G
22
31'
D
15
31'
D
13
31'
D
6
31'
D
11
31'
M
8
31'
M
4
31'
M
9
31'
M
14
31'
F
7
31'
F
Best on the pitch
Carlito Fermina
F · Aruba
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 22 pass
B. Martis
D · Aruba
6.75
· 88 pass
Tyrese Gijsbertha
D · Aruba
6.72
· 23 pass
G. Robertha
M · Aruba
6.50
4 shots
· 26 pass
Gianni Vandepitte
M · Aruba
6.46
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
F · Anguilla
6.31
· 2 pass
Aruba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lentink | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| B. Martis | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 88 | 75% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| Tyrese Gijsbertha | D | 60 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| G. Robertha | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| Carlito Fermina | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Gianni Vandepitte | M | 30 | 6.46 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Anguilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aruba vs Anguilla?
The final score was Aruba 3–2 Anguilla.
What did the model predict before Aruba vs Anguilla?
The model assigned 92% probability to a Aruba win, 3% to a draw, and 3% to an Anguilla win.