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Aruba - Martinique

CONCACAF Nations League November 12, 2026 20:00
Aruba
vs
Martinique
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.27%
Win
Aruba
23.21%
Draw
11.52%
Win
Martinique
1.59
Expected xG
0.46
Most likely outcome
Aruba
65.27%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.84%)
1X2 Result
1 65%
X 23%
2 12%
Double Chance
1X 89%
X2 35%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 66%
Over 2.5 34%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aruba a 65% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Martinique. Expected goals are 1.6 for Aruba and 0.5 for Martinique (total 2.1), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.84% probability.

Season Stats

Aruba
3W 0D 1L
Martinique
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.2
1.2
Conceded
1.8
7.0
Shots OT
3.8
7.3
Corners
6.0
67%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
75%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Aruba
2W 0D 0L · at home
Martinique
0W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aruba Martinique →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% — —
1 20.4% 9.5% 2.2% 0.3% — —
2 16.2% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% — —
3 8.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% — —
4 3.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Aruba Aruba
L Antigua and Barbuda 3–2
W Anguilla 3–2
W Anguilla 0–2
W Antigua and Barbuda 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Martinique Martinique
D El Salvador 1–1
W Honduras 2–1
L Suriname 2–1
L El Salvador 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Aruba Aruba
Attack
60
Defence
66
Form
62
Martinique Martinique
Attack
31
Defence
62
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aruba vs Martinique?
The model gives Aruba a 65% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 11% for an Martinique win.
How many goals are expected in Aruba vs Martinique?
Expected goals: Aruba 1.6, Martinique 0.5 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Aruba vs Martinique?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.84%.